Chiefs at Falcons: Week 10 preview, odds and injuries

Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium1 PM ET

at1 PMET · CBSKC -3.5 · O/U 45.5

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 10:36 PM ET

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) visit the Atlanta Falcons (3-6) on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA (Week 10, 2026 season), on CBS. Betting line: KC -3.5, over/under 45.5.

When and where is Chiefs vs Falcons?

Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. TV: CBS.

Who is favored in Chiefs vs Falcons?

The line is KC -3.5 with an over/under of 45.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Chiefs vs Falcons?

Chiefs: Omarr Norman-Lott (DT, out, knee - acl), Jaylon Moore (OT, questionable, ankle), Mansoor Delane (CB, questionable, shoulder), Patrick Mahomes (QB, questionable, elbow), Peter Woods (DT, questionable, neck) and Xavier Worthy (WR, questionable, hamstring). Falcons: Anterio Thompson (DT, out, undisclosed) and Zachariah Branch (WR, doubtful, hamstring).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Chiefs at Falcons: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-15-kc-at-atl (updated 2026-11-11).

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Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Chiefs pass defense vs Falcons dropback offense
The Chiefs' pass defense ranks 10th in EPA per dropback (-0.01 allowed, 305 dropbacks faced) and faces a Falcons dropback offense ranked 28th (-0.13, 286 dropbacks).
28thATL offense18 spots apart10thKC defense
2Chiefs run game vs Falcons run defense
The Chiefs' run game ranks 2nd in EPA per rush (+0.09, 195 rushes) against a Falcons run defense ranked 21st (-0.06 allowed, 228 rushes faced).
2ndKC offense19 spots apart21stATL defense
3Falcons pass protection vs Chiefs pass rush
The Falcons' pass protection ranks 12th in sack rate (5.6% sacked, 286 dropbacks) against a Chiefs pass rush ranked 31st (4.6% of dropbacks, 305 dropbacks faced).
12thATL offense19 spots apart31stKC defense

When the Chiefs have the ballEdge KC · +19 ranks

KC dropback offenseEPA per dropbackATL pass defense

8th+0.16290 dropbacks

+0.04 allowed345 dropbacks faced15th

KC run gameEPA per rushATL run defense

2nd+0.09195 rushes

KC +19

-0.06 allowed228 rushes faced21st

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Falcons have the ballEdge KC · +18 ranks

ATL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackKC pass defense

28th-0.13286 dropbacks

KC +18

-0.01 allowed305 dropbacks faced10th

ATL run gameEPA per rushKC run defense

8th-0.00239 rushes

-0.16 allowed197 rushes faced6th

Third downEdge KC · +18 ranks

KC third-down offensethird-down conversion rateATL third-down defense

12th42.1%95 third downs

KC +11

43.3% allowed120 third downs faced23rd

ATL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateKC third-down defense

28th35.2%105 third downs

KC +18

37.6% allowed109 third downs faced10th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge KC · +14 ranks

KC red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateATL red-zone defense

10th63%30 trips

KC +14

67% allowed33 trips faced24th

ATL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateKC red-zone defense

14th62%26 trips

KC +11

38% allowed21 trips faced3rd

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge KC · +15 ranks

KC big-play offenseexplosive-play rateATL defense against big plays

4th10.9%485 plays

KC +15

9.6% allowed573 plays faced19th

ATL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateKC defense against big plays

15th9.5%525 plays

KC +8

7.6% allowed502 plays faced7th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge ATL · +19 ranks

KC pass protectionsack rateATL pass rush

6th3.8% sacked290 dropbacks

KC +12

5.8% of dropbacks345 dropbacks faced18th

ATL pass protectionsack rateKC pass rush

12th5.6% sacked286 dropbacks

ATL +19

4.6% of dropbacks305 dropbacks faced31st

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge KC · +14 ranks

KC ball securityturnovers per gameATL takeaway defense

5th0.8 giveaways a game8 games

KC +14

1.1 takeaways a game9 games19th

ATL ball securityturnovers per gameKC takeaway defense

28th1.7 giveaways a game9 games

KC +14

1.3 takeaways a game8 games14th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesKC 0 · ATL 0 regulars out or doubtful

Chiefs6 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QPatrick MahomesQB99% offense · 8 wk
QJaylon MooreOT87% offense · 7 wk
QXavier WorthyWR83% offense · 8 wk
QMansoor DelaneCB79% defense · 5 wk
OUTOmarr Norman-LottDTno snaps
QPeter WoodsDTno snaps

Falcons2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DZachariah BranchWR24% offense · 8 wk
OUTAnterio ThompsonDTno snaps

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · KC travels 669 mi

AwayChiefs

7days since last game

669miles to get here

1time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs NYJ (W 35-12) · 8,895 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 669 mi

HomeFalcons

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs CIN (L 17-34) · Madrid · 12,887 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: KC 8 games, 485 offensive and 502 defensive plays · ATL 9 games, 525 offensive and 573 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32