Pigskin Nightly
More
GamedayScores & liveEvery game, live field, drive chartVideoHighlights for every gameStartersProjected, last game, confirmedInjury reportWho is out this weekTravel & restMiles, time zones, short weeks
AnalyticsThe VerdictWho deserved to win, graded weeklyEPA mapEvery offense and defenseWith / WithoutTeam splits when a starter sitsMilestone WatchCareer marks within reachCompare playersSide by side, every numberDFS researchDefense vs position, usage, totalsFree widgetsLive scores and stats for your siteGlossaryWhat every number means
The LabAll Lab toolsOriginal tools, built from every snapDeserved StandingsThe table the snaps would have builtSliding DoorsThe play that could have flipped itClock IQEvery staff against the clockRef Crew ReportEvery officiating crew, in numbersMarket vs SnapsWhere the line and the tape disagreeScheme DNAEvery playbook's fingerprintGame DNAEvery game drawn as one strandPaid vs PlayedEvery contract against the fieldLoudest StadiumsCrowd noise, measured since 1999Turf vs GrassInjuries by playing surfaceWeather LedgerReal weather, every game since 2000Line MovementOpening vs closing, every game since 2023
ClubsStandingsDivisions and playoff seedsPlayoff odds10,000 simulated seasonsStrength of scheduleThe road left for all 32All 32 teamsHubs, depth charts, snapsRostersEvery player, every teamNewsroomThe 32 club desksHow we writeOur editorial standards
Week 10
Latest
ESPNQuestions on 2026 NFL trade deadline deals: Does Kirk Cousins lift the Vikings?ESPNNFL Week 10 latest intel, buzz questions, fantasy tips, post-trade deadline newsESPNCowboys rave about Quinnen Williams a year after trade deadline dealESPNBig plays by Broncos defense in late-game situations keying Denver's 7-2 startESPNThe Philadelphia Eagles' 2026 trade haul is likely to age well over timeESPNWhere does Cam Ward stand coming out of the bye?Philadelphia Eagles2026 Salute to Service Nominee: Trailblazer Rachel Washburn's impact goes beyond the uniformsPro Football RumorsCardinals Work Out QBs Cooper Rush, Trevor SiemianESPNWhy Giants' trade attempts 'just didn't happen'ESPNChiefs add WR Josh Downs at NFL trade deadlineESPNHow the Amani Hooker trade helps the Titans rebuildInjuryEric Wilson: Active → Cleared8 h agoPro Football RumorsJets Work Out QBs Bailey Zappe, Austin ReedInjuryZach Allen: Active → Cleared9 h agoPro Football RumorsCowboys Add RB Kendre Miller To Practice SquadESPNHow Josh Downs fits with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offenseInjuryNathan Shepherd: Active → Cleared10 h agoInjuryJoshua Metellus: Active → Cleared10 h agoInjuryJordyn Brooks: Active → Cleared11 h agoInjuryChristian Barmore: Active → Cleared11 h agoInjuryQuentin Lake: Active → Cleared11 h agoInjuryDre'Mont Jones: Active → Cleared11 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 9 · 2026Jets 12 · 35 Chiefs

143 plays, one strand. Chiefs won after 3 lead changes; Jets peaked at 60% to win, Chiefs at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for KC, down for NYJ, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line3 lead changes; Jets peaked at 60% to win, Chiefs at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Chiefs win, play by play. High = KC in control, low = NYJ in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for KC on offense, down for NYJ; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Chiefs ↑Jets ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1FUMTDFUMTDFUMTDTDTDKC ↑ HOMENYJ ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NYJ on the left, KC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NYJKC
62Plays64
229Yards392
2Explosive plays6
0Offensive TDs5
1Turnovers2
60%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NYJFG69yKCFUM9yNYJFG4yKCTD82yNYJFG47yKCPunt8yNYJFUM5yKCTD24yNYJFG36yKCFUM-8yNYJFG ✕10yKCFG ✕19yKCTD60yNYJPunt0yKCPunt10yNYJPunt-8yKCTD82yNYJ–44yKCPunt30yNYJPunt-6yKCTD57yNYJ–28yKC–19y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 5.3 expected points against Chiefs.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 5:40 · KC · Fumble lost

    64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 6-J.Fields up the middle to KC 34 for no gain (52-K.Enagbare). New York Jets challenged the runner was

    −5.3 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 4:19 · KC · Completion

    15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 35 for 17 yards (44-J.Sherwood).

    +2.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 6:29 · NYJ · Fumble lost

    0-B.Allen up the middle to NYJ 26 for 5 yards (32-N.Bolton). FUMBLES (32-N.Bolton), RECOVERED by KC-17-A.Gilman at NYJ 26. 17-A.Gilman to NY

    −4.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 5:45 · KC · Touchdown

    15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 9-K.Walker for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.8 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 1:41 · KC · Fumble lost

    15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 27 for -10 yards (31-D.Bailey). FUMBLES (31-D.Bailey) [31-D.Bailey], RECOVERED by NYJ-9-W.McDonald at KC 30. KC-15

    −3.8 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 4:14 · KC · Completion

    15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at NYJ 44 for 38 yards (1-A.Thomas) [91-J.Briggs].

    +2.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 11:47 · NYJ · Sack

    7-G.Smith sacked at KC 26 for -6 yards (56-G.Karlaftis).

    −3.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 3:39 · KC · Touchdown

    64-H.Nourzad, 73-J.Ezeudu and 92-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 10-E.Johnson up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.1 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
12@35Week 9Changes the winner

If the Jets had recovered that fumble

Jets after the play31%what really happened
ChiefsJetsthe rest never happened

Q2 2:00 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 32 for -7 yards (31-D.Bailey). FUMBLES (31-D.Bailey) [31-D.Bailey], recovered by KC-77-J.Moore at KC 32.

Week 9

The rest of the week

Every week →
Jaguars at Ravens, Game DNA33@10Bengals at Falcons, Game DNA34@17Browns at Saints, Game DNA22@23Cowboys at Colts, Game DNA27@23Broncos at Panthers, Game DNA26@21Lions at Dolphins, Game DNA19@9Rams at Commanders, Game DNA20@13Giants at Eagles, Game DNA19@11Texans at Chargers, Game DNA44@22Raiders at 49ers, Game DNA17@38Cardinals at Seahawks, Game DNA3@17Packers at Patriots, Game DNA45@27Buccaneers at Bears, Game DNA24@27Bills at Vikings, Game DNA23@6