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Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Lambeau Field1 PM ET
At a glance

The Minnesota Vikings (6-2) visit the Green Bay Packers (6-3) on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI (Week 10, 2026 season), on Fox. Betting line: GB -3.5, over/under 41.5.

When and where is Vikings vs Packers?

Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI. TV: Fox.

Who is favored in Vikings vs Packers?

The line is GB -3.5 with an over/under of 41.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Vikings vs Packers?

Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, doubtful, hamstring), Jauan Jennings (WR, questionable, calf), Theo Jackson (S, questionable) and Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (DE, questionable, ankle). Packers: Josh Jacobs (RB, out, finger), Micah Parsons (DE, out, knee - acl), Zaire Franklin (LB, doubtful, shin), Bo Melton (WR, questionable, head), Josh Whyle (TE, questionable, concussion) and MarShawn Lloyd (RB, questionable, knee) (plus 3 more).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Vikings at Packers: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-15-min-at-gb (updated 2026-11-11).

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Packers logoPackers pass defense vs Vikings dropback offense

    The Packers' pass defense ranks 5th in EPA per dropback (-0.07 allowed, 372 dropbacks faced) and faces a Vikings dropback offense ranked 27th (-0.11, 266 dropbacks).

    27thMIN offense22 spots apart5thGB defense
  2. 2Vikings logoVikings run defense vs Packers run game

    The Vikings' run defense ranks 11th in EPA per rush (-0.11 allowed, 210 rushes faced) and faces a Packers run game ranked 31st (-0.24, 194 rushes).

    31stGB offense20 spots apart11thMIN defense
  3. 3Vikings logoVikings third-down defense vs Packers third-down offense

    The Vikings' third-down defense ranks 2nd in third-down conversion rate (32.4% allowed, 108 third downs faced) and faces a Packers third-down offense ranked 19th (38.1%, 118 third downs).

    19thGB offense17 spots apart2ndMIN defense
When the Vikings have the ballEdge GB · +22 ranks
MIN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackGB pass defense
27th-0.11266 dropbacks
GB +22
-0.07 allowed372 dropbacks faced5th
MIN run gameEPA per rushGB run defense
30th-0.23181 rushes
GB +14
-0.08 allowed220 rushes faced16th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Packers have the ballEdge MIN · +20 ranks
GB dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIN pass defense
6th+0.18361 dropbacks
-0.18 allowed271 dropbacks faced1st
GB run gameEPA per rushMIN run defense
31st-0.24194 rushes
MIN +20
-0.11 allowed210 rushes faced11th
Third downEdge MIN · +17 ranks
MIN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateGB third-down defense
28th35.2%105 third downs
43.7% allowed119 third downs faced24th
GB third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIN third-down defense
19th38.1%118 third downs
MIN +17
32.4% allowed108 third downs faced2nd

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge MIN · +18 ranks
MIN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateGB red-zone defense
25th50%18 trips
61% allowed33 trips faced18th
GB red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIN red-zone defense
19th54%35 trips
MIN +18
26% allowed19 trips faced1st

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge GB · +13 ranks
MIN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateGB defense against big plays
19th8.7%447 plays
GB +13
7.4% allowed592 plays faced6th
GB big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIN defense against big plays
9th9.9%555 plays
8.7% allowed481 plays faced11th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge GB · +15 ranks
MIN pass protectionsack rateGB pass rush
26th8.6% sacked266 dropbacks
GB +15
7.0% of dropbacks372 dropbacks faced11th
GB pass protectionsack rateMIN pass rush
9th4.7% sacked361 dropbacks
MIN +8
10.7% of dropbacks271 dropbacks faced1st

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge GB · +9 ranks
MIN ball securityturnovers per gameGB takeaway defense
10th1.0 giveaways a game8 games
GB +9
2.1 takeaways a game9 games1st
GB ball securityturnovers per gameMIN takeaway defense
13th1.1 giveaways a game9 games
MIN +8
1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesMIN 1 · GB 1 regulars out or doubtful
Vikings logoVikings4 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Packers logoPackers9 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelGB +1 day of rest · MIN travels 257 mi
Vikings logoAwayVikings
6days since last game
257miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Mon wk 9 vs BUF (L 6-23) · 6,529 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edge+1GB dayTravel gap 257 mi
Packers logoHomePackers
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at NE (W 45-27) · Foxborough · 6,691 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: MIN 8 games, 447 offensive and 481 defensive plays · GB 9 games, 555 offensive and 592 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Vikings logoMINGBPackers logo
31st-0.162Offense EPA / play+0.03812th
27th-0.112Dropback EPA+0.1856th
30th-0.234Rush EPA-0.23631st
30th36.2%Offense success rate41.1%24th
20th-2.6%Pass rate over expected+3.7%3rd
2nd-0.149Defense EPA allowed-0.0766th
1st-0.179Pass defense EPA-0.0735th
11th-0.110Run defense EPA-0.08016th
1st37.6%Defense success allowed43.6%15th
32nd10.0To QBs14.925th
24th20.2To RBs26.57th
30th25.7To WRs36.56th
32nd9.3To TEs9.731st

Form

Last six results

Already met this season: Week 1, 22-39

Injury report

League report
Vikings logoVikings4 listed
Packers logoPackers9 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET.

SpreadGB -3.5Closing line
TotalO/U 41.5Points expected
WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueLambeau FieldGreen Bay, WI
BroadcastFox1 PM ET · Sun, Nov 15

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Vikings logoAwayVikings
6days since last game
257miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Mon wk 9 vs BUF (L 6-23) · 6,529 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edge+1GB dayTravel gap 257 mi
Packers logoHomePackers
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at NE (W 45-27) · Foxborough · 6,691 mi flown this season

Normal week

Teams with more rest than their opponent are 34-12 in 2026 (46 games). All travel splits →

Week 10 around the league

13 other games