AFC East · 2026 season

New YorkJets

2-7record3rdin East#12AFC seed-41point diffL4streak

BillsSun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ETBUF -8.5 · O/U 50.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Biggest improvementDropback offenseEPA per dropback18th→8th

Over the last 4 games the dropback offense has posted +0.14 EPA per dropback (140 dropbacks), 8th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: +0.04 EPA per dropback (173 dropbacks), 18th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Emerging problemDefenseEPA per play allowed3rd→31st

Over the last 4 games the defense has allowed +0.16 EPA per play (251 plays), 31st among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.06 EPA per play (312 plays), 3rd.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftIsaiah Williams, WRoffensive snap share77%→28%

Isaiah Williams has played 28% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, down from 77% in the 5 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 5 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The New York Jets are 2-7 in the 2026 season, 3rd in the AFC East and the No. 12 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of -41. On offense they rank 14th in the league in EPA per play (+0.003); on defense they rank 22nd (+0.039 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 1% chance to make the playoffs and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl. The New York Jets play next at home against the Buffalo Bills on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the New York Jets record?

2-7, 3rd in the AFC East. Home 1-3, road 1-4, division 0-2, conference 2-4, current streak L4. Points: 182 scored, 223 allowed.

Who do the New York Jets play next?

The New York Jets play next at home against the Buffalo Bills on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the New York Jets' playoff chances?

1% to make the playoffs, 0% to win the AFC East, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 0.0% to win the AFC and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 5.6-11.4).

Who is the New York Jets starting quarterback?

Geno Smith is first on the Jets depth chart at quarterback, with Cade Klubnik behind.

Who is injured for the New York Jets?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Garrett Wilson (WR, out, concussion), Joseph Ossai (DE, out, ankle), Nahshon Wright (CB, out, back), Trevin Wallace (LB, out, groin), Max Mitchell (OT, injured reserve, concussion) and VJ Payne (S, injured reserve, knee).

How good is the New York Jets offense and defense?

Offense: 14th in EPA per play (+0.003), 14th on dropbacks, 20th on runs, success rate 45.0%. Defense: 22nd in EPA allowed (+0.039), 26th against the pass, 9th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “New York Jets 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/jets (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

From the Jets Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeJets score four field goals, no touchdowns, and the Chiefs pull away 35-12New York went 2-for-12 on third down and 0-for-2 on fourth, and Kansas City scored 21 unanswered points in the second half.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportJets run defense meets the Chiefs rushing attack without Garrett Wilson on offenseNov 7, 2026 · 3 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Jets, judged from every snap

Due to rise−2.5 wins below what the snaps earned

Real record2-7

Deserved4.5wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−2.5 luck wins · unluckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 21st

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom linerobbed in 2 of 9.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Jets would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games1-5decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index55%13th most timid of 28

Flags, net−92win prob. points · 32nd

Bounce & kick luck−0.9points · −0.1 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Chiefs earned it: the snaps said Chiefs by 22.4, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNALeast middle of the field, least pre-snap motion in the leagueClosest twin: Patriots (70%)Clock IQ29th of 32 at managing the clockAaron Glenn · 7 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real122-7

Deserved–4.5-4.5

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps+1.5The market underrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 4-4-1 against the spread Sliding Doors4losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped222 points of win probability lost to those plays, 40 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 13Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsJets2-7 · proj 5.6-11.4 · 12th in AFC1%▼ 2 pts

Win it all 0%Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 26 hardest of 32 · avg opp -1.0 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Jets stand

Offense

EPA per play+0.00314th

Dropback EPA+0.08414th

Rush EPA-0.11620th

Success rate45.0%11th

Defense

EPA allowed+0.03922nd

Pass EPA allowed+0.16126th

Rush EPA allowed-0.1129th

Success allowed46.7%29th

Pass rate over expected: -3.2% (21st most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 525 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 18.0 (19th most) · RB 25.3 (9th most) · WR 28.5 (25th most) · TE 14.4 (14th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 313 dropbacksG.Smith+0.084EPA / dropback+4.2CPOE7.5aDOT47%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
B.Allen RB	120	598	3	-0.05	43%
B.Hall RB	66	224	1	-0.16	35%
I.Davis RB	15	44	0	-0.19	47%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
G.Wilson WR	64	25%	33%	10.4	527	3	+0.39
A.Mitchell WR	34	13%	30%	17.6	265	1	+0.38
K.Sadiq TE	31	12%	9%	5.7	235	1	-0.08
M.Taylor TE	26	10%	11%	8.7	147	2	+0.21
O.Cooper WR	24	9%	8%	6.9	306	2	+0.87
B.Allen RB	24	9%	0%	-0.3	102	0	-0.16
I.Williams WR	15	6%	7%	9.7	169	2	+0.63
B.Hall RB	14	5%	-1%	-0.8	128	0	+0.70

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

20RBHall Allen

11WRCooper Jr.McClain

15WRMitchell Patrick

DefenseBase 4-3 D

29FSFitzpatrick Payne ·

1LCBThomas Wright ·

31LDEBailey Ossai ·

95LDTJackson Jr.Heflin

44MLBSherwood Keller

2NBBrownlee Jr.Ponds

21RCBStephens Stiggers

52RDEEnagbare McDonald IV

91RDTBriggs Phillips

49SLBWallace Mauigoa

6SSBelton Moore

56WLBDavis Reeder

HolderAustin McNamara Kick ReturnerKene Nwangwu Long SnapperThomas Hennessy PunterAustin McNamara Place KickerJason Sanders Punt ReturnerIsaiah Williams

