Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
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InjuryGardner Minshew II: Doubtful → Injured Reserve12 min agoSeattle SeahawksHow To Watch, Listen And Follow Seahawks at Raiders In Week 10 On Sunday, November 15ESPNFalcons trade center Ryan Neuzil to Ravens for guard Andrew Vorhees, pickVikings DeskVikings lose by 17 and the snaps say it should have been worse24 min agoLas Vegas RaidersRaiders acquire 2027 third-round draft pick in exchange for QB Kirk CousinsLas Vegas RaidersJohn Spytek and Klint Kubiak to hold press conference following NFL trade deadlineESPNNFL trade deadline grades: Deals for Kirk Cousins, Josh Downs, Daiyan HenleyPhiladelphia EaglesEagles waive RB Jaydon BlueCleveland BrownsBrowns sign TE Zaire Mitchell-Paden and P Wes Pahl to the practice squadInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Active → Questionable45 min agoInjuryCam Skattebo: Active → Out45 min agoSan Francisco 49ers49ers Place DL Gracen Halton on Injured ReserveESPN2026 NFL trade deadline winners, losers: Kirk Cousins, Josh Downs, Bengals, moreDenver BroncosBroncos agree to terms on trade with Chargers for LB Daiyan HenleyLos Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers Trade Daiyan Henley to Denver BroncosDallas CowboysBig Picture: 10 Storylines for Cowboys & 49ersArizona CardinalsCardinals Sign Quarterback Reinforcements Including Josh JohnsonArizona CardinalsCardinals Place Gardner Minshew, Michael Wilson On IRGiants DeskJameis Winston's minus-0.05 EPA per play meets a Commanders defense ranked 20th54 min agoInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Questionable → Active1 h agoInjuryCam Skattebo: Questionable → Active1 h agoInjuryJordan Whittington: Questionable → Injured Reserve1 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Huntington Bank Field1 PM ET
Away · 3-5HoustonTexans
at1 PMET · FoxHOU -4.5 · O/U 39.5
Home · 5-4ClevelandBrowns
At a glance

The Houston Texans (3-5) visit the Cleveland Browns (5-4) on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH (Week 10, 2026 season), on Fox. Betting line: HOU -4.5, over/under 39.5.

When and where is Texans vs Browns?

Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH. TV: Fox.

Who is favored in Texans vs Browns?

The line is HOU -4.5 with an over/under of 39.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Texans vs Browns?

Texans: David Montgomery (RB, questionable, groin) and Reed Blankenship (S, questionable, concussion). Browns: Deshaun Watson (QB, questionable, concussion) and Maliek Collins (DT, questionable, elbow).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Texans at Browns: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-15-hou-at-cle (updated 2026-11-10).

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Texans logoTexans pass rush vs Browns pass protection

    The Texans' pass rush ranks 2nd in sack rate (9.2% of dropbacks, 314 dropbacks faced) and faces a Browns pass protection ranked 32nd (10.8% sacked, 353 dropbacks).

    32ndCLE offense30 spots apart2ndHOU defense
  2. 2Texans logoTexans big-play offense vs Browns defense against big plays

    The Texans' big-play offense ranks 7th in explosive-play rate (10.2%, 489 plays) against a Browns defense against big plays ranked 31st (11.3% allowed, 567 plays faced).

    7thHOU offense24 spots apart31stCLE defense
  3. 3Texans logoTexans third-down defense vs Browns third-down offense

    The Texans' third-down defense ranks 15th in third-down conversion rate (40.0% allowed, 105 third downs faced) and faces a Browns third-down offense ranked 30th (34.5%, 119 third downs).

    30thCLE offense15 spots apart15thHOU defense
When the Texans have the ballNo big edge
HOU dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCLE pass defense
7th+0.18309 dropbacks
-0.02 allowed336 dropbacks faced9th
HOU run gameEPA per rushCLE run defense
25th-0.14180 rushes
-0.02 allowed231 rushes faced30th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Browns have the ballEdge HOU · +12 ranks
CLE dropback offenseEPA per dropbackHOU pass defense
22nd-0.01353 dropbacks
+0.05 allowed314 dropbacks faced17th
CLE run gameEPA per rushHOU run defense
29th-0.22194 rushes
HOU +12
-0.08 allowed198 rushes faced17th
Third downEdge HOU · +15 ranks
HOU third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCLE third-down defense
14th40.2%102 third downs
40.5% allowed126 third downs faced16th
CLE third-down offensethird-down conversion rateHOU third-down defense
30th34.5%119 third downs
HOU +15
40.0% allowed105 third downs faced15th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge HOU · +12 ranks
HOU red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCLE red-zone defense
17th58%31 trips
CLE +8
48% allowed29 trips faced9th
CLE red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateHOU red-zone defense
31st41%22 trips
HOU +12
61% allowed23 trips faced19th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge HOU · +24 ranks
HOU big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCLE defense against big plays
7th10.2%489 plays
HOU +24
11.3% allowed567 plays faced31st
CLE big-play offenseexplosive-play rateHOU defense against big plays
21st8.4%547 plays
9.6% allowed512 plays faced18th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge HOU · +30 ranks
HOU pass protectionsack rateCLE pass rush
10th5.2% sacked309 dropbacks
7.7% of dropbacks336 dropbacks faced6th
CLE pass protectionsack rateHOU pass rush
32nd10.8% sacked353 dropbacks
HOU +30
9.2% of dropbacks314 dropbacks faced2nd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge HOU · +14 ranks
HOU ball securityturnovers per gameCLE takeaway defense
1st0.5 giveaways a game8 games
HOU +14
1.2 takeaways a game9 games15th
CLE ball securityturnovers per gameHOU takeaway defense
13th1.1 giveaways a game9 games
CLE +9
1.0 takeaways a game8 games22nd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesHOU 0 · CLE 0 regulars out or doubtful
Texans logoTexans2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Browns logoBrowns2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · HOU travels 1,120 mi
Texans logoAwayTexans
7days since last game
1,120miles to get here
1time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at LAC (W 44-22) · Inglewood · 15,529 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 1,120 mi
Browns logoHomeBrowns
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at NO (L 22-23) · New Orleans · 7,213 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: HOU 8 games, 489 offensive and 512 defensive plays · CLE 9 games, 547 offensive and 567 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Texans logoHOUCLEBrowns logo
8th+0.060Offense EPA / play-0.08426th
7th+0.178Dropback EPA-0.00722nd
25th-0.144Rush EPA-0.22329th
15th42.9%Offense success rate41.3%22nd
14th-1.0%Pass rate over expected-0.9%12th
16th+0.003Defense EPA allowed-0.02012th
17th+0.053Pass defense EPA-0.0219th
17th-0.076Run defense EPA-0.01930th
8th40.6%Defense success allowed42.3%12th
9th19.6To QBs14.727th
13th22.5To RBs22.414th
3rd39.6To WRs30.519th
27th10.4To TEs14.910th

Form

Last six results

Injury report

League report
Texans logoTexans2 listed
Browns logoBrowns2 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET.

SpreadHOU -4.5Closing line
TotalO/U 39.5Points expected
WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueHuntington Bank FieldCleveland, OH
BroadcastFox1 PM ET · Sun, Nov 15

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Texans logoAwayTexans
7days since last game
1,120miles to get here
1time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at LAC (W 44-22) · Inglewood · 15,529 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 1,120 mi
Browns logoHomeBrowns
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at NO (L 22-23) · New Orleans · 7,213 mi flown this season

Normal week

Week 10 around the league

13 other games