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Team splits · 2026 regular season · nflverse play-by-play and snap counts

With / Without

119starter splits
with a real sample
Out, doubtful or on IR right now

The absences that hurt

Players on the current injury report whose team's numbers were worse in the games they missed. Ranked by the observed difference in EPA per play, discounted for one-game samples. An observed difference, not proof of what the player is worth.

  1. 1Garrett WilsonGarrett WilsonJets logoNYJ · WR · Out · ConcussionOffense+0.044 → -0.30221.3 → 12.0 pts · SR 46% → 39%+0.358g · 463 pl with
    1g · 62 pl without
    small sample
  2. 2Kendrick BourneKendrick BourneCardinals logoARI · WR · IR · FractureOffense-0.022 → -0.18821.9 → 3.0 pts · SR 44% → 41%+0.178g · 549 pl with
    1g · 51 pl without
    small sample
  3. 3Jaelan PhillipsJaelan PhillipsPanthers logoCAR · EDGE · Out · HamstringDefense allowed-0.009 → +0.09824.6 → 32.0 pts allowed · SR 42% → 48%+0.115g · 328 pl with
    3g · 190 pl without
  4. 4Brandon JonesBrandon JonesBroncos logoDEN · S · Out · HamstringDefense allowed-0.023 → +0.12520.6 → 21.0 pts allowed · SR 40% → 47%+0.158g · 546 pl with
    1g · 62 pl without
    small sample
  5. 5Mike EvansMike Evans49ers logoSF · WR · Out · TendinitisOffense+0.209 → +0.10429.5 → 29.0 pts · SR 53% → 53%+0.116g · 337 pl with
    2g · 130 pl without
    small sample
  6. 6Travis GloverTravis GloverPackers logoGB · OT · Out · KneeOffense+0.085 → +0.00122.0 → 25.6 pts · SR 41% → 41%+0.084g · 243 pl with
    5g · 312 pl without
  7. 7Deebo Samuel Sr.Deebo Samuel Sr.49ers logoSF · WR · Out · HamstringOffense+0.209 → +0.13730.8 → 27.0 pts · SR 53% → 53%+0.075g · 277 pl with
    3g · 190 pl without
  8. 8Cam SkatteboCam SkatteboGiants logoNYG · RB · Out · HamstringOffense+0.025 → -0.07122.7 → 19.0 pts · SR 42% → 30%+0.106g · 387 pl with
    1g · 63 pl without
    small sample
  9. 9Akeem Davis-GaitherAkeem Davis-GaitherColts logoIND · LB · Out · KneeDefense allowed+0.065 → +0.14027.8 → 27.0 pts allowed · SR 43% → 46%+0.078g · 453 pl with
    1g · 70 pl without
    small sample
  10. 10Mansoor DelaneMansoor DelaneChiefs logoKC · CB · Out · ShoulderDefense allowed-0.056 → -0.01515.8 → 23.3 pts allowed · SR 39% → 43%+0.044g · 275 pl with
    3g · 181 pl without

Biggest swings

Observed differences · at least two games without him
Michael Penix Jr.
Falcons · QuarterbackMichael Penix Jr.99% of snapsSmall sample
+0.43Observed difference
EPA/play, better with
EPA / play+0.029-0.403
Success45.4%37.1%
Points / game24.68.0
With 7 games · 401 playsWithout 2 games · 124 plays (Wks 1, 2)
Opponents avg rating
WithPackers logoGBSaints logoNORavens logoBALBears logoCHI49ers logoSFBuccaneers logoTBBengals logoCIN+2.7
WithoutSteelers logoPITPanthers logoCAR+1.0

Opponents in the games with him were 1.7 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:C.J. Henderson CB · 1/7

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

No games before his first absence (Wk 1)From Wk 1 on (Wks 1-4)-0.024

An observed difference between games, not a measure of his impact: opponents, other absences and form change too.
Nico Collins
Texans · Wide receiverNico Collins71% of snapsSmall sample
+0.33Observed difference
EPA/play, better with
EPA / play+0.146-0.185
Success45.3%36.2%
Points / game31.011.5
With 6 games · 362 playsWithout 2 games · 127 plays (Wks 2, 3)
Opponents avg rating
WithBills logoBUFCowboys logoDALTitans logoTENJaguars logoJAXGiants logoNYGChargers logoLAC+0.5
WithoutBengals logoCINColts logoIND-0.7

Opponents in the games with him were 1.2 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Azeez Al-Shaair LB · 1/6

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wk 1)+0.069From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)-0.015

