AFC North · 2026 season

BaltimoreRavens

4-5record4thin North#10AFC seed-47point diffL4streak

ChargersMon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ETBAL -5.5 · O/U 38.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Emerging problemOffensesuccess rate2nd→30th

Over the last 4 games the offense has posted a 35.3% success rate (224 plays), 30th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: a 50.7% success rate (304 plays), 2nd.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftZay Flowers, WRoffensive snap share43%→80%

Zay Flowers has played 80% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 43% in the 5 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 4 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The Baltimore Ravens are 4-5 in the 2026 season, 4th in the AFC North and the No. 10 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of -47. On offense they rank 18th in the league in EPA per play (-0.015); on defense they rank 19th (+0.017 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 9% chance to make the playoffs and 0.1% to win the Super Bowl. The Baltimore Ravens play next at home against the Los Angeles Chargers on Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET (Week 10), on ESPN.

What is the Baltimore Ravens record?

4-5, 4th in the AFC North. Home 1-3, road 3-2, division 0-2, conference 2-4, current streak L4. Points: 189 scored, 236 allowed.

Who do the Baltimore Ravens play next?

The Baltimore Ravens play next at home against the Los Angeles Chargers on Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET (Week 10), on ESPN.

What are the Baltimore Ravens' playoff chances?

9% to make the playoffs, 0% to win the AFC North, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 0.2% to win the AFC and 0.1% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 7.3-9.7).

Who is the Baltimore Ravens starting quarterback?

Jacoby Brissett is first on the Ravens depth chart at quarterback, with Joe Fagnano behind.

Who is injured for the Baltimore Ravens?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Jaylinn Hawkins (S, out, knee), Nate Wiggins (CB, out, illness), Adam Randall (RB, injured reserve, neck), Lamar Jackson (QB, injured reserve, thumb) and Tyler Huntley (QB, injured reserve, toe). Questionable: Adisa Isaac (LB, questionable, hamstring) and Kyle Hamilton (S, questionable, hip).

How good is the Baltimore Ravens offense and defense?

Offense: 18th in EPA per play (-0.015), 18th on dropbacks, 16th on runs, success rate 44.1%. Defense: 19th in EPA allowed (+0.017), 21st against the pass, 19th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Baltimore Ravens 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/ravens (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Ravens Desk

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The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Ravens, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record4-5

Deserved4.2wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−0.2 luck wins · 20th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 19th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineLucky in 1 game of 9.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Ravens would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games3-2decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index33%25th most timid of 28

Flags, net−60win prob. points · 29th

Bounce & kick luck−6.2points · −0.7 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Jaguars earned it: the snaps said Jaguars by 19.0, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost outside runs, most middle of the field in the leagueClosest twin: Jaguars (64%)Clock IQ12th of 32 at managing the clockJesse Minter · 6 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real104-5

Deserved–4.2-4.8

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−2.0The market overrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 2-6-1 against the spread Sliding Doors3losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped117 points of win probability lost to those plays, 103 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 13Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsRavens4-5 · proj 7.3-9.7 · 11th in AFC9%▼ 9 pts

Win it all 0.1% · likeliest seed No. 7 (5%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 17 hardest of 32 · avg opp +0.2 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Ravens stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.01518th

Dropback EPA+0.03418th

Rush EPA-0.07416th

Success rate44.1%12th

Defense

EPA allowed+0.01719th

Pass EPA allowed+0.07621st

Rush EPA allowed-0.07019th

Success allowed44.5%24th

Pass rate over expected: -6.9% (28th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 528 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 17.6 (21st most) · RB 19.8 (26th most) · WR 35.3 (10th most) · TE 13.7 (15th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 131 dropbacksT.Huntley-0.033EPA / dropback+0.9CPOE6.2aDOT46%success

Quarterback · 112 dropbacksL.Jackson+0.367EPA / dropback+7.4CPOE10.4aDOT57%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
D.Henry RB	176	691	8	-0.11	39%
J.Hill RB	33	240	1	+0.17	33%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
Z.Flowers WR	64	27%	27%	7.6	614	3	+0.19
M.Andrews TE	44	18%	16%	6.7	237	2	-0.04
R.Bateman WR	31	13%	23%	13.2	294	1	+0.53
J.Hill RB	28	12%	-3%	-1.6	111	0	-0.32
J.Lane WR	14	6%	8%	10.6	89	0	+0.28
D.Henry RB	14	6%	-2%	-2.4	75	1	+0.15
J.Cuevas TE	13	5%	4%	5.5	134	1	+0.68
D.Walker WR	9	4%	12%	23.6	75	1	+0.57

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

22RBHenry Hill

70RTRosengarten Vinson

DefenseBase 3-4 D

24FSStarks Wallace

2LCBWiggins Awuzie

92LDEMadubuike Peebles

0LILBSmith Higgins IV

14NBHamilton Martin

98NTJones Jenkins

44RCBHumphrey Tampa

93RDECampbell Washington Jr.

