Patriots at Lions: Week 10 preview, odds and injuries

Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · FC Bayern Munich Stadium9:30 AM ET

at9:30 AMET · FoxDET -2.5 · O/U 51.5

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 10:24 PM ET

The New England Patriots (5-4) visit the Detroit Lions (6-2) on Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET at FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich (Week 10, 2026 season), on Fox. Betting line: DET -2.5, over/under 51.5.

When and where is Patriots vs Lions?

Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET at FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich. TV: Fox.

Who is favored in Patriots vs Lions?

The line is DET -2.5 with an over/under of 51.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Patriots vs Lions?

Patriots: Ben Brown (C, doubtful, knee), Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, doubtful, knee), A.J. Brown (WR, questionable, knee), Brenden Schooler (S, questionable, hamstring), Carlton Davis III (CB, questionable, knee) and Charles Woods (CB, questionable, hamstring) (plus 2 more). Lions: Kerby Joseph (S, out, knee), Cade Mays (C, questionable, ankle), D.J. Reed (CB, questionable, hip), DJ Wonnum (LB, questionable, concussion) and Jacob Saylors (RB, questionable, neck).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Patriots at Lions: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-15-ne-at-det (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Patriots big-play offense vs Lions defense against big plays
The Patriots' big-play offense ranks 3rd in explosive-play rate (11.5%, 547 plays) against a Lions defense against big plays ranked 28th (11.0% allowed, 519 plays faced).
3rdNE offense25 spots apart28thDET defense
2Lions dropback offense vs Patriots pass defense
The Lions' dropback offense ranks 5th in EPA per dropback (+0.21, 299 dropbacks) against a Patriots pass defense ranked 24th (+0.14 allowed, 323 dropbacks faced).
5thDET offense19 spots apart24thNE defense
3Lions ball security vs Patriots takeaway defense
The Lions' ball security ranks 2nd in turnovers per game (0.6 giveaways a game, 8 games) against a Patriots takeaway defense ranked 26th (0.9 takeaways a game, 9 games).
2ndDET offense24 spots apart26thNE defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Patriots have the ballEdge NE · +17 ranks

NE dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDET pass defense

10th+0.15330 dropbacks

NE +17

+0.16 allowed355 dropbacks faced27th

NE run gameEPA per rushDET run defense

21st-0.12217 rushes

DET +9

-0.11 allowed164 rushes faced12th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Lions have the ballEdge DET · +19 ranks

DET dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNE pass defense

5th+0.21299 dropbacks

DET +19

+0.14 allowed323 dropbacks faced24th

DET run gameEPA per rushNE run defense

13th-0.05218 rushes

-0.10 allowed212 rushes faced13th

Third downEdge NE · +17 ranks

NE third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDET third-down defense

9th43.4%106 third downs

NE +17

44.9% allowed107 third downs faced26th

DET third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNE third-down defense

22nd37.2%94 third downs

NE +12

37.6% allowed109 third downs faced10th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge

NE red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDET red-zone defense

21st54%26 trips

66% allowed29 trips faced23rd

DET red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNE red-zone defense

13th62%34 trips

50% allowed32 trips faced11th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge NE · +25 ranks

NE big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDET defense against big plays

3rd11.5%547 plays

NE +25

11.0% allowed519 plays faced28th

DET big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNE defense against big plays

5th10.8%517 plays

DET +19

10.1% allowed535 plays faced24th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge NE · +14 ranks

NE pass protectionsack rateDET pass rush

17th6.1% sacked330 dropbacks

DET +10

7.6% of dropbacks355 dropbacks faced7th

DET pass protectionsack rateNE pass rush

19th6.4% sacked299 dropbacks

NE +14

7.7% of dropbacks323 dropbacks faced5th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge DET · +24 ranks

NE ball securityturnovers per gameDET takeaway defense

31st2.1 giveaways a game9 games

DET +9

1.0 takeaways a game8 games22nd

DET ball securityturnovers per gameNE takeaway defense

2nd0.6 giveaways a game8 games

DET +24

0.9 takeaways a game9 games26th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesNE 2 · DET 0 regulars out or doubtful

Patriots8 listed

2 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QWill CampbellOT90% offense · 9 wk
QCarlton Davis IIICB87% defense · 5 wk
QA.J. BrownWR70% offense · 3 wk
DBen BrownC67% offense · 7 wk
DRhamondre StevensonRB64% offense · 9 wk
QCharles WoodsCB44% defense · 8 wk
QTreVeyon HendersonRB33% offense · 6 wk
QBrenden SchoolerS9% defense · 5 wk

Lions5 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QD.J. ReedCB94% defense · 7 wk
QCade MaysC66% offense · 2 wk
QDJ WonnumLB54% defense · 7 wk
QJacob SaylorsRB3% offense · 7 wk
OUTKerby JosephSno snaps

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · NE travels 3,860 mi

AwayPatriots

7days since last game

3,860miles to get here

6time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs GB (L 27-45) · 11,863 mi flown this season

Abroad · MunichBody clock 9:30 a.m.6 time zones

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 457 mi

Designated homeLions

7days since last game

4,317miles to get here

6time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at MIA (W 19-9) · Miami Gardens · 7,124 mi flown this season

Abroad · MunichBody clock 9:30 a.m.6 time zones

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: NE 9 games, 547 offensive and 535 defensive plays · DET 8 games, 517 offensive and 519 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32