Pigskin Nightly
More
GamedayScores & liveEvery game, live field, drive chartVideoHighlights for every gameStartersProjected, last game, confirmedInjury reportWho is out this weekTravel & restMiles, time zones, short weeks
AnalyticsThe VerdictWho deserved to win, graded weeklyEPA mapEvery offense and defenseWith / WithoutTeam splits when a starter sitsMilestone WatchCareer marks within reachCompare playersSide by side, every numberDFS researchDefense vs position, usage, totalsFree widgetsLive scores and stats for your siteGlossaryWhat every number means
The LabAll Lab toolsOriginal tools, built from every snapDeserved StandingsThe table the snaps would have builtSliding DoorsThe play that could have flipped itClock IQEvery staff against the clockRef Crew ReportEvery officiating crew, in numbersMarket vs SnapsWhere the line and the tape disagreeScheme DNAEvery playbook's fingerprintGame DNAEvery game drawn as one strandPaid vs PlayedEvery contract against the fieldLoudest StadiumsCrowd noise, measured since 1999Turf vs GrassInjuries by playing surfaceWeather LedgerReal weather, every game since 2000Line MovementOpening vs closing, every game since 2023
ClubsStandingsDivisions and playoff seedsPlayoff odds10,000 simulated seasonsStrength of scheduleThe road left for all 32All 32 teamsHubs, depth charts, snapsRostersEvery player, every teamNewsroomThe 32 club desksHow we writeOur editorial standards
Week 10
Latest
Philadelphia Eagles2026 Salute to Service Nominee: Trailblazer Rachel Washburn's impact goes beyond the uniformsPro Football RumorsCardinals Work Out QBs Cooper Rush, Trevor SiemianESPNWhy Giants' trade attempts 'just didn't happen'ESPNChiefs add WR Josh Downs at NFL trade deadlineESPNHow the Amani Hooker trade helps the Titans rebuildInjuryEric Wilson: Active → Cleared7 h agoPro Football RumorsJets Work Out QBs Bailey Zappe, Austin ReedInjuryZach Allen: Active → Cleared8 h agoPro Football RumorsCowboys Add RB Kendre Miller To Practice SquadESPNHow Josh Downs fits with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offenseInjuryNathan Shepherd: Active → Cleared8 h agoESPNPatrick and Brittany Mahomes announce baby No. 4 on NFL trade deadline dayInjuryJoshua Metellus: Active → Cleared9 h agoCincinnati BengalsInside The Drive | How Ja'Marr Chase Took Over MadridInjuryJordyn Brooks: Active → Cleared9 h agoPro Football RumorsNFL Practice Squad Updates: 11/10/26ESPNRaiders name Fernando Mendoza starting QB after trading Kirk CousinsInjuryQuentin Lake: Active → Cleared9 h agoInjuryDre'Mont Jones: Active → Cleared9 h agoInjuryChristian Barmore: Active → Cleared9 h agoSan Francisco 49ersPower Rankings: Where the 49ers Stand Entering Week 10ESPNGet ready for Chargers vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Broncos 26 · 21 Panthers

153 plays, one strand. Broncos won after 2 lead changes; Broncos peaked at 98% to win, Panthers at 77%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CAR, down for DEN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; Broncos peaked at 98% to win, Panthers at 77%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Panthers win, play by play. High = CAR in control, low = DEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for CAR on offense, down for DEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Panthers ↑Broncos ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTTDTDINTTDTDTDFUMCAR ↑ HOMEDEN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DEN on the left, CAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DENCAR
65Plays62
313Yards353
2Explosive plays7
3Offensive TDs3
1Turnovers2
98%Peak win prob.77%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DENFG25yCARPunt14yDENTD71yCARPunt1yDENPunt4yCARFG ✕37yDENINT29yCARTD96yDENFG30yCARTD55yDENPunt3yCARINT82yDENTD80yCARPunt-8yDENTD53yCARTD64yDENPunt8yCARFUM12yDEN–10y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points against Panthers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 11:49 · CAR · Missed field goal

    10-R.Fitzgerald 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.

    −3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 7:38 · DEN · Interception

    10-B.Nix pass short right intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 31-C.Thornton at CAR 5. 31-C.Thornton to CAR 14 for 9 yards (77-Q.Meinerz)

    −4.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 1:31 · CAR · Touchdown

    9-B.Young pass short left to 82-T.Tremble for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.7 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 11:36 · CAR · Touchdown

    9-B.Young pass short middle to 88-D.Waller for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.1 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 1:35 · CAR · Interception

    73-S.Forsythe reported in as eligible. 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 82-T.Tremble (40-J.Strnad). Denver challenged the incomplete

    −7.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 5:46 · DEN · Touchdown

    10-B.Nix pass deep left to 13-P.Bryant for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.9 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 3:18 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass deep left to 13-J.Metchie to DEN 9 for 25 yards (30-T.Rapp). PENALTY on DEN-99-Z.Allen, Roughing the Passer, 5 yards, enforce

    +5.1 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:24 · CAR · Fumble lost

    9-B.Young sacked at DEN 44 for -8 yards (15-N.Bonitto). FUMBLES (15-N.Bonitto) [15-N.Bonitto], RECOVERED by DEN-15-N.Bonitto at DEN 44. The

    −3.3 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
26@21Week 9

If the Panthers had fallen on their own fumble

Panthers after the play3%what really happened
PanthersBroncosthe rest never happened

Q4 1:24 9-B.Young sacked at DEN 44 for -8 yards (15-N.Bonitto). FUMBLES (15-N.Bonitto) [15-N.Bonitto], RECOVERED by DEN-15-N.Bonitto at DEN 44. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

Week 9

The rest of the week

Every week →
Jaguars at Ravens, Game DNA33@10Bengals at Falcons, Game DNA34@17Browns at Saints, Game DNA22@23Cowboys at Colts, Game DNA27@23Lions at Dolphins, Game DNA19@9Rams at Commanders, Game DNA20@13Giants at Eagles, Game DNA19@11Jets at Chiefs, Game DNA12@35Texans at Chargers, Game DNA44@22Raiders at 49ers, Game DNA17@38Cardinals at Seahawks, Game DNA3@17Packers at Patriots, Game DNA45@27Buccaneers at Bears, Game DNA24@27Bills at Vikings, Game DNA23@6