Cardinals 3, Seahawks 17: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Lumen FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
ARI	3	0	0	0	3
SEA	0	14	3	0	17

Home · 5-4SeattleSeahawks17

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

The Seattle Seahawks beat the Arizona Cardinals 17-3 on Sun, Nov 8 at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Cardinals 3-6, Seahawks 5-4. D.Lock (SEA) led all players with +7.7 EPA on 29 dropbacks.

Who won Cardinals vs Seahawks?

The Seattle Seahawks won 17-3. By quarter: ARI 3-0-0-0, SEA 0-14-3-0.

Who was the best player in Cardinals vs Seahawks?

By expected points added: D.Lock (SEA, +7.7 EPA on 29 dropbacks), J.Price (SEA, +4.6 EPA on 4 targets) and Mi.Wilson (ARI, +2.2 EPA on 7 targets).

What was the turning point of Cardinals vs Seahawks?

The biggest swing in win probability (6 points toward the Seahawks) came in Q2 at 0:15: (Shotgun) D.Lock pass short middle to A.Barner for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Cardinals 3, Seahawks 17: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-ari-at-sea (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 9 issue →

Week 9EarnedGame file →

Cardinals41% success · −0.29 EPA/play

317

Seahawks43% success · +0.07 EPA/play

ARI <1% deserveddeserved >99% SEA

Seahawks earned it: the snaps said Seahawks by 15.7, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginSEA by 15.7

Real marginSEA by 14

Luck pts ARI+3.2

Luck pts SEA−3.8

The swingQ1 3:58 · SEA · +10 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short left to 8-J.Price pushed ob at ARI 41 for 15 yards (5-B.Browning).

Flags that moved this game

1Defensive HoldingARI → helped SEA · Wk 9 Q1 8:04 · (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock scrambles right end ran ob at SEA 40 for 14 yards (1-Ma.Wilson). PENALTY on ARI-16-M.Melton, Defensive…+6.7 WP
2Offensive HoldingSEA → helped ARI · Wk 9 Q2 11:52 · 12-B.Gillikin punts 55 yards to SEA 24, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 15-T.Horton to SEA 27 for 3 yards (42-D.Taylor-Demerson). PENALTY…+6.7 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1SEA · 4th & 1Mike Macdonald chose Punt at own 23, Wk 9 Q2 9:40, up 4. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.16 EP
2SEA · 4th & 4Mike Macdonald chose Punt at opp 49, Wk 9 Q1 6:23, down 3. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.56 EP
3ARI · 4th & 14Mike LaFleur chose Punt at opp 43, Wk 9 Q2 5:36, down 4. Model: Field goal (lean). Result: punted.−0.39 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA132 plays, one strand1 lead change · 5 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewClete Blakeman18 accepted flags in this game · 15.8 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: SEA by 8.5 · Snaps: SEA by 15.7Seahawks covered; the snaps agree

3@17

Week 9

If the 45-yard kick had missed

Cardinals after the play7%what really happened

Q3 3:54 5-J.Myers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

SEA ▲ARI ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+6%Q2 0:15 · for SEA(Shotgun) D.Lock pass short middle to A.Barner for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.
+5%Q1 3:58 · for SEA(Shotgun) D.Lock pass short left to J.Price pushed ob at ARZ 41 for 15 yards (B.Browning).
+5%Q1 4:51 · for SEA(Shotgun) G.Minshew pass incomplete deep left [N.Emmanwori].PENALTY on ARZ-G.Minshew, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at ARZ 27.
+5%Q2 6:17 · for SEA(Shotgun) G.Minshew sacked at SEA 43 for -6 yards (B.Murphy).
+5%Q1 6:26 · for ARI(Shotgun) D.Lock pass incomplete short middle to Z.Charbonnet [Ma.Wilson].

