Week 9 · 2026Bengals 34 · 17 Falcons
132 plays, one strand. Bengals won after 1 lead change; Bengals peaked at 100% to win, Falcons at 71%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for ATL, down for CIN, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Bengals peaked at 100% to win, Falcons at 71%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Falcons win, play by play. High = ATL in control, low = CIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for ATL on offense, down for CIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: CIN on the left, ATL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.9 expected points for Bengals.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 8:55 · CIN · Touchdown+4.9 EP
9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 2Q1 7:14 · ATL · Run+2.8 EP
9-M.Penix scrambles left tackle to CIN 17 for 23 yards (0-D.Turner).
- 3Q2 6:34 · CIN · Completion+2.1 EP
9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase to ATL 22 for 14 yards [55-Z.Smith].
- 4Q2 0:57 · CIN · Completion+2.2 EP
9-J.Burrow pass deep left to 81-D.Meyers to ATL 41 for 42 yards (31-X.Watts).
- 5Q3 10:49 · ATL · Completion+3.2 EP
9-M.Penix pass deep left to 7-B.Robinson pushed ob at CIN 33 for 28 yards (6-B.Cook).
- 6Q4 11:31 · ATL · Missed field goal−3.8 EP
6-N.Folk 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
- 7Q4 10:13 · CIN · Sack−2.5 EP
9-J.Burrow sacked at CIN 31 for -6 yards (94-L.London).
- 8Q4 4:06 · ATL · Interception−5.5 EP
9-M.Penix pass short middle intended for 7-B.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 49-B.Carter at ATL 43. 49-B.Carter to ATL 37 for 6 yards (64-R.Neuzil).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 57-yard kick had missed
Q2 0:29 2-E.McPherson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.