Bills at Jets: Week 10 preview, odds and injuries

Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · MetLife Stadium1 PM ET

at1 PMET · CBSBUF -8.5 · O/U 50.5

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

The Buffalo Bills (7-1) visit the New York Jets (2-7) on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (Week 10, 2026 season), on CBS. Betting line: BUF -8.5, over/under 50.5.

When and where is Bills vs Jets?

Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. TV: CBS.

Who is favored in Bills vs Jets?

The line is BUF -8.5 with an over/under of 50.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Bills vs Jets?

Bills: Tyrell Shavers (WR, out, knee - acl), Alec Anderson (OT, questionable, ankle), Dion Dawkins (OT, questionable, ribs) and Greg Gaines (DT, questionable, calf). Jets: Garrett Wilson (WR, questionable, concussion), Joseph Ossai (DE, questionable, ankle), Nahshon Wright (CB, questionable, back) and Trevin Wallace (LB, questionable, groin).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Bills at Jets: Week 10 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-15-buf-at-nyj (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 9 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Bills dropback offense vs Jets pass defense
The Bills' dropback offense ranks 4th in EPA per dropback (+0.25, 277 dropbacks) against a Jets pass defense ranked 26th (+0.16 allowed, 312 dropbacks faced).
4thBUF offense22 spots apart26thNYJ defense
2Bills third-down offense vs Jets third-down defense
The Bills' third-down offense ranks 5th in third-down conversion rate (45.7%, 92 third downs) against a Jets third-down defense ranked 21st (42.7% allowed, 110 third downs faced).
5thBUF offense16 spots apart21stNYJ defense
3Bills big-play offense vs Jets defense against big plays
The Bills' big-play offense ranks 1st in explosive-play rate (13.5%, 504 plays) against a Jets defense against big plays ranked 15th (9.2% allowed, 563 plays faced).
1stBUF offense14 spots apart15thNYJ defense

When the Bills have the ballEdge BUF · +22 ranks

BUF dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNYJ pass defense

4th+0.25277 dropbacks

BUF +22

+0.16 allowed312 dropbacks faced26th

BUF run gameEPA per rushNYJ run defense

7th+0.00227 rushes

-0.11 allowed251 rushes faced9th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Jets have the ballEdge BUF · +12 ranks

NYJ dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBUF pass defense

14th+0.08313 dropbacks

+0.05 allowed328 dropbacks faced16th

NYJ run gameEPA per rushBUF run defense

20th-0.12212 rushes

BUF +12

-0.11 allowed176 rushes faced8th

Third downEdge BUF · +16 ranks

BUF third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNYJ third-down defense

5th45.7%92 third downs

BUF +16

42.7% allowed110 third downs faced21st

NYJ third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBUF third-down defense

24th36.6%112 third downs

BUF +10

39.0% allowed100 third downs faced14th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge BUF · +17 ranks

BUF red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNYJ red-zone defense

9th65%34 trips

BUF +17

69% allowed32 trips faced26th

NYJ red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBUF red-zone defense

32nd38%26 trips

BUF +11

63% allowed30 trips faced21st

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge BUF · +14 ranks

BUF big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNYJ defense against big plays

1st13.5%504 plays

BUF +14

9.2% allowed563 plays faced15th

NYJ big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBUF defense against big plays

10th9.9%525 plays

9.5% allowed504 plays faced16th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge NYJ · +8 ranks

BUF pass protectionsack rateNYJ pass rush

18th6.1% sacked277 dropbacks

NYJ +8

7.1% of dropbacks312 dropbacks faced10th

NYJ pass protectionsack rateBUF pass rush

28th8.9% sacked313 dropbacks

5.2% of dropbacks328 dropbacks faced21st

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

BUF ball securityturnovers per gameNYJ takeaway defense

23rd1.5 giveaways a game8 games

1.0 takeaways a game9 games22nd

NYJ ball securityturnovers per gameBUF takeaway defense

7th0.8 giveaways a game9 games

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesBUF 0 · NYJ 0 regulars out or doubtful

Bills4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QDion DawkinsOT99% offense · 7 wk
QGreg GainesDT32% defense · 6 wk
OUTTyrell ShaversWRno snaps
QAlec AndersonOTno snaps

Jets4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QGarrett WilsonWR89% offense · 8 wk
QJoseph OssaiDE45% defense · 3 wk
QNahshon WrightCBno snaps
QTrevin WallaceLBno snaps

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelNYJ +1 day of rest · BUF travels 278 mi

AwayBills

6days since last game

278miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Mon wk 9 at MIN (W 23-6) · Minneapolis · 12,423 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edge+1NYJ dayTravel gap 278 mi

HomeJets

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at KC (L 12-35) · Kansas City · 6,387 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: BUF 8 games, 504 offensive and 504 defensive plays · NYJ 9 games, 525 offensive and 563 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32