NFC West · 2026 season

Los AngelesRams

5-4record3rdin West#9NFC seed+33point diffW3streak

CardinalsSun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETLAR -9.5 · O/U 40.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 6-9) vs 5 games before (weeks 1-5)

Biggest improvementRun defenseEPA per rush allowed11th→2nd

Over the last 4 games the run defense has allowed -0.27 EPA per rush (88 rushes), 2nd among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: -0.11 EPA per rush (129 rushes), 11th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Emerging problemDropback offenseEPA per dropback11th→20th

Over the last 4 games the dropback offense has posted -0.05 EPA per dropback (137 dropbacks), 20th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 5 games before: +0.12 EPA per dropback (229 dropbacks), 11th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftPuka Nacua, WRoffensive snap share49%→91%

Puka Nacua has played 91% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 49% in the 5 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 3 of 5; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 8:14 AM ET

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-4 in the 2026 season, 3rd in the NFC West and the No. 9 seed in the NFC, with a point differential of +33. On offense they rank 11th in the league in EPA per play (+0.041); on defense they rank 4th (-0.111 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 47% chance to make the playoffs and 2.8% to win the Super Bowl. The Los Angeles Rams play next on the road at the Arizona Cardinals on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the Los Angeles Rams record?

5-4, 3rd in the NFC West. Home 2-3, road 3-1, division 0-2, conference 3-2, current streak W3. Points: 214 scored, 181 allowed.

Who do the Los Angeles Rams play next?

The Los Angeles Rams play next on the road at the Arizona Cardinals on Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the Los Angeles Rams' playoff chances?

47% to make the playoffs, 3% to win the NFC West, 1% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 6.3% to win the NFC and 2.8% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 9.5-7.5).

Who is the Los Angeles Rams starting quarterback?

Matthew Stafford is first on the Rams depth chart at quarterback, with Stetson Bennett IV behind.

Who is injured for the Los Angeles Rams?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Joe Cardona (LS, out, ankle), Trent McDuffie (CB, out, back), Puka Nacua (WR, doubtful, knee), Dean Connors (RB, injured reserve, hand), Jaylen Watson (CB, injured reserve, shoulder) and Terrance Ferguson (TE, injured reserve, hamstring). Questionable: Steve Avila (G, questionable, hamstring).

How good is the Los Angeles Rams offense and defense?

Offense: 11th in EPA per play (+0.041), 17th on dropbacks, 4th on runs, success rate 47.8%. Defense: 4th in EPA allowed (-0.111), 6th against the pass, 2nd against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Los Angeles Rams 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/rams (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

From the Rams Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeMyles Garrett's strip-sack and Puka Nacua's 150 yards carry the Rams past WashingtonA second-quarter fumble swap, 19 targets for Nacua and 124 rushing yards gave Los Angeles a 20-13 win at Northwest Stadium.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportRams' run-heavy early downs meet a Commanders defense ranked 21st against the passNov 7, 2026 · 2 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Rams, judged from every snap

Due to rise−1.6 wins below what the snaps earned

Real record5-4

Deserved6.6wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−1.6 luck wins · 30th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 3rd

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom linerobbed in 1 of 9.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 9 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Rams would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games2-3decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index54%14th most timid of 28

Flags, net−63win prob. points · 31st

Bounce & kick luck−11.8points · −1.3 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Rams earned it: the snaps said Rams by 9.3, a deserved win probability of 96%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost early-down pass rate, least rpo rate in the leagueClosest twin: Colts (63%)Clock IQ1st of 32 at managing the clockSean McVay · 9 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real95-4

Deserved56.6-2.4

Locked out of a spot the snaps earnedSeeds in the NFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps+4.6The market underrates themPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 5-4 against the spread Sliding Doors3losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped224 points of win probability lost to those plays, 75 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 11Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsRams5-4 · proj 9.5-7.5 · 8th in NFC47%▲ 1 pts

Win it all 2.8% · likeliest seed No. 7 (16%)Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 1 hardest of 32 · avg opp +2.8 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Rams stand

