NFC West · 2026 season

SeattleSeahawks

5-4record2ndin West#8NFC seed+40point diffW1streak

RaidersSun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETSEA -3.5 · O/U 43.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Biggest improvementOffenseEPA per play24th→18th

Over the last 4 games the offense has posted -0.00 EPA per play (265 plays), 18th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.07 EPA per play (294 plays), 24th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Emerging problemRun defenseEPA per rush allowed2nd→29th

Over the last 4 games the run defense has allowed +0.02 EPA per rush (91 rushes), 29th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.21 EPA per rush (116 rushes), 2nd.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftRodney Thomas II, Sdefensive snap share80%→2%

Rodney Thomas II has played 2% of defensive snaps over the last 4 games, down from 80% in the 5 games before. On the field in 2 of 4 and 5 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 10:04 AM ET

The Seattle Seahawks are 5-4 in the 2026 season, 2nd in the NFC West and the No. 8 seed in the NFC, with a point differential of +40. On offense they rank 23rd in the league in EPA per play (-0.040); on defense they rank 5th (-0.096 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 36% chance to make the playoffs and 1.3% to win the Super Bowl. The Seattle Seahawks play next on the road at the Las Vegas Raiders on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the Seattle Seahawks record?

5-4, 2nd in the NFC West. Home 4-2, road 1-2, division 2-1, conference 2-3, current streak W1. Points: 202 scored, 162 allowed.

Who do the Seattle Seahawks play next?

The Seattle Seahawks play next on the road at the Las Vegas Raiders on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the Seattle Seahawks' playoff chances?

36% to make the playoffs, 3% to win the NFC West, 1% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 3.1% to win the NFC and 1.3% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 9.3-7.7).

Who is the Seattle Seahawks starting quarterback?

Sam Darnold is first on the Seahawks depth chart at quarterback (currently out on the injury report), with Drew Lock behind.

Who is injured for the Seattle Seahawks?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Brandon Pili (DT, out, back), Charles Cross (OT, out, ankle), Leonard Williams (DT, out, shoulder), Quenton Nelson (G, out, knee), Rashid Shaheed (WR, out, knee), Sam Darnold (QB, out, quadriceps) and Uchenna Nwosu (LB, out, ankle). Questionable: Drew Lock (QB, questionable, oblique).

How good is the Seattle Seahawks offense and defense?

Offense: 23rd in EPA per play (-0.040), 15th on dropbacks, 27th on runs, success rate 41.1%. Defense: 5th in EPA allowed (-0.096), 4th against the pass, 10th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Seattle Seahawks 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/seahawks (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

From the Seahawks Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeSeahawks pressure Cardinals into a 3-for-13 night on third down and win 17-3Seattle sacked Arizona three times, held it to 50 rushing yards and scored on two of its two red zone trips in a Week 9 win at Lumen Field.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportSeahawks lean on a No. 4 pass defense with Sam Darnold out against ArizonaNov 7, 2026 · 3 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Seahawks, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record5-4

Deserved5.5wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−0.5 luck wins · 23rd luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 9th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineEvery result so far matched the play or was a coin flip.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Seahawks would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games2-3decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index91%1st most timid of 28

Flags, net−42win prob. points · 28th

Bounce & kick luck−7.1points · −0.8 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Seahawks earned it: the snaps said Seahawks by 15.7, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost outside runs, least shotgun rate in the leagueClosest twin: Bears (67%)Clock IQ13th of 32 at managing the clockMike Macdonald · 4 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real85-4

Deserved75.5-3.5

Locked out of a spot the snaps earnedSeeds in the NFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−1.3The market has them about rightPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 3-4-2 against the spread Sliding Doors3losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped155 points of win probability lost to those plays, 79 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 11Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsSeahawks5-4 · proj 9.3-7.7 · 9th in NFC36%▲ 3 pts

Win it all 1.3% · likeliest seed No. 7 (16%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 7 hardest of 32 · avg opp +0.9 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Seahawks stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.04023rd

