AFC West · 2026 season

Kansas CityChiefs

6-2record2ndin West#5AFC seed+59point diffW1streak

FalconsSun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ETKC -3.5 · O/U 45.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 4 games before (weeks 1-4)

Usage shiftL'Jarius Sneed, CBdefensive snap share78%→17%

L'Jarius Sneed has played 17% of defensive snaps over the last 4 games, down from 78% in the 4 games before. On the field in 2 of 4 and 4 of 4; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 8:46 AM ET

The Kansas City Chiefs are 6-2 in the 2026 season, 2nd in the AFC West and the No. 5 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of +59. On offense they rank 5th in the league in EPA per play (+0.131); on defense they rank 9th (-0.067 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 96% chance to make the playoffs and 9.0% to win the Super Bowl. The Kansas City Chiefs play next on the road at the Atlanta Falcons on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the Kansas City Chiefs record?

6-2, 2nd in the AFC West. Home 4-0, road 2-2, division 3-1, conference 6-1, current streak W1. Points: 202 scored, 143 allowed.

Who do the Kansas City Chiefs play next?

The Kansas City Chiefs play next on the road at the Atlanta Falcons on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the Kansas City Chiefs' playoff chances?

96% to make the playoffs, 63% to win the AFC West, 13% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 16.6% to win the AFC and 9.0% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 11.8-5.2).

Who is the Kansas City Chiefs starting quarterback?

Patrick Mahomes is first on the Chiefs depth chart at quarterback (currently questionable on the injury report), with Justin Fields behind.

Who is injured for the Kansas City Chiefs?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Mansoor Delane (CB, out, shoulder), Omarr Norman-Lott (DT, out, knee - acl), Peter Woods (DT, out, neck) and L'Jarius Sneed (CB, injured reserve, knee). Questionable: Jaylon Moore (OT, questionable, ankle), Patrick Mahomes (QB, questionable, elbow) and Xavier Worthy (WR, questionable, hamstring).

How good is the Kansas City Chiefs offense and defense?

Offense: 5th in EPA per play (+0.131), 8th on dropbacks, 2nd on runs, success rate 48.9%. Defense: 9th in EPA allowed (-0.067), 10th against the pass, 6th against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Kansas City Chiefs 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/chiefs (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

From the Chiefs Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeChiefs went 4-for-4 in the red zone and held the Jets to four field goalsKansas City turned every red-zone trip into points, and New York never scored a touchdown in a 35-12 win at Arrowhead Stadium.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportChiefs need a clean fourth quarter against a Jets team missing Garrett WilsonNov 7, 2026 · 3 min read The TapeChiefs lose 28-24 in Denver after being outscored 15-0 in the fourth quarterNov 7, 2026 · 3 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Chiefs, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record6-2

Deserved6.1wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−0.1 luck wins · 19th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 4th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom linerobbed in 1 of 8.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 8 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Chiefs would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games2-1decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index33%24th most timid of 28

Flags, net+1win prob. points · 14th

Bounce & kick luck+12.1points · +1.5 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Chiefs earned it: the snaps said Chiefs by 22.4, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost screen rate, most rpo rate in the leagueClosest twin: Bears (53%)Clock IQ16th of 32 at managing the clockAndy Reid · 5 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real56-2

Deserved26.1-1.9

#5 seed for real, #2 seed deservedSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps+3.3The market underrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 4-4 against the spread Sliding Doors2losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped116 points of win probability lost to those plays, 167 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 5Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsChiefs6-2 · proj 11.8-5.2 · 4th in AFC96%▲ 8 pts

Win it all 9.0% · likeliest seed No. 4 (19%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 13 hardest of 32 · avg opp +0.4 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Chiefs stand

Offense

EPA per play+0.1315th

Dropback EPA+0.1578th

Rush EPA+0.0932nd

Success rate48.9%3rd

Defense

EPA allowed-0.0679th

Pass EPA allowed-0.01010th

Rush EPA allowed-0.1566th

Success allowed40.2%5th

Pass rate over expected: +4.4% (2nd most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 485 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 13.2 (29th most) · RB 20.3 (22nd most) · WR 23.6 (31st most) · TE 17.0 (6th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 290 dropbacksP.Mahomes+0.157EPA / dropback+2.2CPOE5.6aDOT50%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
K.Walker RB	159	872	7	+0.08	47%
E.Johnson RB	26	111	1	+0.08	46%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
T.Kelce TE	48	19%	23%	6.7	482	2	+0.54
X.Worthy WR	47	19%	26%	7.9	278	1	+0.01
K.Walker RB	37	15%	-2%	-0.7	172	4	+0.12
R.Rice WR	32	13%	11%	4.9	292	2	+0.19
N.Gray TE	17	7%	8%	6.3	184	1	+0.68
E.Johnson RB	16	6%	-2%	-1.9	237	1	+0.89
T.Thornton WR	15	6%	20%	18.7	219	2	+1.27
J.Royals WR	14	6%	5%	5.4	63	1	-0.27

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

52CHumphrey Nourzad

47FBVanSumeren

76LGSuamataia Caliendo

70LTBenson Moore ·

15QBMahomes Fields

9RBWalker III Johnson

65RGSmith Caliendo

77RTMoore Ezeudu

87TEKelce Gray

4WRRice Royals

1WRWorthy Armstrong

13WRAllen Remigio

DefenseBase 4-3 D

17FSGilman Nwankpa

20LCBWilliams Roland-Wallace

56LDEKarlaftis Gillotte

95LDTJones Woods ·

32MLBBolton Cochrane

22NBCanady Sneed ·

5RCBDelane Fulton

91RDEAnudike-Uzomah Mason Thomas

92RDTTonga Eason

31SLBBassa McDonald

27SSConner Hicks

23WLBTranquill

HolderMatt Araiza Kick ReturnerNikko Remigio Long SnapperJames Winchester PunterMatt Araiza Place KickerHarrison Butker Punt ReturnerNikko Remigio

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	9
Kahlil BensonT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Kingsley SuamataiaOL	100	100	100		90	100		100
Trey SmithG	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	94
Creed HumphreyC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	94
Patrick MahomesQB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	94
Xavier WorthyWR	77	86	83	75	84	87	94	74
Travis KelceTE	71	85	79	83	66	83	78	70
Kenneth Walker IIIRB	68	82	73	75	74	74	81	65
Jaylon MooreOL	99	99	98	100	51		100	64
Noah GrayTE	55	50	63	68	64	53	54	62
Rashee RiceWR	83	79	77	10			57	58
Joshua EzeuduOL	4	1	2		49	100		36
Andrew ArmstrongWR					69	58	32	33
Jalen RoyalsWR		15	19	63	74	68	32	32

Defense	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	9
Nohl WilliamsDB	100	100	93	83	79	96	100	100
Chamarri ConnerDB				75	100	100	100	100
Kristian FultonCB	92	80		19	25	4	97	98
Nick BoltonLB	100	100	100	100	100	99	100	90
Drue TranquillLB	98	97	85	65	91	91	100	86
George Karlaftis IIIDE	86	89	79	88	81	83	76	83
Chris JonesDT	51	68	73	81	75	65	77	76
Christian Roland-WallaceCB	16	9	16	35	29	45	79	71
Alohi GilmanS	100	100	100	90	49	59	71	70
Ashton GillotteDE	27	43	48	43	53	58	68	70
Felix Anudike-UzomahDE	55	45	42	51	60	55	53	54
Khyiris TongaNT	43	55	41	37	37	55	55	44
R Mason ThomasDE	53	42	56	60	47	29	27	44
Jaden HicksDB	100	100	100	35	51	41	29	30