Offense

EPA per play+0.04111th

Dropback EPA+0.05817th

Rush EPA+0.0134th

Success rate47.8%5th

Defense

EPA allowed-0.1114th

Pass EPA allowed-0.0696th

Rush EPA allowed-0.1762nd

Success allowed40.3%6th

Pass rate over expected: +0.3% (8th most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 594 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 16.4 (23rd most) · RB 19.6 (27th most) · WR 27.5 (28th most) · TE 10.6 (26th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 362 dropbacksM.Stafford+0.055EPA / dropback+0.0CPOE7.6aDOT48%success

Quarterback · 4 dropbacksS.Bennett+0.255EPA / dropback-5.2CPOE7.7aDOT75%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
K.Williams RB	127	593	6	-0.01	41%
B.Corum RB	86	447	4	+0.14	55%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
P.Nacua WR	93	28%	28%	8.0	715	4	+0.23
D.Adams WR	49	15%	29%	15.5	480	4	+0.45
K.Williams RB	46	14%	4%	2.4	258	1	-0.05
T.Higbee TE	39	12%	12%	8.3	287	1	+0.08
K.Mumpfield WR	23	7%	11%	13.1	162	1	-0.21
C.Parkinson TE	23	7%	1%	1.5	116	1	-0.07
B.Corum RB	17	5%	0%	0.4	99	1	+0.17
D.Allen TE	16	5%	3%	5.3	91	2	+0.44

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

DefenseBase 3-4 D

53LILBLandman Stuard

22RCBMcDuffie Forbes Jr.

99RDEDonald Davis

48RILBSpeights Dolac

95SLBGarrett Johnson

3SSCurl McCollough

0WLBYoung Stewart

HolderEthan Evans Kick ReturnerJordan Whittington Long SnapperJoe Cardona PunterEthan Evans Place KickerBrandon McManus Punt ReturnerKyren Williams

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Warren McClendonOL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Coleman SheltonOL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Kevin DotsonOL	97	100	99	100	100	100	96	100	100
Matthew StaffordQB	84	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Alaric JacksonOL	100	100	100	100	100		96	100	100
Puka NacuaWR	70			90	85	90	85	96	93
Tyler HigbeeTE	20	26	71	65	67	83	74	83	80
Beaux LimmerOL	3		1				4		76
Colby ParkinsonTE	77	71	43		65	62	69		73
Kyren WilliamsRB	64	55	71	83	73	72	51	69	64
Davis AllenTE	34	52	36	48	50	31	69	74	56
Tutu AtwellWR		18		23	39		35	39	47
Konata MumpfieldWR	26	69	73	27	7	47	43	50	44
Blake CorumRB	23	45	29	15	27	28	44	31	36

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Quentin LakeS	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Kamren CurlS	46	100	99	100	100	100	99	100	100
Josh WallaceCB	11	62	87	100	53	100	100	67	100
Emmanuel ForbesCB		12	58	34		22	43	28	100
Byron YoungLB	72	71	88	89	86	79	84	75	82
Braden FiskeDE	45	52	52	72	41	50	63	74	77
Aaron DonaldDE		57	52		67	58	74	66	76
Kamren KinchensS	80			70	56	67	82	54	71
Jaylen McColloughS	60	52	37	5	2	44	62	25	68
Nathan LandmanLB	98	84	88	93	89	99		69	63
Myles GarrettLB	62								60
Josaiah StewartLB	43	79	78	52	83	76	69	56	48
Tyler DavisDE	49	40	30	36	33	39	41	33	35
Omar SpeightsLB	46	43	60	30	36	29	59	57	34

With / Without

All Rams splits →

TackleAlaric Jackson100% of snapsSmall sample

+0.22Observed difference
EPA/play, better with

EPA / play+0.061-0.155

Success47.9%47.4%

Points / game24.816.0

With 8 games · 537 playsWithout 1 game · 57 plays (Wk 6)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYG

