Week 10 · 14 games still to play

DFS research

The numbers behind this week's slate: what every defense allows to each position, who is getting the ball, recent form and the points the market expects from each team. Research data only: no salaries, no picks.

Defense vs position →

The slate

Implied team totals from the current total and spread

Thu, Nov 12 · 8:15 PM ET

WSH20.0

NYG22.5O/U 42.5 · NYG -2.5 · MetLife Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM ET

NE24.5

DET27.0O/U 51.5 · DET -2.5 · FC Bayern Munich Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

BUF29.5

NYJ21.0O/U 50.5 · BUF -8.5 · MetLife Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

CAR23.0

NO24.5O/U 47.5 · NO -1.5 · Caesars Superdome Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

HOU22.0

CLE17.5O/U 39.5 · HOU -4.5 · Huntington Bank Field Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

JAX28.5

TEN18.0O/U 46.5 · JAX -10.5 · Nissan Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

KC24.5

ATL21.0O/U 45.5 · KC -3.5 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

MIA19.0

IND21.5O/U 40.5 · IND -2.5 · Lucas Oil Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ET

MIN18.5

GB23.0O/U 41.5 · GB -4.5 · Lambeau Field Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ET

LAR25.0

ARI15.5O/U 40.5 · LAR -9.5 · State Farm Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ET

SEA23.5

LV20.0O/U 43.5 · SEA -3.5 · Allegiant Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ET

SF29.5

DAL26.0O/U 55.5 · SF -3.5 · AT&T Stadium Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ET

PIT22.5

CIN26.0O/U 48.5 · CIN -3.5 · Paycor Stadium Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ET

LAC16.5

BAL22.0O/U 38.5 · BAL -5.5 · M&T Bank Stadium

Where defenses give up the most

Full table

25.4FP/G the Lions allow to TEs+83% vs league avg 13.9 · rank 1 · last 4: 21.7

19.0FP/G the Commanders allow to TEs+37% vs league avg 13.9 · rank 3 · last 4: 19.7

23.8FP/G the Lions allow to QBs+36% vs league avg 17.6 · rank 1 · last 4: 17.0

29.9FP/G the Saints allow to RBs+33% vs league avg 22.5 · rank 1 · last 4: 24.2

42.5FP/G the Titans allow to WRs+31% vs league avg 32.4 · rank 1 · last 4: 49.5

17.8FP/G the Dolphins allow to TEs+28% vs league avg 13.9 · rank 4 · last 4: 16.3

28.5FP/G the Panthers allow to RBs+27% vs league avg 22.5 · rank 2 · last 4: 27.5

40.5FP/G the Patriots allow to WRs+25% vs league avg 32.4 · rank 2 · last 4: 50.3