Dropback EPA+0.08215th

Rush EPA-0.20227th

Success rate41.1%23rd

Defense

EPA allowed-0.0965th

Pass EPA allowed-0.0864th

Rush EPA allowed-0.11210th

Success allowed39.2%2nd

Pass rate over expected: -5.8% (27th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 559 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 11.2 (31st most) · RB 20.5 (20th most) · WR 23.2 (32nd most) · TE 11.0 (25th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 237 dropbacksS.Darnold-0.029EPA / dropback-2.5CPOE6.9aDOT43%success

Quarterback · 80 dropbacksD.Lock+0.400EPA / dropback+3.3CPOE6.9aDOT51%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
E.Wilson RB	111	403	3	-0.15	36%
J.Price RB	47	172	0	-0.37	26%
G.Holani RB	37	117	2	-0.35	32%
Z.Charbonnet RB	22	100	0	-0.06	36%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
J.Smith-Njigba WR	99	35%	51%	10.1	1036	9	+0.63
A.Barner TE	38	14%	5%	2.6	210	1	-0.37
C.Kupp WR	34	12%	14%	8.1	238	2	+0.30
R.Shaheed WR	31	11%	17%	11.1	163	0	-0.45
T.Horton WR	20	7%	8%	8.6	115	1	+0.28
G.Holani RB	15	5%	0%	0.1	88	0	+0.03
J.Price RB	15	5%	3%	3.8	83	0	+0.18
E.Wilson RB	9	3%	-1%	-1.8	65	1	-0.23

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

11WRSmith-Njigba Horton

22WRShaheed Charles

10WRKupp Bobo

DefenseBase 3-4 D

20FSLove Thomas II

21LCBWitherspoon Pritchett

99LDEWilliams Morris

32LILBThomas Knight

3NBEmmanwori

91NTMurphy II Pili ·

29RCBJobe Smith

90RDEReed Mills

13RILBJones IV O'Connell

7SLBNwosu Hall

39SSOkada Clark

0WLBLawrence Fowler Jr.

HolderMichael Dickson Kick ReturnerRashid Shaheed Long SnapperChris Stoll PunterMichael Dickson Place KickerJason Myers Punt ReturnerRashid Shaheed

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Grey ZabelG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Abraham LucasT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Jalen SundellC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	98	100
Anthony BradfordG	100						100		100
Drew LockQB	90	100							100
Josh JonesG	2	3	3	5			19	100	100
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR	90	67	87	88	84	92	77	97	76
Cooper KuppWR	78	43	67	57	81	85	65	92	73
AJ BarnerTE	88	80	91	90	95	93	80	95	72
Tory HortonWR		31	22	17	17	46	45	68	61
Zach CharbonnetRB								37	57
Eric SaubertTE	20	24	27	30	35	19	32	24	48
Nick KallerupTE		27	10			12	38	6	40
Jadarian PriceRB	48	34	28					48	36

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Ernest JonesLB	100	96	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Julian LoveS	100	96		100	97	100	100	94	100
Nick EmmanworiS		18	52	79	93	97	100	91	100
Ty OkadaS					93	98	100	100	100
Josh JobeCB	99	96	100	100	100	98	100	99	98
Devon WitherspoonCB	99	96	100	100	98	98	100	100	98
Drake ThomasLB	100	94	83	79	77			84	79
Byron MurphyDE	70	66	70	59	68	73	74	77	75
DeMarcus LawrenceLB	59	60	65	59	65	57	68	64	74
Jarran ReedDE	48	44	51	49	52	52	30	47	60
Rylie MillsDT	23	30	22	28	8	20	13	33	58
Derick HallLB	62	58	51	59	42	37	53	73	55
Mike MorrisDE			3	10	12	20	13	37	32
Nehemiah PritchettCB	75	76	52	28	7	13	21	19	23

With / Without

All Seahawks splits →

QuarterbackSam Darnold87% of snapsOutSmall sample

-0.21Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play-0.101+0.106

Success40.1%44.8%

Points / game23.524.0

With 6 games · 387 playsWithout 2 games · 125 plays (Wks 2, 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

