The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Lions 19 · 9 Dolphins

130 plays, one strand. Lions won without the lead ever changing hands; Lions peaked at 100% to win, Dolphins at 64%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for MIA, down for DET, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Lions peaked at 100% to win, Dolphins at 64%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Dolphins win, play by play. High = MIA in control, low = DET in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for MIA on offense, down for DET; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Dolphins ↑

Lions ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: DET on the left, MIA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

DETMIA

55Plays49

272Yards228

2Explosive plays3

1Offensive TDs0

1Turnovers1

100%Peak win prob.64%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

DETFG50yMIAPunt0yDETINT17yMIAFG33yDETPunt18yMIAPunt26yDETFG35yMIAFG ✕64yMIAINT1yDETFG27yMIAFG46yDETTD65yMIAFG60yDETFG39yMIA–-2yDET–21y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points for Lions.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 11:36 · DET · Completion
16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa to MIA 22 for 9 yards (9-J.Uche).
+3.0 EP
2
Q1 5:14 · DET · Interception
16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 3-C.Johnson (9-J.Uche) [9-J.Uche] at MIA 40. 3-C.Johnson to DET 39 for
−6.0 EP
3
Q2 14:55 · DET · Completion
(Punt formation) 3-J.Fox pass short left to 17-T.Martin to DET 41 for 11 yards (4-J.Marshall).
+3.1 EP
4
Q2 0:03 · MIA · Missed field goal
31-Z.Gonzalez 38 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.
−2.6 EP
5
Q3 13:38 · MIA · Interception
2-M.Willis pass deep left intended for 7-C.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 36-C.Clark at DET 40. 36-C.Clark pushed ob at MIA 26 for 34 yards (18-C.Be
−4.7 EP
6
Q3 1:25 · DET · Touchdown
79-L.Borom reported in as eligible. 0-J.Gibbs right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.3 EP
7
Q4 14:55 · MIA · Completion
(Punt formation) 48-B.Pinion pass short middle to 30-K.Allen to DET 18 for 46 yards (35-J.Bachie; 17-T.Martin).
+5.3 EP
8
Q4 3:07 · MIA · Incomplete
2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep right to 7-C.Douglas.
−2.5 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

19@9

Week 9

If the 43-yard kick had missed

Dolphins after the play7%what really happened

Q4 4:31 39-J.Bates 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

Week 9

The rest of the week

12@35