Player board

382 players · min. 2 games · sorted by fantasy points per game

Hide Out / Doubtful / IR

Player	Matchup
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA · 9 gp	@LV	28.1	24.4▼	45.5	35%	83%	8.2	13	23.5
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET · 8 gp	vsNE	27.9	20.8▼	41.4	17%	78%	26.4	29	27.0
Joe BurrowQBCIN · 8 gp	vsPIT	26.5	34.6▲	45.5	–	98%	2.9	30	26.0
Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC · 8 gp	@ATL	26.4	20.5▼	39.3	15%	73%	23.1	3	24.5
Josh AllenQBBUF · 8 gp	@NYJ	26.3	19.6▼	40.8	–	98%	7.8	19	29.5
CeeDee LambWRDAL · 9 gp	vsSF	23.6	24.9•	44.3	33%	84%	8.0	27	26.0
Brock BowersTELV · 7 gp	vsSEA	22.4	22.6•	30.6	22%	90%	7.0	25	20.0
C.J. StroudQBHOU · 8 gp	@CLE	22.3	27.0▲	39.4	–	96%	2.5	27	22.0
Jordan LoveQBGB · 9 gp	vsMIN	22.2	25.9▲	37.2	–	96%	1.3	32	23.0
Drake MayeQBNE · 9 gp	@DET	21.8	25.1▲	42.5	–	94%	5.2	1	24.5
Brock PurdyQBSF · 8 gp	@DAL	21.8	19.2▼	31.3	–	97%	4.9	6	29.5
Christian WatsonWRGB · 9 gp	vsMIN	21.1	21.7•	35.7	22%	69%	5.4	30	23.0
Tee HigginsWRCIN · 8 gp	vsPIT	21.1	30.2▲	40.5	23%	81%	6.0	24	26.0
Bijan RobinsonRBATL · 9 gp	vsKC	21.0	18.2▼	38.3	16%	81%	22.2	22	21.0
Christian McCaffreyRBSF · 8 gp	@DAL	21.0	25.5▲	31.7	20%	68%	17.3	6	29.5
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN · 8 gp	vsPIT	20.7	28.6▲	34.5	25%	89%	6.6	24	26.0
Kirk CousinsQBLV · 9 gp	vsSEA	20.5	21.4•	28.2	–	100%	2.4	31	20.0
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET · 8 gp	vsNE	20.4	18.8▼	38.2	32%	75%	7.9	2	27.0
James Cook IIIRBBUF · 8 gp	@NYJ	20.3	20.7•	26.8	8%	61%	22.6	9	29.5
Bryce YoungQBCAR · 8 gp	@NO	20.1	14.0▼	35.4	–	92%	1.4	18	23.0
Jayden DanielsQBWSH · 6 gp	@NYG	20.0	18.2▼	33.3	–	100%	5.2	8	20.0
Jared GoffQBDET · 8 gp	vsNE	19.9	12.8▼	32.8	–	100%	2.4	13	27.0
Dak PrescottQBDAL · 9 gp	vsSF	19.8	21.5▲	29.8	–	100%	2.8	24	26.0
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX · 8 gp	@TEN	19.8	21.8▲	31.3	–	94%	2.6	5	28.5
Tyler ShoughQBNO · 8 gp	vsCAR	19.7	20.5•	29.2	–	99%	4.3	22	24.5
Matthew GoldenWRGB · 9 gp	vsMIN	19.3	22.1▲	35.4	28%	82%	6.0	30	23.0
Jaylen WarrenRBPIT · 8 gp	@CIN	19.2	17.9•	39.8	14%	65%	18.0	15	22.5
Patrick MahomesQBKC · 8 gpQuestionable	@ATL	19.1	17.6•	32.0	–	98%	2.9	17	24.5
Chuba HubbardRBCAR · 8 gp	@NO	19.1	16.2▼	28.9	11%	81%	20.0	1	23.0
Chris OlaveWRNO · 8 gp	vsCAR	18.8	14.2▼	31.2	28%	73%	7.0	16	24.5
Trey McBrideTEARI · 9 gp	vsLAR	18.4	20.9▲	30.1	27%	90%	8.1	26	15.5
Javonte WilliamsRBDAL · 9 gp	vsSF	18.4	18.9•	31.3	9%	70%	19.8	18	26.0
Matthew StaffordQBLAR · 9 gp	@ARI	18.2	13.3▼	31.0	–	100%	1.7	3	25.0
Davante AdamsWRLAR · 6 gp	@ARI	18.0	12.1▼	42.5	15%	81%	5.0	15	25.0
Kyren WilliamsRBLAR · 9 gp	@ARI	17.9	13.7▼	36.7	14%	61%	18.1	17	25.0
Malik NabersWRNYG · 8 gp	vsWSH	17.7	20.6▲	32.1	30%	79%	6.6	7	22.5
Jonathan TaylorRBIND · 9 gp	vsMIA	17.5	12.4▼	29.2	13%	66%	20.8	8	21.5
Omar Cooper Jr.WRNYJ · 4 gp	vsBUF	17.1	21.5▲	25.5	9%	76%	5.0	11	21.0
Zay FlowersWRBAL · 8 gp	vsLAC	17.1	12.0▼	30.7	27%	78%	6.1	5	22.0
Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR · 8 gp	@NO	16.4	11.8▼	48.2	25%	79%	5.8	17	23.0
Derrick HenryRBBAL · 9 gp	vsLAC	16.4	8.5▼	38.3	6%	49%	20.8	12	22.0
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX · 8 gp	@TEN	16.3	22.2▲	32.9	7%	48%	17.1	16	28.5
Isaiah LikelyTENYG · 8 gp	vsWSH	15.9	13.8▼	32.4	27%	84%	5.8	3	22.5
Ashton JeantyRBLV · 9 gp	vsSEA	15.8	13.0▼	35.7	18%	59%	17.3	20	20.0
Nico CollinsWRHOU · 6 gp	@CLE	15.8	9.7▼	33.8	14%	71%	5.0	19	22.0
Drew LockQBSEA · 3 gpQuestionable	@LV	15.6	15.6•	21.4	–	97%	2.3	2	23.5
Tony PollardRBTEN · 8 gp	vsJAX	15.3	26.3▲	39.5	9%	78%	18.4	31	18.0
Aaron RodgersQBPIT · 8 gp	@CIN	15.3	12.0▼	23.7	–	98%	1.5	14	22.5
Geno SmithQBNYJ · 9 gp	vsBUF	14.9	16.3•	28.0	–	100%	2.7	15	21.0
Jacoby BrissettQBARI · 8 gp	vsLAR	14.8	9.6▼	26.3	–	86%	3.8	23	15.5
Tank DellWRHOU · 2 gp	@CLE	14.5	14.5•	23.5	4%	35%	3.0	19	22.0
George KittleTESF · 8 gp	@DAL	14.4	14.5•	26.2	23%	86%	4.8	19	29.5
Breece HallRBNYJ · 4 gp	vsBUF	14.3	11.5▼	22.8	5%	52%	19.8	10	21.0
Parker WashingtonWRJAX · 8 gp	@TEN	14.1	9.4▼	33.4	25%	69%	3.9	1	28.5
Malik WillisQBMIA · 8 gpQuestionable	@IND	14.0	15.5•	26.0	–	100%	4.8	7	19.0
Drake LondonWRATL · 9 gp	vsKC	14.0	11.1▼	31.4	28%	91%	5.1	31	21.0
Michael Penix Jr.QBATL · 7 gp	vsKC	13.9	12.3▼	20.4	–	100%	2.9	29	21.0
Jaxson DartQBNYG · 2 gp	vsWSH	13.7	13.7•	26.6	–	56%	5.5	4	22.5
Jameson WilliamsWRDET · 8 gp	vsNE	13.6	16.0▲	26.1	17%	83%	3.6	2	27.0
Justin JeffersonWRMIN · 7 gp	@GB	13.3	10.5▼	29.2	24%	93%	4.6	6	18.5

How it's scored

Pass yd 0.04Pass TD 4INT -1300+ pass yds +3Rush/rec yd 0.1Rush/rec TD 6Reception 1100+ rush or rec yds +3Fumble lost -1Return TD 6

Fantasy points follow DraftKings-style full-PPR scoring, computed from each game's official box score (2026 regular season). Two-point conversions are not in the box score and are left out. Target share is the player's share of his team's targets (nflverse play-by-play); snap share is the offensive snap percentage. The opponent rank (DvP) puts the defense that allows the most fantasy points to the position at 1. Implied team totals split the current over/under by the spread. Injury tags come from the latest team reports. This page is research data, not advice: there are no salaries here and nothing on it is a pick.