Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Week 10 · Mon, Nov 16 · M&T Bank Stadium8:15 PM ET
Away · 0-8Los AngelesChargers
at8:15 PMET · ESPNBAL -4.5 · O/U 38.5
Home · 4-5BaltimoreRavens
At a glance

The Los Angeles Chargers (0-8) visit the Baltimore Ravens (4-5) on Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD (Week 10, 2026 season), on ESPN. Betting line: BAL -4.5, over/under 38.5.

When and where is Chargers vs Ravens?

Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD. TV: ESPN.

Who is favored in Chargers vs Ravens?

The line is BAL -4.5 with an over/under of 38.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Chargers vs Ravens?

Chargers: Brenen Thompson (WR, questionable, quadriceps), Deane Leonard (CB, questionable, concussion), Isas Waxter (CB, questionable, ankle), Justin Eboigbe (DT, questionable, ankle), Justin Herbert (QB, questionable, finger) and Kayode Awosika (G, questionable, lower leg) (plus 2 more). Ravens: Adisa Isaac (LB, questionable, hamstring), Jaylinn Hawkins (S, questionable, knee), Kyle Hamilton (S, questionable, hip) and Nate Wiggins (CB, questionable, illness).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Chargers at Ravens: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-16-lac-at-bal (updated 2026-11-11).

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Ravens logoRavens defense against big plays vs Chargers big-play offense

    The Ravens' defense against big plays ranks 9th in explosive-play rate (7.8% allowed, 553 plays faced) and faces a Chargers big-play offense ranked 26th (7.8%, 497 plays).

    26thLAC offense17 spots apart9thBAL defense
  2. 2Ravens logoRavens third-down defense vs Chargers third-down offense

    The Ravens' third-down defense ranks 13th in third-down conversion rate (39.0% allowed, 118 third downs faced) and faces a Chargers third-down offense ranked 27th (36.0%, 114 third downs).

    27thLAC offense14 spots apart13thBAL defense
  3. 3Ravens logoRavens run defense vs Chargers run game

    The Ravens' run defense ranks 19th in EPA per rush (-0.07 allowed, 224 rushes faced) and faces a Chargers run game ranked 32nd (-0.25, 201 rushes).

    32ndLAC offense13 spots apart19thBAL defense
When the Chargers have the ballEdge BAL · +13 ranks
LAC dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBAL pass defense
32nd-0.24296 dropbacks
BAL +11
+0.08 allowed329 dropbacks faced21st
LAC run gameEPA per rushBAL run defense
32nd-0.25201 rushes
BAL +13
-0.07 allowed224 rushes faced19th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Ravens have the ballNo big edge
BAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAC pass defense
18th+0.03290 dropbacks
+0.06 allowed255 dropbacks faced18th
BAL run gameEPA per rushLAC run defense
16th-0.07238 rushes
-0.06 allowed218 rushes faced20th
Third downEdge BAL · +14 ranks
LAC third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBAL third-down defense
27th36.0%114 third downs
BAL +14
39.0% allowed118 third downs faced13th
BAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAC third-down defense
18th38.5%109 third downs
LAC +11
35.1% allowed97 third downs faced7th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge
LAC red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBAL red-zone defense
29th47%19 trips
64% allowed33 trips faced22nd
BAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAC red-zone defense
15th59%27 trips
53% allowed32 trips faced13th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge BAL · +17 ranks
LAC big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBAL defense against big plays
26th7.8%497 plays
BAL +17
7.8% allowed553 plays faced9th
BAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAC defense against big plays
13th9.7%528 plays
BAL +12
10.1% allowed473 plays faced25th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge BAL · +9 ranks
LAC pass protectionsack rateBAL pass rush
31st10.5% sacked296 dropbacks
BAL +9
5.2% of dropbacks329 dropbacks faced22nd
BAL pass protectionsack rateLAC pass rush
24th7.9% sacked290 dropbacks
5.1% of dropbacks255 dropbacks faced25th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge BAL · +10 ranks
LAC ball securityturnovers per gameBAL takeaway defense
32nd2.3 giveaways a game8 games
BAL +10
1.0 takeaways a game9 games22nd
BAL ball securityturnovers per gameLAC takeaway defense
13th1.1 giveaways a game9 games
1.4 takeaways a game8 games10th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesLAC 0 · BAL 0 regulars out or doubtful
Chargers logoChargers8 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Ravens logoRavens4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelBAL +3 days of rest · LAC travels 2,322 mi
Chargers logoAwayChargers
8days since last game
2,322miles to get here
3time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs HOU (L 22-44) · 9,074 mi flown this season

Long trip3 time zones
Rest edge+3BAL daysTravel gap 2,322 mi
Ravens logoHomeRavens
11days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Thu wk 9 vs JAX (L 10-33) · 12,937 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: LAC 8 games, 497 offensive and 473 defensive plays · BAL 9 games, 528 offensive and 553 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Chargers logoLACBALRavens logo
32nd-0.245Offense EPA / play-0.01518th
32nd-0.243Dropback EPA+0.03418th
32nd-0.248Rush EPA-0.07416th
32nd35.0%Offense success rate44.1%12th
30th-10.3%Pass rate over expected-6.9%28th
17th+0.003Defense EPA allowed+0.01719th
18th+0.059Pass defense EPA+0.07621st
20th-0.062Run defense EPA-0.07019th
20th44.0%Defense success allowed44.5%24th
20th17.7To QBs17.621st
12th23.0To RBs19.826th
5th38.0To WRs35.310th
30th9.9To TEs13.715th

Form

Last six results

Injury report

League report
Chargers logoChargers8 listed
Ravens logoRavens4 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET.

SpreadBAL -4.5Closing line
TotalO/U 38.5Points expected
WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueM&T Bank StadiumBaltimore, MD
BroadcastESPN8:15 PM ET · Mon, Nov 16

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Chargers logoAwayChargers
8days since last game
2,322miles to get here
3time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs HOU (L 22-44) · 9,074 mi flown this season

Long trip3 time zones
Rest edge+3BAL daysTravel gap 2,322 mi
Ravens logoHomeRavens
11days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Thu wk 9 vs JAX (L 10-33) · 12,937 mi flown this season

Normal week

Teams with more rest than their opponent are 34-12 in 2026 (46 games). After trips over 1,500 miles: 15-18 (33 games). All travel splits →

Week 10 around the league

13 other games