NFC West · 2026 season

ArizonaCardinals

3-6record4thin West#14NFC seed-77point diffL1streak

RamsSun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETLAR -9.5 · O/U 40.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Biggest improvementDefenseEPA per play allowed29th→19th

Over the last 4 games the defense has allowed +0.01 EPA per play (240 plays), 19th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: +0.12 EPA per play (295 plays), 29th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Emerging problemOffensesuccess rate11th→25th

Over the last 4 games the offense has posted a 40.2% success rate (271 plays), 25th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: a 45.9% success rate (329 plays), 11th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftHayden Conner, OLoffensive snap share1%→50%

Hayden Conner has played 50% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 1% in the 5 games before. On the field in 2 of 4 and 2 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The Arizona Cardinals are 3-6 in the 2026 season, 4th in the NFC West and the No. 14 seed in the NFC, with a point differential of -77. On offense they rank 21st in the league in EPA per play (-0.036); on defense they rank 26th (+0.073 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 0% chance to make the playoffs and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl. The Arizona Cardinals play next at home against the Los Angeles Rams on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the Arizona Cardinals record?

3-6, 4th in the NFC West. Home 0-3, road 3-3, division 1-3, conference 2-5, current streak L1. Points: 178 scored, 255 allowed.

Who do the Arizona Cardinals play next?

The Arizona Cardinals play next at home against the Los Angeles Rams on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the Arizona Cardinals' playoff chances?

0% to make the playoffs, 0% to win the NFC West, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 0.0% to win the NFC and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 6.0-11.0).

Who is the Arizona Cardinals starting quarterback?

Gardner Minshew II is first on the Cardinals depth chart at quarterback (currently doubtful on the injury report), with Carson Beck behind.

Who is injured for the Arizona Cardinals?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Bam Knight (RB, out, concussion), Jayden Williams (OT, out, knee), Jon Gaines II (G, out, ankle), Michael Wilson (WR, out, neck), Gardner Minshew II (QB, doubtful, elbow), James Conner (RB, injured reserve, foot), Jeremiyah Love (RB, injured reserve, ankle) and Kendrick Bourne (WR, injured reserve, lower leg). Questionable: Hjalte Froholdt (C, questionable, concussion) and Roy Lopez (DT, questionable, toe).

How good is the Arizona Cardinals offense and defense?

Offense: 21st in EPA per play (-0.036), 24th on dropbacks, 14th on runs, success rate 43.3%. Defense: 26th in EPA allowed (+0.073), 31st against the pass, 7th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Arizona Cardinals 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/cardinals (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Cardinals Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeCardinals go scoreless after a first-quarter field goal and fall 17-3 in SeattleArizona finished 4-for-13 on third down and sacked three times for 18 yards, and Seattle's 14-point second quarter settled the game.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportCardinals bring the 31st-ranked pass defense to SeattleNov 7, 2026 · 3 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Cardinals, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record3-6

Deserved2.6wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

+0.4 luck wins · 10th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 27th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineEvery result so far matched the play or was a coin flip.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Cardinals would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games2-1decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index57%11th most timid of 28

Flags, net−30win prob. points · 24th

Bounce & kick luck−3.4points · −0.4 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Seahawks earned it: the snaps said Seahawks by 15.7, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNALeast rpo rate, least play action in the leagueClosest twin: Eagles (65%)Clock IQ9th of 32 at managing the clockMike LaFleur · 9 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real143-6

Deserved–2.6-6.4

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the NFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−0.3The market has them about rightPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 4-5 against the spread Sliding Doors1loss that one coin-flip play could have flipped77 points of win probability lost to those plays, 179 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 14Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsCardinals3-6 · proj 6.0-11.0 · 15th in NFC<1%▼ 2 pts

Win it all 0%Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 19 hardest of 32 · avg opp -0.0 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Cardinals stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.03621st

Dropback EPA-0.02324th

Rush EPA-0.05814th

Success rate43.3%14th

Defense

EPA allowed+0.07326th

Pass EPA allowed+0.24831st

Rush EPA allowed-0.1367th

Success allowed43.0%13th

Pass rate over expected: -0.7% (10th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 600 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 21.3 (3rd most) · RB 21.1 (17th most) · WR 32.9 (15th most) · TE 15.4 (9th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 331 dropbacksJ.Brissett-0.057EPA / dropback-0.3CPOE7.2aDOT44%success

Quarterback · 54 dropbacksG.Minshew II+0.142EPA / dropback+8.9CPOE6.8aDOT52%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
T.Allgeier RB	89	369	2	-0.10	33%
J.Love RB	76	268	1	-0.15	41%
Z.Knight RB	28	168	0	-0.12	32%
J.Brissett QB	17	29	1	+0.56	82%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
T.McBride TE	94	27%	23%	6.0	598	5	+0.29
Mi.Wilson WR	88	26%	38%	10.8	546	2	+0.02
K.Bourne WR	38	11%	9%	5.7	269	0	+0.18
T.Allgeier RB	25	7%	-2%	-1.8	128	1	-0.02
E.Higgins TE	20	6%	2%	2.6	162	1	+0.14
J.Brooks WR	17	5%	10%	14.8	81	0	-0.21
J.Love RB	14	4%	0%	0.6	36	1	-0.12
M.Harrison WR	13	4%	8%	15.5	85	1	+0.02

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

DefenseBase 4-3 D

28FSWingard Crawford

13LCBClark Williams

10LDESweat Leota

51LDTLopez Billings

1MLBWilson Sr.Simon

16NBMelton King

29RCBBurke Thomas V

55RDEStills Robinson

97RDTNolen III Collier

25SLBCollins Browning

3SSBaker Taylor-Demerson

50WLBGibbens Sharar

HolderBlake Gillikin Kick ReturnerDevin Duvernay Long SnapperCasey Kreiter PunterBlake Gillikin Place KickerChad Ryland Punt ReturnerDevin Duvernay