32RILBSimpson Buchanan

91SLBHendrickson Burke

21SSHawkins Jackson

15WLBGreen Young

HolderRyan Eckley Kick ReturnerLaJohntay Wester Long SnapperNick Moore PunterRyan Eckley Place KickerJake Moody Punt ReturnerLaJohntay Wester

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
John SimpsonG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Roger RosengartenT	100	100	100	100	97	100	100	100	100
Olaivavega IoaneG	100	100	100	100	100	100	24		100
Cam JurgensC							100	100	100
Joe Fagnano								40	100
Ronnie StanleyT	100	79		97	100	98	100	100	84
Zay FlowersWR	29		33	73	82	88	85	82	66
Rashod BatemanWR	78	93	88	47	80	30	73	76	62
Mark AndrewsTE	72	71	52	58	72	72	57	57	57
Ja'Kobi LaneWR	40					54	69	65	57
Matthew HibnerTE	34	33	50	58	39		39	41	54
Justice HillRB	46	47	33	38	46	42	46	49	52
Derrick HenryRB	54	53	67	62	55	58	51	45	50
Carson VinsonT	10	22	100	3	8	7		4	32

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Malaki StarksS	100	100	99	92	97	100	100	94	100
Roquan SmithLB	100	100	100	100	100	100	87	63	95
Marlon HumphreyCB	89	99	86	12	100	95	100	56	79
Nnamdi MadubuikeDL			64	72	83	78	75	68	73
Chidobe AwuzieCB	11	1	20	88	3	5	4	52	71
Travis JonesDL	57	56	57	52	59	54	60	57	70
Mike GreenLB	31	47	30	64	58	38	68	57	61
Kyle HamiltonS	100	99	91	100	94	100	94	95	57
Trenton SimpsonLB	59	62	62	56	56	59	75	63	57
Trey HendricksonLB	74	53	61			62	60	59	55
T.J. TampaCB								27	48
Ethan BurkeLB				25	27	11	32	41	45
Keondre JacksonS		1					40	15	43
Keyon MartinCB	43	1				38	26	24	41

With / Without

All Ravens splits →

TackleRonnie Stanley95% of snapsSmall sample

-0.17Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play-0.033+0.134

Success43.4%50.0%

Points / game19.434.0

With 8 games · 470 playsWithout 1 game · 58 plays (Wk 3)

Opponents avg rating

With

IND

TEN

ATL

CLE

CIN

BUF

JAX+0.0

Without

DAL+0.6

Opponents in the games with him were 0.6 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Tyler Huntley QB · 1/1

With games:Tavius Robinson EDGE · 3/8, Tyler Huntley QB · 3/8, Nate Wiggins CB · 1/8, Zay Flowers WR · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-2)+0.223From Wk 3 on (Wks 3-6)+0.061

Edge rusherTavius Robinson72% of snaps

+0.15Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed-0.033+0.120

Success allowed41.7%50.3%

Points allowed22.034.7

With 6 games · 372 playsWithout 3 games · 181 plays (Wks 7, 8, 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

IND

DAL

TEN

ATL

CLE-3.7

Without

CIN

BUF

JAX+7.7

Opponents in the games with him were 11.4 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Nate Wiggins CB · 1/3, Tyler Huntley QB · 1/3

With games:Tyler Huntley QB · 3/6, Ronnie Stanley OT · 1/6, Zay Flowers WR · 1/6

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 3-6)-0.035From Wk 7 on (Wks 7-9)+0.120

Wide receiverZay Flowers67% of snapsSmall sample

-0.15Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play-0.030+0.116

Success41.9%63.6%

Points / game21.517.0

With 8 games · 473 playsWithout 1 game · 55 plays (Wk 2)

Opponents avg rating

With

IND

DAL

TEN

ATL

CLE

CIN

BUF

JAX+0.5

Without

NO-3.5

Opponents in the games with him were 4.0 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

Without games:Tyler Huntley QB · 1/1

With games:Tavius Robinson EDGE · 3/8, Tyler Huntley QB · 3/8, Nate Wiggins CB · 1/8, Ronnie Stanley OT · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wk 1)+0.321From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)+0.110

QuarterbackTyler Huntley74% of snapsIR

-0.06Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play+0.005+0.065

Success41.9%48.9%

Points / game19.325.5

With 4 games · 253 playsWithout 4 games · 227 plays (Wks 1, 2, 3, 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

TEN

ATL

CLE

CIN-1.5

Without

IND

DAL

JAX+0.1

Opponents in the games with him were 1.6 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Nate Wiggins CB · 1/4, Ronnie Stanley OT · 1/4, Tavius Robinson EDGE · 1/4, Zay Flowers WR · 1/4

With games:Tavius Robinson EDGE · 1/4

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

No games before his first absence (Wk 1)From Wk 1 on (Wks 1-4)+0.186

No "without" sample yet

Never missed a game

Key Ravens starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.

Roger RosengartenTackle · 9/9 games100%
Malaki StarksSafety · 9/9 games98%
Roquan SmithLinebacker · 9/9 games94%
Marlon HumphreyCornerback · 9/9 games80%
Rashod BatemanWide receiver · 9/9 games70%
Mark AndrewsTight end · 9/9 games63%
Travis JonesInterior line · 9/9 games58%
Derrick HenryRunning back · 9/9 games55%

Bar = average share of his unit's snaps · all 9 starters →

Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is

Injury report

Whole league

Out, doubtful or on IR

Jaylinn HawkinsS · #21 · KneeOut
Nate WigginsCB · #2 · IllnessOut
Adam RandallRB · #23 · NeckIR
Lamar JacksonQB · #8 · ThumbIR
Tyler HuntleyQB · #5 · ToeIR

Questionable

Adisa IsaacLB · #50 · HamstringQuestionable
Kyle HamiltonS · #14 · HipQuestionable

AFC North

Full standings

BengalsDiv 1-1 · Home 2-1 · Road 4-16-2+65 2

SteelersDiv 2-1 · Home 4-0 · Road 2-26-2+36 3

BrownsDiv 2-1 · Home 3-0 · Road 2-45-4-35 4

RavensDiv 0-2 · Home 1-3 · Road 3-24-5-47