NFC East · 2026 season

DallasCowboys

4-5record2ndin East#10NFC seed+10point diffW1streak

49ersSun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ETSF -3.5 · O/U 55.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Biggest improvementPass defenseEPA per dropback allowed32nd→11th

Over the last 4 games the pass defense has allowed -0.04 EPA per dropback (170 dropbacks), 11th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: +0.40 EPA per dropback (161 dropbacks), 32nd.

Season EPA ranks ↓Emerging problemRun defenseEPA per rush allowed21st→28th

Over the last 4 games the run defense has allowed +0.01 EPA per rush (94 rushes), 28th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.04 EPA per rush (142 rushes), 21st.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftShemar James, LBdefensive snap share35%→90%

Shemar James has played 90% of defensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 35% in the 5 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 5 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The Dallas Cowboys are 4-5 in the 2026 season, 2nd in the NFC East and the No. 10 seed in the NFC, with a point differential of +10. On offense they rank 7th in the league in EPA per play (+0.097); on defense they rank 30th (+0.091 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 20% chance to make the playoffs and 0.5% to win the Super Bowl. The Dallas Cowboys play next at home against the San Francisco 49ers on Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET (Week 10), on Fox.

What is the Dallas Cowboys record?

4-5, 2nd in the NFC East. Home 1-3, road 3-2, division 2-1, conference 2-4, current streak W1. Points: 246 scored, 236 allowed.

Who do the Dallas Cowboys play next?

The Dallas Cowboys play next at home against the San Francisco 49ers on Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET (Week 10), on Fox.

What are the Dallas Cowboys' playoff chances?

20% to make the playoffs, 16% to win the NFC East, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 1.4% to win the NFC and 0.5% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 8.0-9.0).

Who is the Dallas Cowboys starting quarterback?

Dak Prescott is first on the Cowboys depth chart at quarterback, with Sam Howell behind.

Who is injured for the Dallas Cowboys?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: DeMarvion Overshown (LB, out, hamstring), George Pickens (WR, out, hamstring), Jake Ferguson (TE, out, knee), Joey Porter Jr. (CB, out, ankle), KaVontae Turpin (WR, out, ribs), Luke Schoonmaker (TE, out, groin), P.J. Locke (S, out, concussion) and Tyler Goodson (RB, out, knee) (plus 2 more). Questionable: Donovan Ezeiruaku (LB, questionable, ankle) and Jonathan Mingo (WR, questionable, ankle).

How good is the Dallas Cowboys offense and defense?

Offense: 7th in EPA per play (+0.097), 9th on dropbacks, 9th on runs, success rate 46.5%. Defense: 30th in EPA allowed (+0.091), 28th against the pass, 27th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Dallas Cowboys 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/cowboys (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Cowboys Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeDak Prescott's 46-yard throw to Ryan Flournoy ended Indianapolis's last leadDallas beat the Colts 27-23 on the road after Prescott threw 335 yards and the Cowboys outgained Indianapolis 509 to 271.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportCowboys' No. 7 offense meets a Colts passing game ranked 31stNov 7, 2026 · 2 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Cowboys, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record4-5

Deserved4.3wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−0.3 luck wins · 22nd luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 14th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom linerobbed in 1 of 9.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Cowboys would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games2-4decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index40%20th most timid of 28

Flags, net+56win prob. points · 6th

Bounce & kick luck−5.7points · −0.6 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Cowboys earned it: the snaps said Cowboys by 13.8, a deserved win probability of 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNALeast pre-snap motion, least outside runs in the leagueClosest twin: Cardinals (63%)Clock IQ15th of 32 at managing the clockBrian Schottenheimer · 8 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real104-5

Deserved–4.3-4.7

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the NFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−2.6The market overrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 3-5-1 against the spread Sliding Doors3losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped168 points of win probability lost to those plays, 76 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 14Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsCowboys4-5 · proj 8.0-9.0 · 11th in NFC20%▲ 3 pts