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Elijah WilkinsonOL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Hjalte FroholdtOL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Isaac SeumaloOL	96	100	100	100	99	100	100	100	100
Isaiah AdamsOL		100	100	42					100
Josh FryarOL					5	3	1	40	100
Gardner Minshew IIQB								42	100
Tyler AllgeierRB	59	64	36	55	44	56	47	59	96
Trey McBrideTE	80	88	91	97	90	97	93	95	83
Michael WilsonWR	85	94	93	94	84	92	90	79	83
Elijah HigginsTE	27	26	40	36	53	44	48	32	66
Simi FehokoWR	8	12			4	8	9	49	49
Devin DuvernayWR								42	45
Teagan QuitorianoTE					41	42	36	25	36
Reggie VirgilWR					18	4	4	47	34

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Mack WilsonLB	100	93	96	100	100	100	100	100	100
Andrew WingardS	100	100	100	4				100	100
Budda BakerS	100	100	100	100	98	100	97	100	93
Denzel BurkeCB	80	84	98	85	95	79	98	69	88
Max MeltonCB	44	30	98	88	58	78		49	75
Jack GibbensLB	98	99	93	91	76	84	67	77	73
Josh SweatLB	53	49	44	54	59	79	57	65	66
Walter NolenDL	65	57	63	60	65	60			61
Zaven CollinsLB	49	40	43	51	44	48	48	51	58
Dante StillsDT	58	59	56	64	53	57	70	62	55
Andrew BillingsDL				15			16	22	48
Baron BrowningLB	49	49	50	46	42	48	51	50	43
Kalen KingCB	9	7				62	43	42	42
Jordan BurchLB	38	49	44	43	44	28	51	34	40

With / Without

All Cardinals splits →

QuarterbackJacoby Brissett95% of snapsSmall sample

+0.17Observed difference
EPA/play, better with

EPA / play-0.022-0.188

Success43.5%41.2%

Points / game21.93.0

With 8 games · 549 playsWithout 1 game · 51 plays (Wk 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

LAC

SEA

NYG

DET

LAR

DEN

DAL+1.3

Without

SEA+2.8

Opponents in the games with him were 1.5 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Kendrick Bourne WR · 1/1

With games:Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · 2/8, Max Melton CB · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 5-8)-0.015From Wk 9 on (Wk 9)-0.188

Wide receiverKendrick Bourne55% of snapsIRSmall sample

+0.17Observed difference
EPA/play, better with

EPA / play-0.022-0.188

Success43.5%41.2%

Points / game21.93.0

With 8 games · 549 playsWithout 1 game · 51 plays (Wk 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

LAC

SEA

NYG

DET

LAR

DEN

DAL+1.3

Without

SEA+2.8

Opponents in the games with him were 1.5 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Jacoby Brissett QB · 1/1

With games:Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · 2/8, Max Melton CB · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 5-8)-0.015From Wk 9 on (Wk 9)-0.188

CornerbackMax Melton65% of snapsSmall sample

+0.14Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed+0.059+0.202

Success allowed43.7%37.0%

Points allowed28.130.0

With 8 games · 481 playsWithout 1 game · 54 plays (Wk 7)

Opponents avg rating

With

LAC

SEA

NYG

DET

LAR

DAL

SEA+1.6

Without

DEN+0.4

Opponents in the games with him were 1.3 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · 2/8, Jacoby Brissett QB · 1/8, Kendrick Bourne WR · 1/8

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 3-6)+0.133From Wk 7 on (Wks 7-9)+0.063

Wide receiverMarvin Harrison Jr.74% of snapsSmall sample

-0.07Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play-0.029+0.039

Success46.3%41.4%

Points / game21.827.0

With 4 games · 259 playsWithout 2 games · 145 plays (Wks 5, 8)

Opponents avg rating

With

LAC

SEA

NYG+0.7

Without

DET

DAL+1.3

Opponents in the games with him were 0.6 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

None: every other key starter played in these games.

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-4)-0.029From Wk 5 on (Wks 5-8)-0.015

No "without" sample yet

Never missed a game

Key Cardinals starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.

Elijah WilkinsonTackle · 9/9 games100%
Mack Wilson Sr.Linebacker · 9/9 games99%
Budda BakerSafety · 9/9 games99%
Trey McBrideTight end · 9/9 games90%
Michael WilsonWide receiver · 9/9 games88%
Denzel BurkeCornerback · 9/9 games86%
Dante StillsInterior line · 9/9 games59%
Josh SweatEdge rusher · 9/9 games58%

Out now, no full game missed yet: Michael Wilson (WR)

Bar = average share of his unit's snaps · all 10 starters →

Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is

Injury report

Whole league

Out, doubtful or on IR

Bam KnightRB · #20 · ConcussionOut
Jayden WilliamsOT · #66 · KneeOut
Jon Gaines IIG · #71 · AnkleOut
Michael WilsonWR · #14 · NeckOut
Gardner Minshew IIQB · #15 · ElbowDoubtful
James ConnerRB · #6 · FootIR
Jeremiyah LoveRB · #4 · AnkleIR
Kendrick BourneWR · #17 · Lower LegIR

Questionable

Hjalte FroholdtC · #72 · ConcussionQuestionable
Roy LopezDT · #51 · ToeQuestionable

NFC West

Full standings

49ersDiv 3-0 · Home 5-0 · Road 2-17-1+79 2

SeahawksDiv 2-1 · Home 4-2 · Road 1-25-4+40 3

RamsDiv 0-2 · Home 2-3 · Road 3-15-4+33 4

CardinalsDiv 1-3 · Home 0-3 · Road 3-33-6-77