Pigskin Nightly
More
GamedayScores & liveEvery game, live field, drive chartVideoHighlights for every gameStartersProjected, last game, confirmedInjury reportWho is out this weekTravel & restMiles, time zones, short weeks
AnalyticsThe VerdictWho deserved to win, graded weeklyEPA mapEvery offense and defenseWith / WithoutTeam splits when a starter sitsMilestone WatchCareer marks within reachCompare playersSide by side, every numberDFS researchDefense vs position, usage, totalsFree widgetsLive scores and stats for your siteGlossaryWhat every number means
The LabAll Lab toolsOriginal tools, built from every snapDeserved StandingsThe table the snaps would have builtSliding DoorsThe play that could have flipped itClock IQEvery staff against the clockRef Crew ReportEvery officiating crew, in numbersMarket vs SnapsWhere the line and the tape disagreeScheme DNAEvery playbook's fingerprintGame DNAEvery game drawn as one strandPaid vs PlayedEvery contract against the fieldLoudest StadiumsCrowd noise, measured since 1999Turf vs GrassInjuries by playing surfaceWeather LedgerReal weather, every game since 2000Line MovementOpening vs closing, every game since 2023
ClubsStandingsDivisions and playoff seedsPlayoff odds10,000 simulated seasonsStrength of scheduleThe road left for all 32All 32 teamsHubs, depth charts, snapsRostersEvery player, every teamNewsroomThe 32 club desksHow we writeOur editorial standards
Week 10
Latest
Detroit LionsNFC NORTH: Where all four teams stand heading into Week 10ESPNQuestions on 2026 NFL trade deadline deals: Does Kirk Cousins lift the Vikings?ESPNNFL Week 10 latest intel, buzz questions, fantasy tips, post-trade deadline newsESPNCowboys rave about Quinnen Williams a year after trade deadline dealESPNBig plays by Broncos defense in late-game situations keying Denver's 7-2 startESPNThe Philadelphia Eagles' 2026 trade haul is likely to age well over timeESPNWhere does Cam Ward stand coming out of the bye?Philadelphia Eagles2026 Salute to Service Nominee: Trailblazer Rachel Washburn's impact goes beyond the uniformsPro Football RumorsCardinals Work Out QBs Cooper Rush, Trevor SiemianESPNWhy Giants' trade attempts 'just didn't happen'ESPNChiefs add WR Josh Downs at NFL trade deadlineESPNHow the Amani Hooker trade helps the Titans rebuildInjuryEric Wilson: Active → Cleared8 h agoPro Football RumorsJets Work Out QBs Bailey Zappe, Austin ReedInjuryZach Allen: Active → Cleared9 h agoPro Football RumorsCowboys Add RB Kendre Miller To Practice SquadInjuryNathan Shepherd: Active → Cleared10 h agoInjuryJoshua Metellus: Active → Cleared10 h agoInjuryJordyn Brooks: Active → Cleared11 h agoInjuryChristian Barmore: Active → Cleared11 h agoInjuryQuentin Lake: Active → Cleared11 h agoInjuryDre'Mont Jones: Active → Cleared11 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Texans 44 · 22 Chargers

158 plays, one strand. Texans won without the lead ever changing hands; Texans peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 58%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAC, down for HOU, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Texans peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 58%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Chargers win, play by play. High = LAC in control, low = HOU in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAC on offense, down for HOU; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Chargers ↑Texans ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTTDTDINTTDFUMTDTDTDLAC ↑ HOMEHOU ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: HOU on the left, LAC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
HOULAC
64Plays69
487Yards315
8Explosive plays3
5Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers2
100%Peak win prob.58%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
HOUTD63yLACFG34yHOUFG21yLACPunt24yHOUPunt9yLACFG21yHOUINT14yLACFG14yHOUTD68yLACPunt8yHOUPunt16yLACPunt1yHOUTD76yLACPunt-4yLACINT12yHOUTD85yLAC–5yHOUPunt-7yLACFUM65yHOUTD74yLACTD60yHOUFG47yLACTD65yHOUFG21yLAC–10y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 6.0 expected points against Texans.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 7:32 · HOU · Interception

    7-C.Stroud pass short middle intended for 14-K.Boutte INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Henley (58-M.Wax) at LAC 44. 0-D.Henley to HOU 38 for 18 yards (86-

    −6.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 4:37 · HOU · Touchdown

    7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 1-T.Dell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.5 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 6:32 · LAC · Sack

    10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 38 for -3 yards (90-J.Clowney).

    −3.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 2:41 · LAC · Completion

    10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 84-K.Lambert-Smith to HOU 30 for 50 yards (2-C.Bullock).

    +5.3 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 1:21 · LAC · Fumble lost

    34-K.Mitchell right end to HOU 24 for no gain (39-H.To'oTo'o). FUMBLES (39-H.To'oTo'o), RECOVERED by HOU-2-C.Bullock at HOU 11.

    −4.9 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 14:23 · HOU · Touchdown

    7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 14-K.Boutte for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN [45-T.Tuipulotu].

    +6.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 12:57 · LAC · Touchdown

    10-J.Herbert pass short right to 1-Q.Johnston for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +6.0 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 4:24 · LAC · Touchdown

    7-D.Uiagalelei pass short middle to 12-D.Davis for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.3 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
44@22Week 9

If the 56-yard kick had missed

Chargers after the play38%what really happened
ChargersTexansthe rest never happened

Q1 3:16 15-K.Fairbairn 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.

Week 9

The rest of the week

Every week →
Jaguars at Ravens, Game DNA33@10Bengals at Falcons, Game DNA34@17Browns at Saints, Game DNA22@23Cowboys at Colts, Game DNA27@23Broncos at Panthers, Game DNA26@21Lions at Dolphins, Game DNA19@9Rams at Commanders, Game DNA20@13Giants at Eagles, Game DNA19@11Jets at Chiefs, Game DNA12@35Raiders at 49ers, Game DNA17@38Cardinals at Seahawks, Game DNA3@17Packers at Patriots, Game DNA45@27Buccaneers at Bears, Game DNA24@27Bills at Vikings, Game DNA23@6