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Eagles DeskBy the Numbers

Eagles run defense ranks 31st while the offense stalls at a 24% success rate

Philadelphia is 2-7 with the league's 30th-ranked offense by EPA, and the line rotation has changed sharply since Week 6.

DefenseBy the Numbers-0.29Offense EPA/play · Week 9
By Eagles Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 11, 12:21 PM ET2 min read

31st: the run defense sits next to last in the league

Philadelphia's run defense ranks 31st. The pass defense is 25th, and the full unit is 29th at 0.084 EPA allowed per play. EPA, expected points added, measures how much each play moves a team's scoring chances. For a defense, higher is worse.

The Birds did hold the line in Week 9, allowing -0.071 EPA per play. That is the only week this season below zero. In Week 7 the number was 0.318.

Pittsburgh is the next test of whether Week 9 was a trend or an outlier.

24%: the Week 9 success rate was the season low

The offense succeeded on 24% of its plays in Week 9. Weeks 2, 3 and 8 each reached 40%, and the season mark is 36%. The Week 9 EPA of -0.287 matched Week 4.

For the season the Eagles are at -0.146 EPA per play, 30th in the league. The pass offense is 29th and the rush offense is 26th. The Eagles are 2-7 with a 73-point deficit in points scored versus allowed, and they have lost seven straight.

69%: the early-down pass rate is climbing back up

Philadelphia threw on 69% of its early downs in Week 9. That compares with 51% in Week 7 and 57% in Week 8. The season high was 76% in Week 6, and Week 1 opened at 54%.

The run game has not given the Eagles much reason to stay on the ground. Saquon Barkley has 296 yards on 69 plays, a 35% success rate and -0.05 EPA per play. Over the last three weeks he has 114 yards on 33 plays at 30% success and -0.11 EPA.

Elijah Mitchell has 17 rushes in that span at -0.25 EPA per play. Dameon Pierce has 96 yards on 37 plays for the season.

97 points: the center spot and the back seven changed fast

Willie Lampkin played 100% of the snaps at center in Week 6 and 3% in Week 9, a drop of 97 points. That is the largest snap-share swing on the roster.

The defense shifted too. Jeremiah Trotter Jr. went from 35% of the snaps in Week 6 to 96% in Week 9. Marcus Epps went from 0% to 64%. Arnold Ebiketie fell from 91% to 37%.

That is the group that produced the -0.071 EPA allowed in Week 9. It will face a Pittsburgh offense Philadelphia has not yet seen.

What to watch

The Steelers visit Philadelphia on Sunday, Nov. 22, in a Week 11 game on CBS. The Eagles are 1-4 at home this season. Watch the early-down pass rate and the rushing success rate, which sat at 30% for Barkley over the last three weeks.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.