
EPA/play, better without
Opponents in the games with him were 3.2 pts weaker on average
With games:Chauncey Golston EDGE · 2/5, Deonte Banks CB · 2/5
No games before his first absence (Wk 1)→From Wk 1 on (Wks 1-4)-0.047
Over the last 4 games the defense has allowed a 35.1% success rate (248 plays), 1st among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 4 games before: a 46.5% success rate (228 plays), 27th.
Season EPA ranks ↓⇄Usage shiftAr'Darius Washington, Sdefensive snap share8%→64%Ar'Darius Washington has played 64% of defensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 8% in the 4 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 3 of 4; a game without a snap counts as zero.
Snap counts, week by week ↓The New York Giants are 5-2-1 in the 2026 season, 1st in the NFC East and the No. 3 seed in the NFC, with a point differential of +10. On offense they rank 15th in the league in EPA per play (+0.003); on defense they rank 11th (-0.030 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 82% chance to make the playoffs and 2.2% to win the Super Bowl. The New York Giants play next at home against the Washington Commanders on Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET (Week 10), on Prime Video.
5-2-1, 1st in the NFC East. Home 3-1, road 2-1-1, division 2-0, conference 3-2, current streak W2. Points: 182 scored, 172 allowed.
The New York Giants play next at home against the Washington Commanders on Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET (Week 10), on Prime Video.
82% to make the playoffs, 80% to win the NFC East, 3% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 6.3% to win the NFC and 2.2% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 10.2-6.8).
J.J. McCarthy is first on the Giants depth chart at quarterback (currently questionable on the injury report), with Jameis Winston behind.
Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Cam Skattebo (RB, out, hamstring). Questionable: Abdul Carter (LB, questionable, knee), Charlie Jones (WR, questionable, thumb), Darnell Mooney (WR, questionable, chest), J.J. McCarthy (QB, questionable, hip) and Malik Harrison (LB, questionable, groin).
Offense: 15th in EPA per play (+0.003), 16th on dropbacks, 19th on runs, success rate 40.7%. Defense: 11th in EPA allowed (-0.030), 13th against the pass, 14th against the run.
Pigskin Nightly, “New York Giants 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/giants (updated 2026-11-10).
Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up
+0.4 luck wins · 12th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 16th
Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line
↳Bottom lineEvery result so far matched the play or was a coin flip.
Giants earned it: the snaps said Giants by 5.8, a deserved win probability of 86%.
Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →
Pass rate over expected: -5.2% (26th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 519 offensive plays logged.
Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 19.6 (8th most) · RB 19.3 (28th most) · WR 30.1 (21st most) · TE 11.8 (22nd most). Defense vs position
Quarterback · 189 dropbacksJ.Winston-0.050EPA / dropback-6.1CPOE9.1aDOT41%success
Quarterback · 77 dropbacksJ.McCarthy+0.173EPA / dropback+5.3CPOE11.5aDOT39%success| Rushing | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/car | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo RB | 98 | 418 | 2 | -0.11 | 37% |
| D.Singletary RB | 39 | 111 | 1 | -0.29 | 23% |
| N.Harris | 32 | 101 | 0 | -0.35 | 25% |
| T.Tracy RB | 19 | 55 | 2 | -0.24 | 37% |
| Targets | Tgt | Target share | Air share | aDOT | Yds | TD | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Nabers WR | 79 | 30% | 36% | 11.4 | 648 | 2 | +0.22 |
| I.Likely TE | 70 | 27% | 21% | 7.6 | 448 | 6 | +0.26 |
| M.Fields WR | 35 | 13% | 19% | 13.5 | 288 | 1 | +0.24 |
| D.Mooney WR | 26 | 10% | 14% | 13.8 | 167 | 0 | +0.20 |
| C.Skattebo RB | 13 | 5% | 1% | 1.8 | 76 | 0 | +0.11 |
| D.Singletary RB | 12 | 5% | -1% | -2.3 | 63 | 1 | -0.02 |
| T.Johnson TE | 9 | 3% | 4% | 10.8 | 55 | 1 | +0.25 |
| T.Tracy RB | 7 | 3% | 0% | 0.6 | 54 | 1 | +0.64 |
| Offense | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis MauigoaOL | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Jon Runyan Jr.G | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Andrew ThomasT | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 68 | 100 | 100 |
| Bryan HudsonC | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||
| Jermaine EluemunorOL | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 49 | 100 | 99 | |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 36 | 26 | 40 | 29 | 93 | |||
| Malachi FieldsWR | 72 | 81 | 69 | 66 | 72 | 94 | 74 | 84 |
| Malik NabersWR | 52 | 74 | 78 | 76 | 90 | 86 | 73 | 79 |
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 6 | 40 | 92 | 76 | ||||
| Isaiah LikelyTE | 49 | 69 | 84 | 66 | 80 | 91 | 86 | 75 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 57 | 72 | 44 | 55 | 65 | 36 | 55 | 55 |
| Chris ManhertzTE | 35 | 31 | 44 | 52 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 45 |
| Patrick RicardFB | 54 | 31 | 47 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 52 | 31 |
| Jameis WinstonQB | 88 | 100 | 100 | 94 | 60 | 8 | 24 |
| Defense | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvell ReeseLB | 100 | 95 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Jevon HollandS | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| Micah McFaddenLB | 3 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| Greg Newsome IICB | 90 | 97 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 57 | 99 | |
| Deonte BanksCB | 83 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 99 | ||
| Kayvon ThibodeauxLB | 47 | 52 | 67 | 95 | 87 | 85 | 80 | 83 |
| Andru PhillipsCB | 83 | 48 | 82 | 65 | 77 | 74 | 64 | 83 |
| Abdul CarterLB | 91 | 89 | 97 | 97 | 87 | 65 | 93 | 76 |
| Ar'Darius WashingtonS | 2 | 2 | 27 | 47 | 40 | 100 | 67 | |
| D.J. ReaderDL | 47 | 53 | 50 | 64 | 52 | 61 | 72 | 54 |
| Shelby HarrisDL | 45 | 47 | 43 | 56 | 52 | 69 | 62 | 50 |
| Darius AlexanderDL | 31 | 38 | 55 | 53 | 51 | 33 | 49 | |
| Dawuane SmootLB | 49 | |||||||
| Jason PinnockS | 75 | 26 | 62 | 98 | 46 |

