AFC South · 2026 season

TennesseeTitans

1-7record4thin South#15AFC seed-55point diffL2streak

JaguarsSun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ETJAX -10.5 · O/U 46.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 5-8) vs 4 games before (weeks 1-4)

Emerging problemDefensesuccess rate allowed13th→29th

Over the last 4 games the defense has allowed a 50.2% success rate (275 plays), 29th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 4 games before: a 43.1% success rate (248 plays), 13th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftAlontae Taylor, CBdefensive snap share100%→42%

Alontae Taylor has played 42% of defensive snaps over the last 4 games, down from 100% in the 4 games before. On the field in 2 of 4 and 4 of 4; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The Tennessee Titans are 1-7 in the 2026 season, 4th in the AFC South and the No. 15 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of -55. On offense they rank 27th in the league in EPA per play (-0.088); on defense they rank 25th (+0.069 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 0% chance to make the playoffs and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl. The Tennessee Titans play next at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on Fox.

What is the Tennessee Titans record?

1-7, 4th in the AFC South. Home 0-4, road 1-3, division 1-1, conference 1-5, current streak L2. Points: 144 scored, 199 allowed.

Who do the Tennessee Titans play next?

The Tennessee Titans play next at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on Fox.

What are the Tennessee Titans' playoff chances?

0% to make the playoffs, 0% to win the AFC South, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 0.0% to win the AFC and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 3.8-13.2).

Who is the Tennessee Titans starting quarterback?

Cam Ward is first on the Titans depth chart at quarterback, with Mitchell Trubisky behind.

Who is injured for the Tennessee Titans?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Carnell Tate (WR, out, shoulder), Jaylon Jones (CB, out, knee), Tommy Townsend (P, out, knee), Tyjae Spears (RB, out, knee) and Dorian Mausi (LB, injured reserve). Questionable: JC Latham (OT, questionable, finger), James Williams Sr. (LB, questionable, groin), Marcus Harris (CB, questionable, ankle) and Peter Skoronski (G, questionable, hamstring).

How good is the Tennessee Titans offense and defense?

Offense: 27th in EPA per play (-0.088), 25th on dropbacks, 17th on runs, success rate 41.8%. Defense: 25th in EPA allowed (+0.069), 29th against the pass, 18th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Tennessee Titans 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/titans (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Titans Desk

Open the desk →

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Titans, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record1-7

Deserved1.8wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−0.8 luck wins · 27th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 28th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineEvery result so far matched the play or was a coin flip.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 8 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Titans would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games1-5decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index60%10th most timid of 28

Flags, net+4win prob. points · 11th

Bounce & kick luck−4.0points · −0.5 a game

Latest ruling · Week 8

Bengals earned it: the snaps said Bengals by 2.2, a deserved win probability of 65%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost no-huddle rate, fastest tempo in the leagueClosest twin: Eagles (64%)Clock IQ31st of 32 at managing the clockRobert Saleh · 6 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real151-7

Deserved–1.8-6.2

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−1.7The market overrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 4-4 against the spread Sliding Doors4losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped192 points of win probability lost to those plays, 40 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 9Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsTitans1-7 · proj 3.8-13.2 · 15th in AFC<1%to get in

Win it all 0%Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 3 hardest of 32 · avg opp +1.6 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Titans stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.08827th

Dropback EPA-0.09625th

Rush EPA-0.07617th

Success rate41.8%21st

Defense

EPA allowed+0.06925th

Pass EPA allowed+0.17129th

Rush EPA allowed-0.07218th

Success allowed46.8%30th

Pass rate over expected: -4.5% (24th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 452 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 20.1 (5th most) · RB 21.6 (16th most) · WR 42.5 (1st most) · TE 12.7 (21st most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 280 dropbacksC.Ward-0.096EPA / dropback-0.9CPOE7.0aDOT43%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
T.Pollard RB	133	595	6	-0.06	41%
T.Spears RB	18	66	0	-0.35	33%
C.Ward QB	9	30	1	+0.53	67%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
C.Tate WR	51	22%	39%	12.7	413	1	+0.20
W.Robinson WR	50	21%	17%	5.8	262	3	-0.01
G.Helm TE	28	12%	9%	5.8	160	0	+0.14
E.Ayomanor WR	26	11%	16%	10.5	211	1	+0.22
T.Pollard RB	21	9%	1%	0.9	70	0	-0.76
T.Spears RB	17	7%	-3%	-2.7	75	0	-0.18
D.Bellinger TE	15	6%	4%	4.2	70	0	-0.23
C.Ridley WR	13	6%	7%	9.0	91	0	+0.07

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

51CSchlottmann Coogan

77LGSkoronski Mafi

75LTMoore Jr.Hudson III

1QBWard Trubisky

20RBPollard Spears ·

70RGMafi Dellinger

55RTLatham Crenshaw-Dickson

84TEHelm Bellinger

14WRTate Dike

4WRRobinson Ridley

5WRAyomanor

DefenseBase 4-3 D

23FSWinston Jr.Adams

25LCBWilliams Taylor

57LDEMartin Faulk

91LDTFranklin-Myers Stackhouse

53MLBHill Jr.