Every drive, on the field

SEA attacks →← ARI attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 5y · 0:45
Q1 14:15FG10p · 89y · 4:52
Q1 9:23PUNT6p · 29y · 3:08
Q1 6:15PUNT3p · -3y · 1:35
Q1 4:40TD11p · 58y · 5:17
Q2 14:23PUNT3p · 4y · 2:42
Q2 11:41PUNT3p · 9y · 2:07
Q2 9:34PUNT6p · 30y · 4:05
Q2 5:29PUNT4p · 21y · 2:18
Q2 3:11PUNT3p · 1y · 1:26
Q2 1:45TD7p · 81y · 1:30
Q2 0:15HALF1p · -10y · 0:15
Q3 15:00PUNT6p · 12y · 3:35
Q3 11:25FG11p · 57y · 7:35
Q3 3:50PUNT6p · 13y · 3:43
Q3 0:07PUNT8p · 26y · 4:24
Q4 10:43DOWNS14p · 76y · 6:08
Q4 4:35END9p · 36y · 4:35

Cardinals8 drives1scoring drives (0 TD)13%drives ending in pointsOWN 22avg starting field position3three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Seahawks8 drives3scoring drives (2 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 21avg starting field position2three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
9:23Field goal C.Ryland 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.3–0
Q2
14:23TouchdownB.Hart and O.Oluwatimi reported in as eligible. Direct snap to A.Barner. A.Barner up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.3–7
Q2
0:15Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Lock pass short middle to A.Barner for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.3–14
Q3
3:50Field goalJ.Myers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.3–17

Team stats

ARIvsSEA

198Total yards295

148Passing yards175

50Rushing yards120

3.9Yards per play4.8

13First downs21

4-13 · 31%Third down7-14 · 50%

1-2Fourth down0-0

0-2Red zone TDs2-2

21/30Comp / att19/28

2.8Yards per carry3.6

0Turnovers0

3 (−18 yds)Sacks allowed0

9 for 97Penalties9 for 83

28:21Possession31:39

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.188+0.075

Dropback EPA-0.212+0.266

Rush EPA-0.145-0.116

Success rate41%43%

Explosive plays32

Plays5158

Who moved the needle

D.LockDropbacks: 29+7.7

J.PriceTargets: 4+4.6

Mi.WilsonTargets: 7+2.2

T.HortonTargets: 3+2.1

T.McBrideTargets: 8+2.0

C.KuppTargets: 4+2.0

Cost their side the most

G.Minshew IIDropbacks: 33-7.0

T.AllgeierTargets: 3-2.9

J.PriceCarries: 9-2.8

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Gardner Minshew IIQB	21/30	166	5.5	0	0	3-18	39.4	83.5

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tyler AllgeierRB	17	46	2.7	0	17
Gardner Minshew IIQB	1	4	4.0	0	4

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Michael WilsonWR	6	7	60	10.0	23
Trey McBrideTE	7	8	54	7.7	19
Reggie VirgilWR	1	4	25	25.0	25
Elijah HigginsTE	2	2	11	5.5	7
Devin DuvernayWR	2	2	8	4.0	5
Teagan QuitorianoTE	1	1	8	8.0	8
Tyler AllgeierRB	2	3	0	0.0	3
Evan HullRB	0	1	0	0.0	0
Simi FehokoWR	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	PD	QB HTS
Andrew WingardS	12	4	0	0
Budda BakerS	11	3	0	0
Mack Wilson Sr.LB	6	2	1	1
Walter Nolen IIIDT	6	2	0	1
Max MeltonCB	5	3	2	0
Jack GibbensLB	4	2	0	0
Kalen KingCB	3	2	1	0
Denzel BurkeCB	3	1	1	0
Baron BrowningLB	3	1	0	0
Cody SimonLB	3	1	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Chad RylandPK	1/1	100.0	28	0/0	3

Seattle Seahawks

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Drew LockQB	19/28	175	6.3	1	0	0-0	90.0	96.6

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Zach CharbonnetRB	16	77	4.8	0	17
Jadarian PriceRB	9	24	2.7	0	5
Drew LockQB	5	16	3.2	0	14
AJ BarnerTE	3	3	1.0	1	1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jadarian PriceRB	4	4	54	13.5	0	17
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR	7	10	51	7.3	0	18
Cooper KuppWR	3	4	32	10.7	0	12
Tory HortonWR	2	3	22	11.0	0	17
Zach CharbonnetRB	1	2	9	9.0	0	9
AJ BarnerTE	2	4	7	3.5	1	7
Eric SaubertTE	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Julian LoveS	8	6	0	0	0	0
Ernest Jones IVLB	7	3	0	0	1	0
Devon WitherspoonCB	7	5	0	1	0	0
Drake ThomasLB	4	1	0	0	0	0
Ty OkadaS	4	1	0	0	1	0
Byron Murphy IIDT	4	2	1	2	0	1
Derick HallLB	4	3	0	3	0	0
Mike MorrisDE	3	1	0	0	0	0
DeMarcus LawrenceLB	3	2	1	2	0	1
Josh JobeCB	2	2	0	0	1	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jason MyersPK	1/1	100.0	45	2/2	5

