AFC North · 2026 season

PittsburghSteelers

6-2record2ndin North#4AFC seed+36point diffW4streak

BengalsSun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ETCIN -3.5 · O/U 48.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 5-8) vs 4 games before (weeks 1-4)

Biggest improvementDefensesuccess rate allowed26th→6th

Over the last 4 games the defense has allowed a 38.2% success rate (262 plays), 6th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 4 games before: a 46.0% success rate (224 plays), 26th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftGermie Bernard, WRoffensive snap share38%→91%

Germie Bernard has played 91% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 38% in the 4 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 4 of 4; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 12:03 PM ET

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6-2 in the 2026 season, 2nd in the AFC North and the No. 4 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of +36. On offense they rank 19th in the league in EPA per play (-0.027); on defense they rank 7th (-0.074 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 87% chance to make the playoffs and 2.5% to win the Super Bowl. The Pittsburgh Steelers play next on the road at the Cincinnati Bengals on Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET (Week 10), on NBC.

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers record?

6-2, 2nd in the AFC North. Home 4-0, road 2-2, division 2-1, conference 3-2, current streak W4. Points: 180 scored, 144 allowed.

Who do the Pittsburgh Steelers play next?

The Pittsburgh Steelers play next on the road at the Cincinnati Bengals on Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET (Week 10), on NBC.

What are the Pittsburgh Steelers' playoff chances?

87% to make the playoffs, 33% to win the AFC North, 4% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 5.5% to win the AFC and 2.5% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 11.2-5.8).

Who is the Pittsburgh Steelers starting quarterback?

Aaron Rodgers is first on the Steelers depth chart at quarterback, with Mason Rudolph behind.

Who is injured for the Pittsburgh Steelers?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, injured reserve, foot) and Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT, injured reserve, triceps). Questionable: Ben Skowronek (WR, questionable, calf), Brandin Echols (CB, questionable, hamstring) and Doneiko Slaughter (CB, questionable, hamstring).

How good is the Pittsburgh Steelers offense and defense?

Offense: 19th in EPA per play (-0.027), 26th on dropbacks, 1st on runs, success rate 42.1%. Defense: 7th in EPA allowed (-0.074), 8th against the pass, 4th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Pittsburgh Steelers 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/steelers (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Steelers Desk

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The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Steelers, judged from every snap

Due to fall+1.0 wins above what the snaps earned

Real record6-2

Deserved5.0wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

+1.0 luck wins · 5th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 10th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineLucky in 1 game of 8.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 8 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Steelers would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games4-1decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index44%17th most timid of 28

Flags, net+96win prob. points · 1st

Bounce & kick luck+6.8points · +0.9 a game

Latest ruling · Week 8

Steelers earned it: the snaps said Steelers by 12.1, a deserved win probability of 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNASlowest tempo, most rpo rate in the leagueClosest twin: Packers (57%)Clock IQ27th of 32 at managing the clockMike McCarthy · 14 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real46-2

Deserved55.0-3.0

#4 seed for real, #5 seed deservedSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps+0.7The market has them about rightPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 6-2 against the spread Sliding Doors1loss that one coin-flip play could have flipped52 points of win probability lost to those plays, 143 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 9Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsSteelers6-2 · proj 11.2-5.8 · 6th in AFC87%▲ 3 pts

Win it all 2.5% · likeliest seed No. 5 (22%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 20 hardest of 32 · avg opp -0.2 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Steelers stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.02719th

Dropback EPA-0.11026th

Rush EPA+0.1191st

Success rate42.1%19th

Defense

EPA allowed-0.0747th

Pass EPA allowed-0.0288th

Rush EPA allowed-0.1614th

Success allowed41.8%11th

Pass rate over expected: +1.2% (5th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 494 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 12.7 (30th most) · RB 20.3 (23rd most) · WR 28.9 (24th most) · TE 13.2 (18th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 312 dropbacksA.Rodgers-0.101EPA / dropback-1.9CPOE7.5aDOT41%success

Quarterback · 2 dropbacksM.Rudolph-0.557EPA / dropback-76.3CPOE6.0aDOT0%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
J.Warren RB	119	704	2	+0.13	48%
R.Dowdle RB	46	174	1	-0.07	33%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
D.Metcalf WR	64	24%	41%	12.6	378	1	-0.03
G.Bernard WR	42	16%	11%	5.1	284	1	-0.02
J.Warren RB	37	14%	-2%	-1.0	294	1	-0.03
P.Freiermuth TE	35	13%	15%	8.5	235	4	+0.23
D.Washington TE	28	10%	8%	5.4	254	3	+0.30
R.Wilson WR	25	9%	19%	15.2	188	2	+0.25
R.Dowdle RB	17	6%	-1%	-0.6	82	0	-0.11
M.Pittman WR	12	4%	6%	9.4	89	0	+0.20

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

DefenseBase 3-4 D

3FSBrisker

22LCBSamuel Jr.Murphy-Bunting

94LDEBlack Rubio

41LILBWilson Holcomb

5NBRamsey Echols ·

95NTBenton Joseph-Day ·

35RCBDean Everette

97RDEHeyward Jobity Jr.

6RILBQueen Bruener

56SLBHighsmith Sawyer

25SSElliott Spears-Jennings

90WLBWatt Herbig

HolderCameron Johnston Kick ReturnerKaden Wetjen Long SnapperChristian Kuntz PunterCameron Johnston Place KickerChris Boswell Punt ReturnerKaden Wetjen

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Mason McCormickG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Zach FrazierC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Troy FautanuT	99	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Max IheanachorT	1	4	100	100	100	100	100	100
Brock HoffmanG		4	100	100	100	100	100	100
Aaron RodgersQB	100	96	100	100	97	100	100	95
D.K. MetcalfWR	96	97	95	97	92	95	92	92
Germie BernardWR	4	79	27	40	92	94	91	85
Darnell WashingtonTE	64	53	76	71	63	71	56	63
Jaylen WarrenRB	37	71	90	97	87	75	62	58
Pat FreiermuthTE	73	66	60	75	68	72	53	53
Rico DowdleRB	58	26				27	44	47
Brandon SmithWR					27	52	45	36
Spencer AndersonOL	100	96					20	27

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Jalen RamseyCB	100	100	100	98	100	100	100	100
Jaquan BriskerS	100	98	100	100	100	100	100	100
Asante Samuel Jr.CB	100	100	72	91	94	100	96	100
Patrick QueenLB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	99
Jamel DeanCB	98	85	82	25		88	96	97
Payton WilsonLB	95	78	70	81	89	92	91	91
Alex HighsmithLB	68	60	72	70	72	62	58	60
Keeanu BentonDT	58	65	56	61	68	59	60	60
T.J. WattLB	63	56	77	73	72	68	65	56
Nick HerbigLB	65	53	47	44	54	58	56	53
Cameron HeywardDT	53	75	65	72	62	65	60	51
Robert Spears-JenningsS		2		58	54	64	47	47
Jack SawyerLB	38	35	16	23	28	28	30	47
Yahya BlackDL	30	36	28	45	45	45	47	34