AFC West · 2026 season

Las VegasRaiders

4-5record3rdin West#9AFC seed-30point diffL1streak

SeahawksSun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETSEA -3.5 · O/U 43.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Emerging problemRun defenseEPA per rush allowed6th→32nd

Over the last 4 games the run defense has allowed +0.08 EPA per rush (122 rushes), 32nd among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.14 EPA per rush (120 rushes), 6th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftBrock Bowers, TEoffensive snap share46%→92%

Brock Bowers has played 92% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 46% in the 5 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 3 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The Las Vegas Raiders are 4-5 in the 2026 season, 3rd in the AFC West and the No. 9 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of -30. On offense they rank 17th in the league in EPA per play (-0.015); on defense they rank 31st (+0.092 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 12% chance to make the playoffs and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl. The Las Vegas Raiders play next at home against the Seattle Seahawks on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the Las Vegas Raiders record?

4-5, 3rd in the AFC West. Home 1-3, road 3-2, division 1-1, conference 3-3, current streak L1. Points: 238 scored, 268 allowed.

Who do the Las Vegas Raiders play next?

The Las Vegas Raiders play next at home against the Seattle Seahawks on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the Las Vegas Raiders' playoff chances?

12% to make the playoffs, 1% to win the AFC West, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 0.1% to win the AFC and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 7.6-9.4).

Who is the Las Vegas Raiders starting quarterback?

Kirk Cousins is first on the Raiders depth chart at quarterback, with Fernando Mendoza behind.

Who is injured for the Las Vegas Raiders?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Thomas Booker IV (DT, out, ankle). Questionable: Trey Zuhn III (C, questionable, concussion).

How good is the Las Vegas Raiders offense and defense?

Offense: 17th in EPA per play (-0.015), 11th on dropbacks, 28th on runs, success rate 42.3%. Defense: 31st in EPA allowed (+0.092), 30th against the pass, 26th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Las Vegas Raiders 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/raiders (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Raiders Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeCousins' three interceptions bury the Raiders in a 38-17 loss at San FranciscoFive Raiders turnovers and 190 rushing yards for the 49ers turned a 21-10 halftime gap into 38-17, and Las Vegas is 4-5.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportRaiders' 28th-ranked defense meets the 49ers' top-ranked offense at Levi's StadiumNov 7, 2026 · 2 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Raiders, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record4-5

Deserved3.6wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

+0.4 luck wins · 11th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 26th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineLucky in 1 game of 9.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Raiders would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games2-2decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index29%7 go calls advised

Flags, net−37win prob. points · 26th

Bounce & kick luck+11.1points · +1.2 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

49ers earned it: the snaps said 49ers by 15.9, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost middle of the field, least outside runs in the leagueClosest twin: Lions (71%)Clock IQ7th of 32 at managing the clockKlint Kubiak · 7 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real94-5

Deserved–3.6-5.4

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−1.4The market has them about rightPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 6-3 against the spread Sliding Doors4losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped103 points of win probability lost to those plays, 120 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 13Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsRaiders4-5 · proj 7.6-9.4 · 10th in AFC12%▼ 10 pts

Win it all <0.1% · likeliest seed No. 7 (7%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 30 hardest of 32 · avg opp -1.8 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Raiders stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.01517th

Dropback EPA+0.10611th

Rush EPA-0.21528th

Success rate42.3%17th

Defense

EPA allowed+0.09231st

Pass EPA allowed+0.18530th

Rush EPA allowed-0.02926th

Success allowed48.0%31st

Pass rate over expected: -2.1% (17th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 549 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 21.7 (2nd most) · RB 27.0 (5th most) · WR 34.7 (13th most) · TE 17.4 (5th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 333 dropbacksK.Cousins+0.104EPA / dropback+0.2CPOE8.1aDOT47%success

Quarterback · 9 dropbacksF.Mendoza-0.189EPA / dropback+8.8CPOE5.9aDOT56%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
A.Jeanty RB	114	362	1	-0.29	33%
M.Washington RB	71	275	1	-0.16	28%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
B.Bowers TE	70	22%	27%	9.9	658	6	+0.53
A.Jeanty RB	56	18%	4%	1.6	371	3	+0.05
T.Tucker WR	56	18%	30%	13.8	529	4	+0.21
M.Mayer TE	46	15%	9%	5.2	388	1	+0.18
J.Nailor WR	29	9%	13%	11.5	122	1	-0.09
C.White WR	20	6%	7%	9.5	112	3	+0.16
M.Benson WR	9	3%	6%	15.7	12	0	-0.81
J.Bech WR	8	3%	2%	5.9	57	1	-0.14

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

DefenseBase 3-4 D

31FSStukes Pola-Mao

5LCBStokes Masses

94LDEFatukasi

17LILBDean Eichenberg

3NBJohnson

69NTButler Pegues

26RCBPorter McCoy

97RDEHemingway Booker IV ·

7RILBWalker Lindenberg

95SLBPaye Johnson

11SSChinn Johnson

98WLBCrosby Koonce

HolderAJ Cole Kick ReturnerDylan Laube Long SnapperAlex Ward PunterAJ Cole Place KickerMatt Gay Punt ReturnerMalik Benson

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Delmar GlazeT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Spencer BurfordG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Kolton MillerT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Tyler LinderbaumC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Kirk CousinsQB	100	100	100	100	83	100	100	100	100
Brock BowersTE			79	82	70	98	84	86	100
Michael MayerTE	81	84	87	88	65	79	82	79	76
Jalen NailorWR	60	60	57	23		64	75	46	74
Tre TuckerWR	71	59	57	67	75	70	82	54	64
Ashton JeantyRB	74	81	84	67	53	58	72	40	64
Trey ZuhnG		3	7	6		6	7	100	60
Caleb RogersG			7	100		100	100	3	40
Mike Washington Jr.RB	19	19	16	21	8	35	26	60	34
Jack BechWR	40	54	16					40	34

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Jeremy ChinnS	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Nakobe DeanLB	100	94	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Treydan StukesS	100	46		100	100	100	100	100	100
Eric StokesCB	100	100	100	100	84	100	100	100	99
Quay WalkerLB	100	100	100	100	100	100	96	100	95
Maxx CrosbyDE	82	87	86	92	80	90	96	92	93
Adam ButlerDT	38	31	49	47	57	63	71	52	63
Taron JohnsonCB	86	71	96	78	85	91	40	66	59
Kwity PayeDE	57	56	58	58	65	59	67	67	56
Darien PorterCB	82			5	67	79	60	2	52
Folorunso FatukasiDT	34	35	46	52	43	51	47	41	51
Tim KeenanDT							26	30	49
Tonka HemingwayDT	57	74	53	65	13		29	20	45
Tommy EichenbergLB	14	35	4	22	15	9	60	34	41