WSH

LAC

DEN

CHI+1.3

Without

ARI

ARI-5.8

Opponents in the games with him were 7.1 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

Without games:Charles Cross OT · 1/2, Rashid Shaheed WR · 1/2

With games:Drake Thomas LB · 2/6, Charles Cross OT · 1/6, Julian Love S · 1/6, Rashid Shaheed WR · 1/6

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wk 1)+0.066From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)-0.099

LinebackerDrake Thomas85% of snapsSmall sample

-0.04Observed difference
EPA allowed, better without

EPA allowed-0.089-0.125

Success allowed41.0%32.1%

Points allowed20.310.0

With 7 games · 420 playsWithout 2 games · 106 plays (Wks 6, 7)

Opponents avg rating

With

ARI

WSH

LAC

CHI

ARI-1.6

Without

DEN

KC+3.7

Opponents in the games with him were 5.3 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

With games:Charles Cross OT · 2/7, Rashid Shaheed WR · 2/7, Sam Darnold QB · 2/7, Julian Love S · 1/7

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 2-5)-0.140From Wk 6 on (Wks 6-9)-0.048

SafetyJulian Love98% of snapsSmall sample

+0.02Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed-0.099-0.080

Success allowed40.2%31.7%

Points allowed16.133.0

With 8 games · 463 playsWithout 1 game · 63 plays (Wk 3)

Opponents avg rating

With

ARI

LAC

DEN

CHI

ARI-0.1

Without

WSH-2.6

Opponents in the games with him were 2.5 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Charles Cross OT · 2/8, Drake Thomas LB · 2/8, Rashid Shaheed WR · 2/8, Sam Darnold QB · 2/8

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-2)-0.199From Wk 3 on (Wks 3-6)-0.105

Wide receiverRashid Shaheed50% of snapsOutSmall sample

+0.00Observed difference
EPA/play, better with

EPA / play-0.040-0.043

Success42.1%37.4%

Points / game24.017.0

With 7 games · 444 playsWithout 2 games · 115 plays (Wks 8, 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

ARI

WSH

LAC

DEN

KC-0.3

Without

CHI

ARI-0.8

Opponents of similar strength in both groups

Other starters out

Without games:Charles Cross OT · 2/2, Sam Darnold QB · 1/2

With games:Drake Thomas LB · 2/7, Julian Love S · 1/7, Sam Darnold QB · 1/7

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 4-7)-0.101From Wk 8 on (Wks 8-9)-0.043

No "without" sample yet

Never missed a game

Key Seahawks starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.

Abraham LucasTackle · 9/9 games100%
Ernest Jones IVEdge rusher · 9/9 games100%
Josh JobeCornerback · 9/9 games99%
Devon WitherspoonCornerback · 9/9 games99%
AJ BarnerTight end · 9/9 games87%
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWide receiver · 9/9 games84%
Cooper KuppWide receiver · 9/9 games71%
Byron Murphy IIInterior line · 9/9 games70%

Bar = average share of his unit's snaps · all 9 starters →

Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is

Injury report

Whole league

Out, doubtful or on IR

Brandon PiliDT · #95 · BackOut
Charles CrossOT · #67 · AnkleOut
Leonard WilliamsDT · #99 · ShoulderOut
Quenton NelsonG · #53 · KneeOut
Rashid ShaheedWR · #22 · KneeOut
Sam DarnoldQB · #14 · QuadricepsOut
Uchenna NwosuLB · #7 · AnkleOut

Questionable

Drew LockQB · #2 · ObliqueQuestionable

NFC West

Full standings

49ersDiv 3-0 · Home 5-0 · Road 2-17-1+79 2

SeahawksDiv 2-1 · Home 4-2 · Road 1-25-4+40 3

RamsDiv 0-2 · Home 2-3 · Road 3-15-4+33 4

CardinalsDiv 1-3 · Home 0-3 · Road 3-33-6-77