AFC East · 2026 season

MiamiDolphins

1-7record4thin East#14AFC seed-74point diffL2streak

ColtsSun, Nov 15 · 1 PM ETIND -2.5 · O/U 40.5

What changed · Last 4 games (weeks 5-9) vs 4 games before (weeks 1-4)

Biggest improvementOffenseEPA per play31st→16th

Over the last 4 games the offense has posted +0.00 EPA per play (236 plays), 16th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 4 games before: -0.14 EPA per play (210 plays), 31st.

Season EPA ranks ↓Emerging problemRun defenseEPA per rush allowed5th→30th

Over the last 4 games the run defense has allowed +0.03 EPA per rush (102 rushes), 30th among 32 teams over their own last 4. In the 4 games before: -0.15 EPA per rush (105 rushes), 5th.

Season EPA ranks ↓Usage shiftOllie Gordon, RBoffensive snap share42%→75%

Ollie Gordon has played 75% of offensive snaps over the last 4 games, up from 42% in the 4 games before. On the field in 4 of 4 and 4 of 4; a game without a snap counts as zero.

Snap counts, week by week ↓

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

The Miami Dolphins are 1-7 in the 2026 season, 4th in the AFC East and the No. 14 seed in the AFC, with a point differential of -74. On offense they rank 24th in the league in EPA per play (-0.064); on defense they rank 32nd (+0.116 allowed). The Pigskin Nightly model gives them a 0% chance to make the playoffs and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl. The Miami Dolphins play next on the road at the Indianapolis Colts on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What is the Miami Dolphins record?

1-7, 4th in the AFC East. Home 0-4, road 1-3, division 1-1, conference 1-4, current streak L2. Points: 126 scored, 200 allowed.

Who do the Miami Dolphins play next?

The Miami Dolphins play next on the road at the Indianapolis Colts on Sun, Nov 15, 1 PM ET (Week 10), on CBS.

What are the Miami Dolphins' playoff chances?

0% to make the playoffs, 0% to win the AFC East, 0% to earn the No. 1 seed and the bye, 0.0% to win the AFC and 0.0% to win the Super Bowl, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season (projected record 3.8-13.2).

Who is the Miami Dolphins starting quarterback?

Malik Willis is first on the Dolphins depth chart at quarterback (currently questionable on the injury report), with Kyle McCord behind.

Who is injured for the Miami Dolphins?

Out, doubtful or on injured reserve: Darrell Baker Jr. (CB, out, undisclosed) and Jaylen Wright (RB, out, quadriceps). Questionable: Malik Willis (QB, questionable, groin) and Will Kacmarek (TE, questionable, quadriceps).

How good is the Miami Dolphins offense and defense?

Offense: 24th in EPA per play (-0.064), 23rd on dropbacks, 22nd on runs, success rate 38.8%. Defense: 32nd in EPA allowed (+0.116), 32nd against the pass, 22nd against the run.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Miami Dolphins 2026: record, EPA, depth chart and injuries”, https://pigskinnightly.com/teams/dolphins (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

From the Dolphins Desk

Open the desk →

The TapeDolphins go 0-for-3 in the red zone and fall to Lions 19-9 at Hard Rock StadiumMiami kicked three field goals, finished 4-of-12 on third down and dropped to 1-7 with a 10-point home loss to Detroit.Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min read Scouting ReportDolphins pass defense ranks 32nd as Jared Goff and the Lions come to MiamiNov 7, 2026 · 2 min read

The Wire

The Verdict · 2026

The Dolphins, judged from every snap

About rightthe record matches the snaps

Real record1-7

Deserved1.5wins

Looking back, not ahead. Deserved wins grade how well a team has played, from every snap of the games already played. They are not a forecast of the games to come. How well they hold up

−0.5 luck wins · 24th luckiest in the NFL · net EPA per snap 30th

Bars: deserved win probability, from the snaps50% line

Bottom lineEvery result so far matched the play or was a coin flip.

How to read this chart

The track:: solid dot = real wins, ring = deserved wins (the record the snaps earned), on a scale from 0 to 8 games. The colored gap between them is the luck.
The strip:: one tile per game, oldest first, with the opponent and the score. The bar is how often the Dolphins would win a replay of the same snaps; above the middle line they deserved to win.
The label:: Earned or Fair loss = the result matched the play; Coin flip = it could have gone either way; Lucky / Robbed = the result went against the play.

One-score games1-3decided by 8 or fewer

Chicken Index25%26th most timid of 28

Flags, net−7win prob. points · 16th

Bounce & kick luck−1.7points · −0.2 a game

Latest ruling · Week 9

Lions earned it: the snaps said Lions by 7.5, a deserved win probability of 92%.

