Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
ESPNFantasy buzz: James Cook III helps Bills overcome tough Vikings defenseDetroit LionsTWENTYMAN: 5 stats that stand out following Lions' Week 9 victoryESPNSeven things Solak thinks for NFL Week 10: Jaguars trades, All-Pro picks, morePittsburgh SteelersAsked and Answered: Nov. 10ESPNCommanders running low on time to 'put it all together'New York GiantsGiants Now: Michael Strahan offers high praise of Arvell ReesePhiladelphia EaglesAAA Official Review: What did the Eagles, Joe Milton learn from the QB's first start?Buffalo Bills'There's no panic' | The Bills stay strong through early struggles and injuries in MNF win over the Minnesota VikingsESPNVikings left at QB crossroads after Carson Wentz's poor MNF showing vs. BillsBroncos DeskBroncos are 7-2, but the snaps say 4.1 wins and the 11th seed in the conference6 h agoInjuryByron Murphy Jr.: Active → Cleared6 h agoMinnesota VikingsVikings Defense Limits Bills Below AveragesMinnesota VikingsO'Connell: Vikings Have to 'Improve Offensively at Rapid Pace'InjuryBlake Cashman: Active → Cleared7 h agoVikings DeskVikings go 0-for-8 on third down and never get a receiver open in a 23-6 loss to Bills7 h agoInjuryWill Reichard: Active → Cleared7 h agoBills DeskJosh Allen's picks and sacks didn't matter: Bills force three turnovers in Minneapolis7 h agoPro Football RumorsSeahawks Interested In Adding WR DepthInjuryGreg Dortch: Active → Cleared8 h agoESPNJosh Allen and the Bills move to 7-1 with a 23-6 win over the sputtering VikingsBuffalo BillsBills 23 , Vikings 6 | Final Score, recap + highlightsInjuryCarl Granderson: Active → Cleared8 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabPigskin Nightly originals

The Lab

Twelve tools built from our own data, updated after every game and free to cite. Eight read the 2026 season snap by snap: the standings the snaps would have written, the play that could have flipped every game, the clock, the officials, the line against the tape, every playbook, every game as one strand, and contracts against production. Four lean on archives, and each archive starts where its data does: the timeline below shows how far back every one goes.

12 tools136 gamesThe VerdictMethod
How far back each tool reads1999 → 2026
  1. Every snap of the season8 tools2026 only
  2. Referee careersRef Crew Reportsince 1999
  3. Crowd noiseLoudest Stadiumssince 1999
  4. Station weatherWeather Ledgersince 2000
  5. Injuries by surfaceTurf vs Grasssince 2009
  6. Opening vs closing linesLine Movementsince 2023

Games themselves go back to 1999. What each tool can add on top depends on when its source begins: injury reports with body parts, station weather, opening and closing lines.

02One play, two worlds

Sliding Doors

For every game, the single coin-flip play that would have changed it most for the team that lost: the fumble, the kick, the fourth down. Flip it and watch.

63of 136 games turned on one coin-flip playOpen Sliding Doors →
03Who wins the game against the clock

Clock IQ

Seven tests of clock management for every staff: two-minute drills, halves left on the table, timeouts burned, hurry-up and closing out. One grade from 0 to 100.

72the best Clock IQ: Rams, Sean McVayOpen Clock IQ →
06The fingerprint of every playbook

Scheme DNA

Motion, play action, shotgun, tempo, deep shots, run lanes, blitz and box counts for all 32 teams. Every offense's closest twin, and how much its formation gives away.

CINthe league's most unusual playbook: most pass rate over expected, most early-down pass rate in the league
Pass rate over expected: +9.0% (100th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 63.6% (100th percentile)Shotgun rate: 75.8% (97th percentile)No-huddle rate: 4.4% (36th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 50.6% (13th percentile)Play action: 15.4% (3th percentile)Screen rate: 6.9% (26th percentile)RPO rate: 8.9% (87th percentile)Deep shots: 8.9% (13th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.2% (48th percentile)Outside runs: 14.0% (0th percentile)Tempo: 38.2s (45th percentile)
Open Scheme DNA →
The Lab, auditedHow sure are we?Every metric tested against 27 seasons: which ones are calibrated, which ones predict, which ones are still noise. Published as they came out.Read the tests →