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 8 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Seahawks defense against big plays vs Cardinals big-play offense
The Seahawks' defense against big plays ranks 2nd in explosive-play rate (5.5% allowed, 475 plays faced) and faces a Cardinals big-play offense ranked 31st (5.8%, 549 plays).
31stARI offense29 spots apart2ndSEA defense
2Cardinals run defense vs Seahawks run game
The Cardinals' run defense ranks 7th in EPA per rush (-0.14 allowed, 214 rushes faced) and faces a Seahawks run game ranked 30th (-0.21, 212 rushes).
30thSEA offense23 spots apart7thARI defense
3Seahawks pass defense vs Cardinals dropback offense
The Seahawks' pass defense ranks 3rd in EPA per dropback (-0.07 allowed, 286 dropbacks faced) and faces a Cardinals dropback offense ranked 23rd (-0.01, 353 dropbacks).
23rdARI offense20 spots apart3rdSEA defense

When the Cardinals have the ballEdge SEA · +20 ranks

ARI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackSEA pass defense

23rd-0.01353 dropbacks

SEA +20

-0.07 allowed286 dropbacks faced3rd

ARI run gameEPA per rushSEA run defense

14th-0.05196 rushes

-0.11 allowed189 rushes faced10th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Seahawks have the ballEdge ARI · +23 ranks

SEA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackARI pass defense

18th+0.06289 dropbacks

SEA +13

+0.25 allowed263 dropbacks faced31st

SEA run gameEPA per rushARI run defense

30th-0.21212 rushes

ARI +23

-0.14 allowed214 rushes faced7th

Third downEdge ARI · +10 ranks

ARI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateSEA third-down defense

15th39.8%123 third downs

SEA +8

34.3% allowed108 third downs faced7th

SEA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateARI third-down defense

27th36.6%101 third downs

ARI +10

41.5% allowed94 third downs faced17th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge

ARI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateSEA red-zone defense

31st47%32 trips

88% allowed17 trips faced32nd

SEA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateARI red-zone defense

26th50%26 trips

67% allowed30 trips faced25th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge SEA · +29 ranks

ARI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateSEA defense against big plays

31st5.8%549 plays

SEA +29

5.5% allowed475 plays faced2nd

SEA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateARI defense against big plays

18th9.0%501 plays

9.9% allowed477 plays faced19th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge ARI · +12 ranks

ARI pass protectionsack rateSEA pass rush

14th5.7% sacked353 dropbacks

6.3% of dropbacks286 dropbacks faced15th

SEA pass protectionsack rateARI pass rush

20th6.6% sacked289 dropbacks

ARI +12

7.2% of dropbacks263 dropbacks faced8th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

ARI ball securityturnovers per gameSEA takeaway defense

11th1.0 giveaways a game8 games

1.4 takeaways a game8 games10th

SEA ball securityturnovers per gameARI takeaway defense

28th1.8 giveaways a game8 games

0.9 takeaways a game8 games25th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: ARI 8 games, 549 offensive and 477 defensive plays · SEA 8 games, 501 offensive and 475 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Carson BeckQB→ Gardner Minshew II

Reggie VirgilWR→ Michael Wilson

Jayden WilliamsLT→ Josh Fryar

Jon Gaines IIRG→ Isaiah Adams

Roy LopezLDT→ Andrew Billings

Brady RussellFB→ Jadarian Price

Rashid ShaheedWR→ Tory Horton

Leonard WilliamsLDE→ Rylie Mills

Uchenna NwosuSLB→ Derick Hall

AwayCardinals1 next man up · 4 questionable · 5 changes