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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Rams 20 · 13 Commanders

156 plays, one strand. Rams won after 1 lead change; Rams peaked at 98% to win, Commanders at 83%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for WSH, down for LAR, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line1 lead change; Rams peaked at 98% to win, Commanders at 83%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Commanders win, play by play. High = WSH in control, low = LAR in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for WSH on offense, down for LAR; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Commanders ↑Rams ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDFUMFUMTDINTTDFUMWSH ↑ HOMELAR ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LAR on the left, WSH on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LARWSH
72Plays57
343Yards312
4Explosive plays4
2Offensive TDs1
2Turnovers2
98%Peak win prob.83%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
WSHFG43yLARFG47yWSHTD85yLARPunt4yWSHPunt14yLARPunt8yWSHPunt19yLARFUM50yWSHFUM-4yLARFG43yLARTD69yWSHPunt9yLARPunt17yWSHPunt7yLARINT0yWSHFG9yLARTD80yWSHPunt27yLARPunt21yWSH–33yLARPunt4yWSHFUM70y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.6 expected points for Commanders.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 15:00 · WSH · Completion

    5-J.Daniels pass short right to 1-R.White to LA 7 for 45 yards (3-K.Curl; 48-O.Speights).

    +2.6 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 4:39 · LAR · Completion

    9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-P.Nacua to WAS 44 for 12 yards (20-Q.Martin).

    +2.8 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 2:46 · LAR · Fumble lost

    9-M.Stafford pass short left to 12-P.Nacua to WAS 41 for no gain (45-K.Chaisson). FUMBLES (45-K.Chaisson), touched at WAS 42, RECOVERED by W

    −4.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 2:20 · WSH · Fumble lost

    5-J.Daniels sacked at WAS 44 for -6 yards (95-M.Garrett). FUMBLES (95-M.Garrett), RECOVERED by LA-48-O.Speights at WAS 46. 48-O.Speights to

    −4.3 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 1:33 · LAR · Completion

    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua to WAS 23 for 15 yards (39-J.Reaves; 23-T.Amos).

    +2.9 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 6:03 · LAR · Interception

    9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 12-P.Nacua INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Cross at LA 27. 25-N.Cross to LA 27 for no gain (12-P.Nacua).

    −2.8 EP
  7. 7
    Q3 0:19 · LAR · Completion

    9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 12-P.Nacua to WAS 17 for 19 yards (20-Q.Martin).

    +2.9 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:31 · WSH · Sack

    5-J.Daniels sacked at 50 for -12 yards (95-M.Garrett).

    −2.3 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the Commanders had converted that fourth-and-17

Commanders after the play2%what really happened
CommandersRamsthe rest never happened

Q4 2:00 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to 12-V.Jefferson (1-E.Forbes).

Week 9

The rest of the week