Week 9 · 2026Cardinals 3 · 17 Seahawks
132 plays, one strand. Seahawks won after 1 lead change; Cardinals peaked at 63% to win, Seahawks at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SEA, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Cardinals peaked at 63% to win, Seahawks at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Seahawks win, play by play. High = SEA in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for SEA on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: ARI on the left, SEA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.8 expected points for Cardinals.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 12:53 · ARI · Completion+2.8 EP
15-G.Minshew pass deep left to 82-R.Virgil ran ob at ARI 32 for 25 yards. Seattle challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Up
- 2Q1 8:04 · SEA · Run+2.6 EP
2-D.Lock scrambles right end ran ob at SEA 40 for 14 yards (1-Ma.Wilson). PENALTY on ARI-16-M.Melton, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced a
- 3Q1 4:51 · ARI · Incomplete−2.7 EP
15-G.Minshew pass incomplete deep left [3-N.Emmanwori]. PENALTY on ARI-15-G.Minshew, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 27.
- 4Q1 3:58 · SEA · Completion+2.4 EP
2-D.Lock pass short left to 8-J.Price pushed ob at ARI 41 for 15 yards (5-B.Browning).
- 5Q2 0:18 · SEA · Touchdown+2.3 EP
2-D.Lock pass short middle to 88-A.Barner for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was
- 6Q3 12:10 · ARI · Sack−2.3 EP
15-G.Minshew sacked at ARI 34 for -6 yards (0-D.Lawrence).
- 7Q4 7:47 · ARI · Completion+2.5 EP
15-G.Minshew pass short right to 85-T.McBride ran ob at SEA 17 for 15 yards.
- 8Q4 4:39 · ARI · Incomplete−2.7 EP
15-G.Minshew pass incomplete short right to 85-T.McBride (3-N.Emmanwori). PENALTY on SEA-21-D.Witherspoon, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 1 yard,
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 45-yard kick had missed
Q3 3:54 5-J.Myers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.