Commanders at Giants: Week 10 preview, odds and injuries

Week 10 · Thu, Nov 12 · MetLife Stadium8:15 PM ET

at8:15 PMET · Prime VideoNYG -2.5 · O/U 41.5

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 6:46 AM ET

The Washington Commanders (2-5-1) visit the New York Giants (5-2-1) on Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (Week 10, 2026 season), on Prime Video. Betting line: NYG -2.5, over/under 41.5.

When and where is Commanders vs Giants?

Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. TV: Prime Video.

Who is favored in Commanders vs Giants?

The line is NYG -2.5 with an over/under of 41.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Commanders vs Giants?

Commanders: Lucas Patrick (G, doubtful, concussion), Colson Yankoff (TE, questionable, knee) and Treylon Burks (WR, questionable, foot). Giants: Cam Skattebo (RB, out), Abdul Carter (LB, questionable, knee), Colton Hood (CB, questionable, finger), J.J. McCarthy (QB, questionable) and Malik Harrison (LB, questionable, groin).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Commanders at Giants: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-12-wsh-at-nyg (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Giants third-down defense vs Commanders third-down offense
The Giants' third-down defense ranks 12th in third-down conversion rate (38.0% allowed, 100 third downs faced) and faces a Commanders third-down offense ranked 32nd (31.1%, 106 third downs).
32ndWSH offense20 spots apart12thNYG defense
2Giants red-zone offense vs Commanders red-zone defense
The Giants' red-zone offense ranks 11th in red-zone touchdown rate (63%, 24 trips) against a Commanders red-zone defense ranked 29th (75% allowed, 28 trips faced).
11thNYG offense18 spots apart29thWSH defense
3Commanders ball security vs Giants takeaway defense
The Commanders' ball security ranks 2nd in turnovers per game (0.6 giveaways a game, 8 games) against a Giants takeaway defense ranked 17th (1.1 takeaways a game, 8 games).
2ndWSH offense15 spots apart17thNYG defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Commanders have the ballEdge NYG · +9 ranks

WSH dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNYG pass defense

19th+0.03314 dropbacks

+0.01 allowed290 dropbacks faced13th

WSH run gameEPA per rushNYG run defense

23rd-0.13178 rushes

NYG +9

-0.09 allowed186 rushes faced14th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Giants have the ballNo big edge

NYG dropback offenseEPA per dropbackWSH pass defense

16th+0.08304 dropbacks

+0.07 allowed333 dropbacks faced19th

NYG run gameEPA per rushWSH run defense

19th-0.11215 rushes

-0.06 allowed183 rushes faced23rd

Third downEdge NYG · +20 ranks

WSH third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNYG third-down defense

32nd31.1%106 third downs

NYG +20

38.0% allowed100 third downs faced12th

NYG third-down offensethird-down conversion rateWSH third-down defense

13th41.8%110 third downs

41.3% allowed109 third downs faced18th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge NYG · +18 ranks

WSH red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNYG red-zone defense

18th55%22 trips

WSH +11

75% allowed20 trips faced29th

NYG red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateWSH red-zone defense

11th63%24 trips

NYG +18

75% allowed28 trips faced29th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge WSH · +12 ranks

WSH big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNYG defense against big plays

18th9.1%492 plays

9.0% allowed476 plays faced12th

NYG big-play offenseexplosive-play rateWSH defense against big plays

20th8.7%519 plays

WSH +12

7.8% allowed516 plays faced8th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksNo big edge

WSH pass protectionsack rateNYG pass rush

20th6.4% sacked314 dropbacks

5.5% of dropbacks290 dropbacks faced19th

NYG pass protectionsack rateWSH pass rush

27th8.9% sacked304 dropbacks

5.1% of dropbacks333 dropbacks faced24th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge WSH · +15 ranks

WSH ball securityturnovers per gameNYG takeaway defense

2nd0.6 giveaways a game8 games

WSH +15

1.1 takeaways a game8 games17th

NYG ball securityturnovers per gameWSH takeaway defense

19th1.3 giveaways a game8 games

WSH +14

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesWSH 1 · NYG 0 regulars out or doubtful

Commanders3 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DLucas PatrickG90% offense · 7 wk
QTreylon BurksWR53% offense · 6 wk
QColson YankoffTE14% offense · 8 wk

Giants5 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QAbdul CarterLB87% defense · 8 wk
QColton HoodCB68% defense · 6 wk
OUTCam SkatteboRB55% offense · 7 wk
QJ.J. McCarthyQB54% offense · 4 wk
QMalik HarrisonLB4% defense · 6 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · WSH travels 198 mi

AwayCommanders

4days since last game

198miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs LAR (L 13-20) · 14,813 mi flown this season

Thursday after Sunday

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 198 mi

HomeGiants

4days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at PHI (W 19-11) · Philadelphia · 8,311 mi flown this season

Thursday after Sunday

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: WSH 8 games, 492 offensive and 516 defensive plays · NYG 8 games, 519 offensive and 476 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32