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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Browns 22 · 23 Saints

167 plays, one strand. Saints won after 4 lead changes; Browns peaked at 81% to win, Saints at 92%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NO, down for CLE, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line4 lead changes; Browns peaked at 81% to win, Saints at 92%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Saints win, play by play. High = NO in control, low = CLE in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NO on offense, down for CLE; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Saints ↑Browns ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1FUMTDTDTDTDNO ↑ HOMECLE ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CLE on the left, NO on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CLENO
69Plays71
356Yards397
5Explosive plays6
2Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers1
81%Peak win prob.92%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CLEPunt1yNOFG46yCLEPunt18yNOFG ✕21yCLEFG30yNOFUM65yCLEPunt19yCLE–13yNOPunt44yNOPunt6yCLEFG66yNOFG54yCLEPunt-7yNOPunt-8yCLE–30yNOFG23yCLETD64yNOPunt7yCLEPunt9yNOTD55yCLEFG41yNOTD84yCLETD72y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points against Saints.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 0:13 · NO · Missed field goal

    39-C.Smyth 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    −3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 9:41 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 19-B.Brown to CLE 11 for 52 yards (33-R.Hickman).

    +3.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 8:11 · NO · Fumble lost

    6-T.Shough pass short left to 0-J.Tyson to CLE 2 for 9 yards (49-C.Schwesinger; 5-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (49-C.Schwesinger), RECOVERED by CLE-

    −3.9 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 4:12 · CLE · Punt

    13-C.Bojorquez punts 57 yards to NO 23, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 19-B.Brown to NO 20 for -3 yards (98-A.Huntington). FUMBLES (98-A.Huntington),

    +5.8 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 1:42 · CLE · Run

    70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left guard to NO 1 for no gain (55-K.Elliss).

    −4.1 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 11:15 · CLE · Completion

    2-S.Sanders pass deep right to 12-D.Boston pushed ob at NO 3 for 60 yards (1-K.McKinstry).

    +4.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 5:33 · CLE · Touchdown

    2-S.Sanders pass deep right to 1-K.Concepcion for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Elliss].

    +5.1 EP
  8. 8
    OT 1:11 · CLE · Touchdown

    2-S.Sanders pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [1-K.McKinstry].

    +4.6 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
22@23Week 9Changes the winner

If the Browns had converted that fourth-and-1

Browns after the play45%what really happened
SaintsBrownsthe rest never happened

Q2 1:42 70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left guard to NO 1 for no gain (55-K.Elliss).

Week 9

The rest of the week