DEN

PHI

BUF

LAC

WSH-1.0

Without

ARI-5.8

Opponents in the games with him were 4.8 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Davante Adams WR · 3/8, Aaron Donald DT · 2/8, Jaylen Watson CB · 2/8, Puka Nacua WR · 2/8 +1 more

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 2-5)+0.138From Wk 6 on (Wks 6-9)-0.005

CornerbackJaylen Watson84% of snapsIRSmall sample

-0.15Observed difference
EPA allowed, better without

EPA allowed-0.079-0.233

Success allowed41.6%35.7%

Points allowed21.116.5

With 7 games · 433 playsWithout 2 games · 115 plays (Wks 4, 9)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYG

DEN

BUF

ARI

LAC-0.4

Without

PHI

WSH-5.5

Opponents in the games with him were 5.2 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

Without games:Aaron Donald DT · 1/2, Davante Adams WR · 1/2

With games:Davante Adams WR · 2/7, Puka Nacua WR · 2/7, Aaron Donald DT · 1/7, Alaric Jackson OT · 1/7 +1 more

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-3)-0.070From Wk 4 on (Wks 4-7)-0.047

Wide receiverPuka Nacua87% of snapsDoubtfulSmall sample

-0.11Observed difference
EPA/play, better without

EPA / play+0.015+0.128

Success48.0%47.1%

Points / game22.927.0

With 7 games · 458 playsWithout 2 games · 136 plays (Wks 2, 3)

Opponents avg rating

With

PHI

BUF

ARI

LAC

WSH-2.2

Without

NYG

DEN+0.7

Opponents in the games with him were 2.9 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

With games:Davante Adams WR · 3/7, Aaron Donald DT · 2/7, Jaylen Watson CB · 2/7, Alaric Jackson OT · 1/7 +1 more

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wk 1)-0.265From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)+0.138

Interior lineAaron Donald64% of snapsSmall sample

+0.09Observed difference
EPA allowed, better with

EPA allowed-0.131-0.043

Success allowed39.0%45.1%

Points allowed19.123.5

With 7 games · 426 playsWithout 2 games · 122 plays (Wks 1, 4)

Opponents avg rating

With

NYG

DEN

BUF

ARI

LAC

WSH-2.0

Without

PHI+0.2

Opponents in the games with him were 2.3 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Jaylen Watson CB · 1/2

With games:Davante Adams WR · 3/7, Puka Nacua WR · 2/7, Alaric Jackson OT · 1/7, Jaylen Watson CB · 1/7 +1 more

Team trend EPA/play allowed, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

No games before his first absence (Wk 1)From Wk 1 on (Wks 1-4)-0.122

No "without" sample yet

Never missed a game

Key Rams starters who have taken the field in every game so far. A split appears here once one of them sits out a full game.

Warren McClendon Jr.Tackle · 9/9 games100%
Quentin LakeSafety · 9/9 games100%
Matthew StaffordQuarterback · 9/9 games98%
Byron YoungEdge rusher · 9/9 games81%
Josh WallaceCornerback · 9/9 games76%
Kyren WilliamsRunning back · 9/9 games67%
Tyler HigbeeTight end · 9/9 games63%
Braden FiskeEdge rusher · 9/9 games58%

Bar = average share of his unit's snaps

Observed differences between groups of games, not the player's causal effect. Why sample size matters · What EPA is

Injury report

Whole league

Out, doubtful or on IR

Joe CardonaLS · #49 · AnkleOut
Trent McDuffieCB · #22 · BackOut
Puka NacuaWR · #12 · KneeDoubtful
Dean ConnorsRB · #33 · HandIR
Jaylen WatsonCB · #35 · ShoulderIR
Terrance FergusonTE · #18 · HamstringIR

Questionable

Steve AvilaG · #73 · HamstringQuestionable

NFC West

Full standings

49ersDiv 3-0 · Home 5-0 · Road 2-17-1+79 2

SeahawksDiv 2-1 · Home 4-2 · Road 1-25-4+40 3

RamsDiv 0-2 · Home 2-3 · Road 3-15-4+33 4

CardinalsDiv 1-3 · Home 0-3 · Road 3-33-6-77