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Joe TippmannC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Olu FashanuOL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Geno SmithQB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Josh MyersC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Armand MembouT	100	100	100	97	100	100	100	100	100
Dylan ParhamOL	100	100	58					100	100
Adonai MitchellWR	69	82					44	61	89
Omar CooperWR	7					82	64	78	86
Mason TaylorTE	66	46			59	55	63	61	63
Isaiah WilliamsWR	60	82	89	94	61	15	22	16	60
Braelon AllenRB	40	31	52	94	86	87	78	83	59
Kenyon SadiqTE	42	36	58	69	19	35	37	48	57
Breece HallRB	58	65	48						43
Jeremy RuckertTE	43	34	42	44	33	23	39	27	19

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Dane BeltonS	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Azareye'h ThomasCB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Minkah FitzpatrickS	12			100	100	100	100	100	98
Demario DavisLB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	98	97
Jamien SherwoodLB	90	100	94	94	100	94	98	100	97
Brandon StephensCB	100	100	97	98	100	96	95	95	95
Kingsley EnagbareDE	66	68	58		79	75	68	87	83
David BaileyDE	70	73	68	78	84	97	94		79
Darrell Jackson Jr.DL	16	22	35	44	43	51	58	67	71
Jowon BriggsDL	20	59	69	60	32	51	74	78	59
Harrison PhillipsDL	54	54	68	56	43	54	71	60	41
Will McDonaldDE	50	42	34	71	43	34	42	57	36
Jack HeflinDT			12	17	4			33	35
D'Angelo PondsCB			3	19	3	16	46	2	33

With / Without

All Jets splits →

Wide receiverGarrett Wilson89% of snapsOutSmall sample

+0.35Observed difference
EPA/play, better with

EPA / play+0.044-0.302

Success45.8%38.7%

Points / game21.312.0

With 8 games · 463 playsWithout 1 game · 62 plays (Wk 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

TEN

DET

CHI

CLE

MIA

LV-1.2

Without

KC+7.1

Opponents in the games with him were 8.3 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

With games:Adonai Mitchell WR · 4/8, Mason Taylor TE · 2/8, David Bailey EDGE · 1/8, Kingsley Enagbare EDGE · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 5-8)+0.068From Wk 9 on (Wk 9)-0.302

Edge rusherDavid Bailey80% of snapsSmall sample

+0.19Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed+0.019+0.212

Success allowed46.3%50.0%

Points allowed23.138.0

With 8 games · 505 playsWithout 1 game · 58 plays (Wk 8)

Opponents avg rating

With

TEN

DET

CHI

CLE

MIA

KC+0.1

Without

LV-3.8

Opponents in the games with him were 3.9 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Adonai Mitchell WR · 4/8, Mason Taylor TE · 2/8, Garrett Wilson WR · 1/8, Kingsley Enagbare EDGE · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 4-7)+0.015From Wk 8 on (Wks 8-9)+0.188

Wide receiverAdonai Mitchell69% of snaps

+0.10Observed difference
EPA/play, better with

EPA / play+0.044-0.054

Success45.6%44.0%

Points / game22.018.0

With 5 games · 307 playsWithout 4 games · 218 plays (Wks 3, 4, 5, 6)

Opponents avg rating

With

TEN

MIA

KC-1.2

Without

DET

CHI

CLE

NE+0.8

Opponents in the games with him were 2.1 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Mason Taylor TE · 2/4, Kingsley Enagbare EDGE · 1/4

With games:David Bailey EDGE · 1/5, Garrett Wilson WR · 1/5

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-2)+0.020From Wk 3 on (Wks 3-6)-0.054

Edge rusherKingsley Enagbare73% of snapsSmall sample

+0.02Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed+0.036+0.058

Success allowed45.3%54.7%

Points allowed25.023.0

With 8 games · 477 playsWithout 1 game · 86 plays (Wk 4)

Opponents avg rating

With

TEN

DET

CLE

MIA

KC-0.9

Without

CHI+4.3

Opponents in the games with him were 5.1 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Adonai Mitchell WR · 1/1, Mason Taylor TE · 1/1

With games:Adonai Mitchell WR · 3/8, David Bailey EDGE · 1/8, Garrett Wilson WR · 1/8, Mason Taylor TE · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-3)-0.032From Wk 4 on (Wks 4-7)+0.015

No "without" sample yet

Never missed a game

Key Jets starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.

Geno SmithQuarterback · 9/9 games100%
Olu FashanuTackle · 9/9 games100%
Azareye'h ThomasCornerback · 9/9 games100%
Dane BeltonSafety · 9/9 games100%
Armand MembouTackle · 9/9 games100%
Demario DavisLinebacker · 9/9 games99%
Brandon StephensCornerback · 9/9 games97%
Braelon AllenRunning back · 9/9 games68%

Bar = average share of his unit's snaps · all 10 starters →

Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is

Injury report

Whole league

Out, doubtful or on IR

Garrett WilsonWR · #5 · ConcussionOut
Joseph OssaiDE · #46 · AnkleOut
Nahshon WrightCB · #26 · BackOut
Trevin WallaceLB · #49 · GroinOut
Max MitchellOT · #61 · ConcussionIR
VJ PayneS · #34 · KneeIR

AFC East

Full standings

BillsDiv 0-1 · Home 3-1 · Road 4-07-1+69 2

PatriotsDiv 3-0 · Home 3-1 · Road 2-35-4+4 3

JetsDiv 0-2 · Home 1-3 · Road 1-42-7-41 4

DolphinsDiv 1-1 · Home 0-4 · Road 1-31-7-74