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Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Lucas Oil Stadium1 PM ET
Away · 1-7MiamiDolphins
at1 PMET · CBSIND -3.5 · O/U 38.5
Home · 2-7IndianapolisColts
At a glance

The Miami Dolphins (1-7) visit the Indianapolis Colts (2-7) on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN (Week 10, 2026 season), on CBS. Betting line: IND -3.5, over/under 38.5.

When and where is Dolphins vs Colts?

Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. TV: CBS.

Who is favored in Dolphins vs Colts?

The line is IND -3.5 with an over/under of 38.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Dolphins vs Colts?

Dolphins: Jaylen Wright (RB, questionable, quadriceps) and Will Kacmarek (TE, questionable, quadriceps). Colts: Jalen Travis (OT, doubtful, knee), A.J. Haulcy (S, questionable, ankle), Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB, questionable, knee), Jaylon Carlies (LB, questionable, neck), Justin Walley (CB, questionable, knee) and Mo Alie-Cox (TE, questionable, groin).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Dolphins at Colts: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-15-mia-at-ind (updated 2026-11-11).

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Dolphins logoDolphins big-play offense vs Colts defense against big plays

    The Dolphins' big-play offense ranks 6th in explosive-play rate (10.3%, 446 plays) against a Colts defense against big plays ranked 29th (11.1% allowed, 523 plays faced).

    6thMIA offense23 spots apart29thIND defense
  2. 2Colts logoColts run game vs Dolphins run defense

    The Colts' run game ranks 5th in EPA per rush (+0.01, 232 rushes) against a Dolphins run defense ranked 22nd (-0.06 allowed, 207 rushes faced).

    5thIND offense17 spots apart22ndMIA defense
  3. 3Colts logoColts pass rush vs Dolphins pass protection

    The Colts' pass rush ranks 16th in sack rate (6.4% of dropbacks, 297 dropbacks faced) and faces a Dolphins pass protection ranked 30th (9.3% sacked, 257 dropbacks).

    30thMIA offense14 spots apart16thIND defense
When the Dolphins have the ballEdge MIA · +10 ranks
MIA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackIND pass defense
23rd-0.02257 dropbacks
+0.11 allowed297 dropbacks faced23rd
MIA run gameEPA per rushIND run defense
22nd-0.13189 rushes
MIA +10
+0.03 allowed226 rushes faced32nd

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Colts have the ballEdge IND · +17 ranks
IND dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIA pass defense
31st-0.22341 dropbacks
+0.26 allowed247 dropbacks faced32nd
IND run gameEPA per rushMIA run defense
5th+0.01232 rushes
IND +17
-0.06 allowed207 rushes faced22nd
Third downEdge IND · +11 ranks
MIA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateIND third-down defense
11th42.6%101 third downs
32.7% allowed107 third downs faced4th
IND third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIA third-down defense
20th38.0%121 third downs
IND +11
50.0% allowed94 third downs faced31st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge
MIA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateIND red-zone defense
25th50%20 trips
63% allowed24 trips faced20th
IND red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIA red-zone defense
16th58%24 trips
59% allowed32 trips faced16th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge MIA · +23 ranks
MIA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateIND defense against big plays
6th10.3%446 plays
MIA +23
11.1% allowed523 plays faced29th
IND big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIA defense against big plays
25th8.0%573 plays
9.9% allowed454 plays faced21st

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge IND · +14 ranks
MIA pass protectionsack rateIND pass rush
30th9.3% sacked257 dropbacks
IND +14
6.4% of dropbacks297 dropbacks faced16th
IND pass protectionsack rateMIA pass rush
22nd7.3% sacked341 dropbacks
4.9% of dropbacks247 dropbacks faced28th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge MIA · +12 ranks
MIA ball securityturnovers per gameIND takeaway defense
19th1.3 giveaways a game8 games
MIA +12
0.7 takeaways a game9 games31st
IND ball securityturnovers per gameMIA takeaway defense
29th1.9 giveaways a game9 games
0.9 takeaways a game8 games28th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesMIA 0 · IND 1 regulars out or doubtful
Dolphins logoDolphins2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Colts logoColts6 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · MIA travels 1,013 mi
Dolphins logoAwayDolphins
7days since last game
1,013miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs DET (L 9-19) · 14,622 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 1,013 mi
Colts logoHomeColts
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs DAL (L 23-27) · 11,950 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: MIA 8 games, 446 offensive and 454 defensive plays · IND 9 games, 573 offensive and 523 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Dolphins logoMIAINDColts logo
24th-0.064Offense EPA / play-0.12529th
23rd-0.017Dropback EPA-0.21631st
22nd-0.127Rush EPA+0.0095th
29th38.8%Offense success rate42.2%18th
32nd-11.1%Pass rate over expected-3.9%23rd
32nd+0.116Defense EPA allowed+0.07527th
32nd+0.264Pass defense EPA+0.11223rd
22nd-0.060Run defense EPA+0.02732nd
32nd48.7%Defense success allowed43.4%14th
12th18.5To QBs19.77th
8th26.3To RBs27.04th
29th26.1To WRs30.122nd
4th17.8To TEs14.711th

Form

Last six results

Injury report

League report
Dolphins logoDolphins2 listed
Colts logoColts6 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET.

SpreadIND -3.5Closing line
TotalO/U 38.5Points expected
WeatherIndoorsDome, no weather
VenueLucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis, IN
BroadcastCBS1 PM ET · Sun, Nov 15

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Dolphins logoAwayDolphins
7days since last game
1,013miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs DET (L 9-19) · 14,622 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 1,013 mi
Colts logoHomeColts
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs DAL (L 23-27) · 11,950 mi flown this season

Normal week

Week 10 around the league

13 other games