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Green Bay PackersMike's Mid-Week Chat | Nov. 11, 202649ers Desk49ers lean on McCaffrey's short targets as the early-down pass rate drops to 41%7 min agoInjuryGarrett Wilson: Out → Questionable11 min agoInjuryLucas Patrick: Doubtful → Out11 min agoPro Football RumorsGM Mike Borgonzi: Titans Would ‘Love To Have’ Tony Pollard Back In 2027San Francisco 49ersThe 49ers Acquire WR Keenan AllenNew Orleans SaintsGame Preview: Panthers vs. Saints | 2026 NFL Week 10New Orleans SaintsPanthers vs. Saints: How to Watch, Listen, and Stream Games 11/15/2026Texans DeskTexans offense posts its best EPA per play of the year in Week 926 min agoRams DeskRams pass on 58% of early downs again after a 41% week, and Puka Nacua feeds on it27 min agoInjuryGarrett Wilson: Questionable → Out29 min agoPanthers DeskCarolina's offense rebounds in Week 9 after two negative-EPA games37 min agoFalcons DeskFalcons' eighth-ranked run game has slipped as the offense sits 25th37 min agoKansas City ChiefsCinco cosas que debes saber sobre Josh Downs, el nuevo receptor de ChiefsInjuryDenzel Boston: Active → Questionable44 min agoEagles DeskEagles run defense ranks 31st while the offense stalls at a 24% success rate46 min agoCommanders DeskCommanders pass on 66% of early downs in Week 9 and the offense slides to -0.177 EPA a play47 min agoCarolina PanthersPanthers open practice windows for three, among other movesBaltimore RavensMailbag: Will Jacoby Brissett Turn the Ravens' Season Around?Buccaneers DeskBuccaneers defense leads the league in EPA allowed while the passing game ranks 30th57 min agoBears DeskBears pass on early downs 64% in Week 9 and the offense stalls57 min agoSan Francisco 49ersWays to Watch and Listen: 49ers vs. Cowboys | Week 10
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Cardinals 3 · 17 Seahawks

132 plays, one strand. Seahawks won after 1 lead change; Cardinals peaked at 63% to win, Seahawks at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SEA, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line1 lead change; Cardinals peaked at 63% to win, Seahawks at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Seahawks win, play by play. High = SEA in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for SEA on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Seahawks ↑Cardinals ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDSEA ↑ HOMEARI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: ARI on the left, SEA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
ARISEA
51Plays58
198Yards297
3Explosive plays2
0Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers0
63%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
SEAPunt5yARIFG74ySEAPunt24yARIPunt7ySEATD55yARIPunt4ySEAPunt9yARIPunt30ySEAPunt21yARIPunt1ySEATD52yARI–-6yARIPunt12ySEAFG57yARIPunt13ySEAPunt36yARI–63ySEA–38y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.8 expected points for Cardinals.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 12:53 · ARI · Completion

    15-G.Minshew pass deep left to 82-R.Virgil ran ob at ARI 32 for 25 yards. Seattle challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Up

    +2.8 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 8:04 · SEA · Run

    2-D.Lock scrambles right end ran ob at SEA 40 for 14 yards (1-Ma.Wilson). PENALTY on ARI-16-M.Melton, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced a

    +2.6 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 4:51 · ARI · Incomplete

    15-G.Minshew pass incomplete deep left [3-N.Emmanwori]. PENALTY on ARI-15-G.Minshew, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 27.

    −2.7 EP
  4. 4
    Q1 3:58 · SEA · Completion

    2-D.Lock pass short left to 8-J.Price pushed ob at ARI 41 for 15 yards (5-B.Browning).

    +2.4 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 0:18 · SEA · Touchdown

    2-D.Lock pass short middle to 88-A.Barner for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was

    +2.3 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 12:10 · ARI · Sack

    15-G.Minshew sacked at ARI 34 for -6 yards (0-D.Lawrence).

    −2.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 7:47 · ARI · Completion

    15-G.Minshew pass short right to 85-T.McBride ran ob at SEA 17 for 15 yards.

    +2.5 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 4:39 · ARI · Incomplete

    15-G.Minshew pass incomplete short right to 85-T.McBride (3-N.Emmanwori). PENALTY on SEA-21-D.Witherspoon, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 1 yard,

    −2.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the 45-yard kick had missed

Cardinals after the play7%what really happened
SeahawksCardinalsthe rest never happened

Q3 3:54 5-J.Myers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

Week 9

The rest of the week