NFC North · 2026 season

Green BayPackers

6-3record4thin North#7NFC seed+25point diffW2streak

VikingsSun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ETGB -4.5 · O/U 41.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Biggest improvementRun defenseEPA per rush allowed24th→9th

Over the last 4 games the run defense has allowed -0.17 EPA per rush (84 rushes), 9th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.02 EPA per rush (136 rushes), 24th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftSean Rhyan, Coffensive snap share100%→27%

Sean Rhyan has played 27% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, down from 100% in the 5 games before. On the field in 2 of 4 and 5 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 8:04 AM ET

The Green Bay Packers are 6-3 in the 2026 season, 4th in the NFC North and the No. 7 seed in the NFC, with a point differential of +25. On offense they rank 12th in the league in EPA per play (+0.038); on defense they rank 6th (-0.076 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 71% chance to make the playoffs and 3.3% to win the Super Bowl. The Green Bay Packers play next at home against the Minnesota Vikings on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on Fox.

What is the Green Bay Packers record?

6-3, 4th in the NFC North. Home 3-1, road 3-2, division 1-2, conference 4-3, current streak W2. Points: 216 scored, 191 allowed.

Who do the Green Bay Packers play next?

The Green Bay Packers play next at home against the Minnesota Vikings on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on Fox.

What are the Green Bay Packers' playoff chances?

71% to make the playoffs, 17% to win the NFC North, 3% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 8.0% to win the NFC and 3.3% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 10.6-6.4).

Who is the Green Bay Packers starting quarterback?

Jordan Love is first on the Packers depth chart at quarterback, with Tyrod Taylor behind.

Who is injured for the Green Bay Packers?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Josh Jacobs (RB, out, finger), Josh Whyle (TE, out, concussion), MarShawn Lloyd (RB, out, knee), Micah Parsons (DE, out, knee - acl), Sean Rhyan (G, out, ankle), Travis Glover (OT, out, knee), Zaire Franklin (LB, out, shin) and Chris Brooks (RB, injured reserve, ankle). Questionable: Bo Melton (WR, questionable, head) and Ty'Ron Hopper (LB, questionable, chest).

How good is the Green Bay Packers offense and defense?

Offense: 12th in EPA per play (+0.038), 6th on dropbacks, 31st on runs, success rate 41.1%. Defense: 6th in EPA allowed (-0.076), 5th against the pass, 16th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Green Bay Packers 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/packers (updated 2026-11-10).

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From the Packers Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeJordan Love throws for 372 yards as Packers turn four takeaways into a rout in New EnglandLove went 23 of 29 with no interceptions, and Christian Watson and Matthew Golden took the targets that mattered in a 45-27 road win.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportPackers pass game meets a Patriots secondary ranked 18th against itNov 7, 2026 · 3 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Packers, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record6-3

Deserved5.5wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

+0.5 luck wins · 8th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 8th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineLucky in 1 game of 9.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Packers would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games3-1decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index33%23rd most timid of 28

Flags, net−19win prob. points · 22nd

Bounce & kick luck+9.1points · +1.0 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Packers earned it: the snaps said Packers by 17.0, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost deep shots, most middle of the field in the leagueClosest twin: Texans (74%)Clock IQ22nd of 32 at managing the clockMatt LaFleur · 10 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real76-3

Deserved65.5-3.5

#7 seed for real, #6 seed deservedSeeds in the NFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps+4.3The market underrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 5-3-1 against the spread Sliding Doors1loss that one coin-flip play could have flipped83 points of win probability lost to those plays, 160 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 11Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsPackers6-3 · proj 10.6-6.4 · 6th in NFC71%▲ 13 pts

Win it all 3.3% · likeliest seed No. 6 (18%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 5 hardest of 32 · avg opp +1.3 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Packers stand

Offense

EPA per play+0.03812th

Dropback EPA+0.1856th

Rush EPA-0.23631st

Success rate41.1%24th

Defense

EPA allowed-0.0766th

Pass EPA allowed-0.0735th

Rush EPA allowed-0.08016th

Success allowed43.6%15th

Pass rate over expected: +3.7% (3rd most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 555 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 14.9 (25th most) · RB 26.5 (7th most) · WR 36.5 (6th most) · TE 9.7 (31st most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 361 dropbacksJ.Love+0.185EPA / dropback+1.1CPOE9.5aDOT45%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
M.Lloyd RB	57	149	2	-0.35	32%
K.Johnson RB	42	172	1	-0.32	36%
J.Jacobs RB	36	80	1	-0.19	33%
P.Strong RB	25	59	0	-0.19	28%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
M.Golden WR	93	28%	40%	14.0	788	5	+0.22
C.Watson WR	74	22%	34%	14.5	879	7	+0.61
T.Kraft TE	52	16%	10%	5.9	351	3	+0.38
M.Lloyd RB	17	5%	0%	-0.8	74	1	-0.01
S.Moore WR	14	4%	2%	5.1	35	0	-0.29
S.Williams WR	13	4%	3%	6.4	109	1	+0.78
J.Jacobs RB	13	4%	1%	2.8	68	2	+0.21
P.Strong RB	12	4%	0%	-1.3	61	0	+0.14

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

0WRGolden Michael Sturdivant

83WRWilliams Owen

DefenseBase 3-4 D

29FSMcKinney Oladapo

25LCBNixon St-Juste

94LDEBrooks Brinson

44LILBFranklin McDuffie

7NBBullard Hadden

55NTMcClellan Riley

2RCBCisse Valentine

95RDEWyatt Campbell

59RILBHopper Niemann

99SLBSorrell Dennis-Sutton

33SSWilliams Baldwin II

90WLBVan Ness Cox Jr.

HolderDaniel Whelan Kick ReturnerBo Melton Long SnapperMatt Orzech PunterDaniel Whelan Place KickerTrey Smack Punt ReturnerColeman Owen

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Anthony BeltonT	6	95	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
John WilliamsG							87	100	100
Jordan MorganT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	88
Jordan LoveQB	100	100	100	100	97	100	100	100	88
Laken TomlinsonG				100	100	100	100	100	88
Tucker KraftTE	66	98	76	92	77	77	88	88	82
Christian WatsonWR	76	90	80	68	80	88	81	49	77
Matthew GoldenWR	82	86	82	88	77	84	85	86	74
Aaron BanksG		37						100	70
Savion WilliamsWR						53	60	55	48
Pierre StrongRB					41	55	12	13	45
Kaleb JohnsonRB		27	36	28	15	5			39
Mark RedmanTE	31	34	12	47	34	33	25	39	36
Kevin ZeitlerG									30

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Evan WilliamsS	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	97
Isaiah McDuffieLB	2		25	40	46	55	100	100	95
Nick NiemannLB							1	1	94
Xavier McKinneyS	100	100	100	100	88	100	100	100	81
Keisean NixonCB	100	100	99	100	88	100	99	99	81
Brandon CisseCB	75	100	99	86	100	69	99	99	81
Javon BullardS	54	76	65	95	77	86	54	78	70
Brenton CoxDE	42	41	35	38	51	50	43	52	54
Chris McClellanDT	43	46	41	38	43	51	56	37	52
Lukas Van NessDE	66	73	69	73	58	55	62	63	51
Karl BrooksDT	57	68	61	56	57	60	71	67	51
Dani Dennis-SuttonDE	32	41	55	38	46	46	50	44	51
Barryn SorrellDE	62	42	41	52	45	51	49	45	48
Devonte WyattDT	52	58	48	40	46	59	34	55	46