From the Lab

The lab file

All Lab tools →

Scheme DNAMost deep shots, most pre-snap motion in the leagueClosest twin: Jaguars (63%)Clock IQ20th of 32 at managing the clockJeff Hafley · 7 timeouts burned · 0 halves left on the table Deserved Standings

Real141-7

Deserved–1.5-6.5

Out of the picture in both worldsSeeds in the AFC, real and as if every game went to the team that deserved it Market vs Snaps−0.2The market has them about rightPoints a game the snaps beat the line · 3-4-1 against the spread Sliding Doors3losses that one coin-flip play could have flipped136 points of win probability lost to those plays, 38 saved in wins

The season, week by week

Offense EPA/playDefense EPA prevented

Wk 6Bye

Bars above the line are good: offense adding expected points, defense taking them away. The middle line is league average zero.Rest days and miles traveled, all 32 →

The road ahead

Playoff odds, all 32 →

Playoff oddsDolphins1-7 · proj 3.8-13.2 · 14th in AFC<1%to get in

Win it all 0%Full odds →

Next 5 · schedule leftNo. 18 hardest of 32 · avg opp +0.2 →

Regular season · rank among 32 teams

Where the Dolphins stand

Offense

EPA per play-0.06424th

Dropback EPA-0.01723rd

Rush EPA-0.12722nd

Success rate38.8%29th

Defense

EPA allowed+0.11632nd

Pass EPA allowed+0.26432nd

Rush EPA allowed-0.06022nd

Success allowed48.7%32nd

Pass rate over expected: -11.1% (32nd most pass-heavy given down, distance and score). 446 offensive plays logged.

Fantasy points allowed per game: QB 18.5 (12th most) · RB 26.3 (8th most) · WR 26.1 (29th most) · TE 17.8 (4th most). Defense vs position

Who produces

EPA from the nflverse play-by-play model

Quarterback · 256 dropbacksM.Willis-0.038EPA / dropback-4.8CPOE9.4aDOT41%success

Quarterback · 1 dropbacksB.Pinion+5.328EPA / dropback+34.5CPOE12.0aDOT100%success

Rushing	Car	Yds	TD	EPA/car	Success
O.Gordon RB	107	463	4	-0.05	35%
D.Achane RB	34	127	0	-0.17	35%
J.Wright RB	22	41	0	-0.39	27%
M.Willis QB	12	23	1	-0.15	50%

Targets	Tgt	Target share	Air share	aDOT	Yds	TD	EPA/tgt
M.Washington WR	48	24%	27%	10.5	350	1	+0.17
G.Dulcich TE	33	16%	11%	6.4	270	0	+0.35
C.Douglas WR	27	13%	18%	12.3	296	2	+0.37
C.Bell WR	25	12%	18%	13.4	148	0	-0.08
K.Coleman WR	21	10%	15%	13.6	82	2	-0.35
D.Achane RB	12	6%	2%	3.2	49	0	+0.01
O.Gordon RB	10	5%	-1%	-2.6	23	0	-0.39
W.Kacmarek TE	10	5%	2%	4.3	30	0	-0.52

Depth chart, on the field

QuestionableOut / IRFull roster →

Offense3WR 1TE

DefenseBase 4-3 D

16FSTaaffe Anderson

4LCBMarshall Jr.Simpson

44LDERobinson Herring

78LDTGrant

10MLBRodriguez

3NBJohnson Taylor

8RCBBrents Dial Jr.

9RDEUche McGraw

92RDTSieler Biggers

40SLBGay Jr.Woodard

11SSTrader Jr.Louis

20WLBBrooks Heyward

HolderBradley Pinion Kick ReturnerJaylen Wright Long SnapperTucker Addington PunterBradley Pinion Place KickerZane Gonzalez Punt ReturnerMalik Washington

Snap counts

Share of team snaps, every weekThis week's starters →

Offense	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9
Patrick PaulT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Austin JacksonT	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Malik WillisQB	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Aaron BrewerC	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Jonah SavaiinaeaG	100	100	100	100	27	100	100	100
Kadyn ProctorG	100	100	100	100	100	100		100
Malik WashingtonWR	98	73	86	87	80	80	74	77
Caleb DouglasWR	91	86				68	86	74
Ollie GordonRB	7	19	84	56	65	83	82	72
Greg DulcichTE	77	61	70	51	74	65	69	65
Chris BellWR	52	41	71	82	71	48	69	63
DJ HermanFB	27	29	37	51	29	45	31	42
Will KacmarekTE	25	47	41	62	38	45	31	35
Seydou TraoreTE					2	17	11	23

Defense	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9
Jacob RodriguezLB	100	92	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chris JohnsonCB	100	81	100	100	98	100	100	100
Michael TaaffeS	75	85	100	100	95	100	100	100
Jordyn BrooksLB	99	85	100	100	69	100	100	100
Dante TraderS	47	77	100	67	100	78	98	100
Zach SielerDL	71	65	85	78	78	83	77	71
Zeek BiggersDL	62	67	48	62	65	53	50	66
Chop RobinsonDE	62		71	64	55	64	55	66
Julius BrentsCB	38	62	69	88	62	90	83	64
Jordan PhillipsDL	60	60	67	59	58	49	62	64
Jason MarshallCB	94	94	67	77	88	59	52	61
Joshua UcheDE	43	62	69	71	69	73	80	59
Willie Gay Jr.LB	60	62	44	35	57		45	53
Kenneth GrantDL					25	37	45	36