26NBHarris Taylor

18RCBFlott Robinson

11RDEJohnson II Jones

90RDTThomas Laulu

50SLBBarton Mausi ·

37SSHooker Burgess

33WLBGray Williams Sr. ·

HolderTommy Townsend Kick ReturnerChimere Dike Long SnapperMorgan Cox PunterTommy Townsend Place KickerJoey Slye Punt ReturnerChimere Dike

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Dan MooreT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Cam WardQB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Austin SchlottmannC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Atonio MafiG				100	100	100	100	100
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR	82	53	63	67	75	59	60	94
Tony PollardRB	52	55	53	53	48	76	75	82
Chimere DikeWR	8	4	10	12	17	17	21	82
Peter SkoronskiG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	78
Elic AyomanorWR	52	53	80	62	52	61	89	65
Gunnar HelmTE	76	87	82	72	71	72	84	64
JC LathamT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	55
Calvin RidleyWR	64	62	33	47	56	61		52
James HudsonT		6					5	45
Daniel BellingerTE	28	45	40	52	44	48	48	40

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Amani HookerS	97	100	100	98		100	100	100
Cordale FlottCB	99		100	100	47	100	100	100
Joshua WilliamsCB						100	100	100
Anthony HillLB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	96
Kevin WinstonS	100	100	100	100			100	92
Jermaine Johnson IIDE	61	68	66	48	53	57	67	70
Alontae TaylorCB	100	100	98	100	100			69
Solomon ThomasDT	30	26	22	20	32	33	36	69
Jacob MartinDE	45	66	59	58	55	61	61	64
John Franklin-MyersDL	60	43	53	59	44	51	50	58
Cody BartonLB	97	78	69	83	97	53	56	53
Cedric GrayLB		39	47	47	42	46	56	45
Timmy HorneDT						30	21	41
Keldric FaulkDE	28	26	38	33	33	35	26	39

With / Without

All Titans splits →

Wide receiverCarnell Tate82% of snapsOutSmall sample

-0.29Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play-0.135+0.157

Success40.3%50.0%

Points / game15.436.0

With 7 games · 380 playsWithout 1 game · 72 plays (Wk 8)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYJ

PHI

NYG

BAL

HOU

IND

CLE-3.0

Without

CIN+5.9

Opponents in the games with him were 8.9 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

With games:Alontae Taylor CB · 2/7, Amani Hooker S · 1/7, Cor'Dale Flott CB · 1/7

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 4-7)-0.183From Wk 8 on (Wk 8)+0.157

CornerbackAlontae Taylor95% of snapsSmall sample

-0.08Observed difference
EPA allowed, better without

EPA allowed+0.091+0.011

Success allowed46.3%48.3%

Points allowed25.323.5

With 6 games · 380 playsWithout 2 games · 143 plays (Wks 6, 7)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYJ

PHI

NYG

BAL

HOU

CIN-0.8

Without

IND

CLE-5.2

Opponents in the games with him were 4.4 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Amani Hooker S · 1/6, Carnell Tate WR · 1/6, Cor'Dale Flott CB · 1/6

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 2-5)+0.057From Wk 6 on (Wks 6-8)+0.057

SafetyAmani Hooker99% of snapsSmall sample

+0.07Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed+0.061+0.132

Success allowed47.0%45.9%

Points allowed24.726.0

With 7 games · 462 playsWithout 1 game · 61 plays (Wk 5)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYJ

PHI

NYG

BAL

IND

CLE

CIN-2.4

Without

HOU+2.0

Opponents in the games with him were 4.4 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

With games:Alontae Taylor CB · 2/7, Carnell Tate WR · 1/7, Cor'Dale Flott CB · 1/7

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-4)+0.065From Wk 5 on (Wks 5-8)+0.074

CornerbackCor'Dale Flott92% of snapsSmall sample

-0.04Observed difference
EPA allowed, better without

EPA allowed+0.074+0.039

Success allowed47.9%40.3%

Points allowed25.024.0

With 7 games · 451 playsWithout 1 game · 72 plays (Wk 2)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYJ

NYG

BAL

HOU

IND

CLE

CIN-0.9

Without

PHI-8.5

Opponents in the games with him were 7.5 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Alontae Taylor CB · 2/7, Amani Hooker S · 1/7, Carnell Tate WR · 1/7

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wk 1)+0.168From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)+0.057

No "without" sample yet

Never missed a game

Key Titans starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.

Cam WardQuarterback · 8/8 games100%
Dan Moore Jr.Tackle · 8/8 games100%
Anthony Hill Jr.Linebacker · 8/8 games100%
JC LathamTackle · 8/8 games94%
Jeffery SimmonsInterior line · 7/8 games87%
Gunnar HelmTight end · 8/8 games76%
Wan'Dale RobinsonWide receiver · 8/8 games69%
Elic AyomanorWide receiver · 8/8 games64%

Bar = average share of his unit's snaps · all 11 starters →

Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is

Injury report

Whole league

Out, doubtful or on IR

Carnell TateWR · #14 · ShoulderOut
Jaylon JonesCB · #42 · KneeOut
Tommy TownsendP · #3 · KneeOut
Tyjae SpearsRB · #2 · KneeOut
Dorian MausiLB · #54IR

Questionable

JC LathamOT · #55 · FingerQuestionable
James Williams Sr.LB · #52 · GroinQuestionable
Marcus HarrisCB · #26 · AnkleQuestionable
Peter SkoronskiG · #77 · HamstringQuestionable

AFC South

Full standings

JaguarsDiv 1-1 · Home 4-1 · Road 2-16-2+108 2

TexansDiv 2-1 · Home 0-4 · Road 3-13-5+17 3

ColtsDiv 1-2 · Home 1-3 · Road 1-42-7-65 4

TitansDiv 1-1 · Home 0-4 · Road 1-31-7-55