Win it all 0.5% · likeliest seed No. 3 (9%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 4 hardest of 32 · avg opp +1.4 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Cowboys stand

Offense

EPA per play+0.0977th

Dropback EPA+0.1559th

Rush EPA-0.0049th

Success rate46.5%9th

Defense

EPA allowed+0.09130th

Pass EPA allowed+0.17028th

Rush EPA allowed-0.02027th

Success allowed46.2%27th

Pass rate over expected: -0.3% (9th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 585 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 19.8 (6th most) · RB 26.8 (6th most) · WR 35.9 (8th most) · TE 13.1 (19th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 371 dropbacksD.Prescott+0.155EPA / dropback+0.1CPOE8.2aDOT48%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
J.Williams RB	154	629	10	+0.01	45%
T.Goodson RB	40	163	0	-0.03	48%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
C.Lamb WR	110	33%	43%	10.7	904	7	+0.32
G.Pickens WR	62	19%	27%	11.6	533	2	+0.41
R.Flournoy WR	48	15%	13%	7.7	395	2	+0.38
J.Williams RB	29	9%	-2%	-1.6	127	1	+0.06
J.Ferguson TE	27	8%	5%	5.3	136	4	-0.08
B.Spann-Ford TE	21	6%	3%	3.3	130	0	+0.16
J.Mingo WR	11	3%	7%	16.2	53	0	-0.04
T.Goodson RB	8	2%	0%	-0.5	23	0	-0.17

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

73LGSmith Bass

33RBWilliams Goodson ·

52RGBooker Cornelius

78RTSteele Jones

87TEFerguson Spann-Ford

88WRLamb Turpin ·

3WRPickens Mingo ·

19WRFlournoy Brown

DefenseBase 3-4 D

24FSHooker Clark

25LCBPorter Jr.Durant

92LDEWilliams Overton

0LILBOvershown Barham

13NBDowns

91NTOgbonnia Bullard ·

26RCBBland Speed

97RDEClark Garcia

53RILBWinters James

6SLBEzeiruaku Liufau

1SSLocke Bell

7WLBGary Miller

HolderBryan Anger Kick ReturnerKaVontae Turpin Long SnapperTrent Sieg PunterBryan Anger Place KickerBrandon Aubrey Punt ReturnerKaVontae Turpin

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Tyler BookerG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Cooper BeebeC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Dak PrescottQB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Terence SteeleT	100	100	99	100	100	100	100	100	100
Tyler GuytonT	100	100	100	100	87	100	100	100	100
Tyler SmithG					100	100	100	100	100
Ryan FlournoyWR	71	76	66	74	68	87	78	68	97
CeeDee LambWR	81	75	82	86	57	88	81	76	94
Javonte WilliamsRB	71	80	76	74	85	73	65	74	72
Brevyn Spann-FordTE	22	38	38	40	33	46	53	88	70
Jonathan MingoWR	19	20	18	18	20	19	34	19	39
Camden BrownWR								1	37
Jake FergusonTE	76	60	69	71	83	54	56	5	34
Tyler GoodsonRB			15	21	5	14	21	27	25

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
DaRon BlandCB	100	94	100	100	100	97	88	100	100
Caleb DownsDB	88	100	100	100	100	100	85	68	100
Cobie DurantCB	72	52					36	64	100
Shemar JamesLB	1	54	33	47	42	79	88	96	95
Dee WintersLB	58	75	69	80	64	21			91
Malik HookerS	17			73	68	77	68	64	80
Quinnen WilliamsDT	77	70	75	69	69	51	58	62	70
Rashan GaryLB	59	65	75	69	69	65	64	62	70
Kenny ClarkDT	72	69	70	64	71	72	55	58	69
P.J. LockeS	41	4						84	67
Donovan EzeiruakuLB	61	69	78	75	75	55	65	58	50
James HoustonLB	14						5	25	48
Otito OgbonniaDT	58	41	62	31	47	51	33	33	42
Von MillerLB	16	30	25	25	14	17	27	22	30