Week 9 · 2026Browns 22 · 23 Saints
167 plays, one strand. Saints won after 4 lead changes; Browns peaked at 81% to win, Saints at 92%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NO, down for CLE, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line4 lead changes; Browns peaked at 81% to win, Saints at 92%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Saints win, play by play. High = NO in control, low = CLE in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for NO on offense, down for CLE; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: CLE on the left, NO on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points against Saints.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 0:13 · NO · Missed field goal−3.5 EP
39-C.Smyth 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright.
- 2Q2 9:41 · NO · Completion+3.4 EP
6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 19-B.Brown to CLE 11 for 52 yards (33-R.Hickman).
- 3Q2 8:11 · NO · Fumble lost−3.9 EP
6-T.Shough pass short left to 0-J.Tyson to CLE 2 for 9 yards (49-C.Schwesinger; 5-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (49-C.Schwesinger), RECOVERED by CLE-
- 4Q2 4:12 · CLE · Punt+5.8 EP
13-C.Bojorquez punts 57 yards to NO 23, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 19-B.Brown to NO 20 for -3 yards (98-A.Huntington). FUMBLES (98-A.Huntington),
- 5Q2 1:42 · CLE · Run−4.1 EP
70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left guard to NO 1 for no gain (55-K.Elliss).
- 6Q3 11:15 · CLE · Completion+4.3 EP
2-S.Sanders pass deep right to 12-D.Boston pushed ob at NO 3 for 60 yards (1-K.McKinstry).
- 7Q4 5:33 · CLE · Touchdown+5.1 EP
2-S.Sanders pass deep right to 1-K.Concepcion for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Elliss].
- 8OT 1:11 · CLE · Touchdown+4.6 EP
2-S.Sanders pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [1-K.McKinstry].
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the Browns had converted that fourth-and-1
Q2 1:42 70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left guard to NO 1 for no gain (55-K.Elliss).