Opponents in the games with him were 3.2 pts weaker on average
With games:Chauncey Golston EDGE · 2/5, Deonte Banks CB · 2/5
No games before his first absence (Wk 1)→From Wk 1 on (Wks 1-4)-0.047

Opponents in the games with him were 2.4 pts weaker on average
With games:Chauncey Golston EDGE · 4/6, Cam Skattebo RB · 1/6, Greg Newsome II CB · 1/6, Jameis Winston QB · 1/6 +1 more
Before (Wk 1)+0.221→From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)-0.005

Opponents in the games with him were 7.3 pts stronger on average
Without games:Chauncey Golston EDGE · 1/1
With games:Chauncey Golston EDGE · 2/6, Deonte Banks CB · 2/6, Greg Newsome II CB · 1/6, Jameis Winston QB · 1/6 +1 more
Before (Wks 4-7)+0.044→From Wk 9 on (Wk 9)-0.071

Opponents in the games with him were 1.6 pts stronger on average
Without games:Cam Skattebo RB · 1/4, Greg Newsome II CB · 1/4, Jevon Holland S · 1/4
With games:Deonte Banks CB · 2/4, Jameis Winston QB · 1/4
Before (Wks 1-4)+0.016→From Wk 5 on (Wks 5-9)-0.073
Key Giants starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.
Bar = average share of his unit's snaps · all 9 starters →
Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is