An observed difference between games, not a measure of his impact: opponents, other absences and form change too.
Markel Bell
Eagles · TackleMarkel Bell86% of snapsSmall sample
-0.24Observed difference
EPA/play, better without
EPA / play-0.192+0.052
Success34.2%38.2%
Points / game15.524.0
With 6 games · 374 playsWithout 2 games · 123 plays (Wks 1, 2)
Opponents avg rating
WithRams logoLARJaguars logoJAXPanthers logoCARCowboys logoDALCommanders logoWSHGiants logoNYG+2.3
WithoutCommanders logoWSHTitans logoTEN-4.3

Opponents in the games with him were 6.6 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

With games:Jalen Hurts QB · 4/6, Dontayvion Wicks WR · 3/6, Saquon Barkley RB · 2/6, Dallas Goedert TE · 1/6 +2 more

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

No games before his first absence (Wk 1)From Wk 1 on (Wks 1-4)-0.107

An observed difference between games, not a measure of his impact: opponents, other absences and form change too.1 partial game left out
Charlie Kolar
Chargers · Tight endCharlie Kolar64% of snapsSmall sample
-0.23Observed difference
EPA/play, better without
EPA / play-0.305-0.079
Success32.1%43.2%
Points / game13.719.5
With 6 games · 365 playsWithout 2 games · 132 plays (Wks 3, 4)
Opponents avg rating
WithCardinals logoARIRaiders logoLVBroncos logoDENChiefs logoKCRams logoLARTexans logoHOU+0.8
WithoutBills logoBUFSeahawks logoSEA+4.7

Opponents in the games with him were 3.9 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

With games:Joe Alt OT · 2/6, Ladd McConkey WR · 2/6, Travis Burke OT · 2/6, Quentin Johnston WR · 1/6 +1 more

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-2)-0.253From Wk 3 on (Wks 3-6)-0.212

An observed difference between games, not a measure of his impact: opponents, other absences and form change too.
Sam Darnold
Seahawks · QuarterbackSam Darnold87% of snapsOutSmall sample
-0.21Observed difference
EPA/play, better without
EPA / play-0.101+0.106
Success40.1%44.8%
Points / game23.524.0
With 6 games · 387 playsWithout 2 games · 125 plays (Wks 2, 9)
Opponents avg rating
WithCommanders logoWSHChargers logoLAC49ers logoSFBroncos logoDENChiefs logoKCBears logoCHI+1.3
WithoutCardinals logoARICardinals logoARI-5.8

Opponents in the games with him were 7.1 pts stronger on average

Other starters out

Without games:Charles Cross OT · 1/2, Rashid Shaheed WR · 1/2

With games:Drake Thomas LB · 2/6, Charles Cross OT · 1/6, Julian Love S · 1/6, Rashid Shaheed WR · 1/6

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wk 1)+0.066From Wk 2 on (Wks 2-5)-0.099

An observed difference between games, not a measure of his impact: opponents, other absences and form change too.1 partial game left out
Dallas Goedert
Eagles · Tight endDallas Goedert72% of snapsSmall sample
+0.18Observed difference
EPA/play, better with
EPA / play-0.111-0.295
Success35.5%36.2%
Points / game17.313.5
With 7 games · 439 playsWithout 2 games · 105 plays (Wks 3, 4)
Opponents avg rating
WithCommanders logoWSHTitans logoTENJaguars logoJAXPanthers logoCARCowboys logoDALCommanders logoWSHGiants logoNYG+0.1
WithoutBears logoCHIRams logoLAR+4.6

Opponents in the games with him were 4.5 pts weaker on average

Other starters out

Without games:Zack Baun LB · 1/2

With games:Jalen Hurts QB · 4/7, Dontayvion Wicks WR · 3/7, Markel Bell OT · 2/7, Saquon Barkley RB · 2/7 +1 more

Team trend EPA/play, up to 4 games each side of his first absence

Before (Wks 1-2)+0.052From Wk 3 on (Wks 3-6)-0.237

An observed difference between games, not a measure of his impact: opponents, other absences and form change too.

All 32 teams

Largest split per team · open a team for every starter
49ers logo49ers4 splitsRomello Height · EDGE · 1g without+0.29Bears logoBears3 splitsCaleb Williams · QB · 3g without+0.14Bengals logoBengals0 splitsNo full game missed by a starterBills logoBills3 splitsSpencer Brown · OT · 1g without+0.18Broncos logoBroncos2 splitsRiley Moss · CB · 1g without-0.45Browns logoBrowns4 splitsTyson Campbell · CB · 1g without-0.12Buccaneers logoBuccaneers5 splitsLuke Goedeke · OT · 1g without-0.36Cardinals logoCardinals4 splitsJacoby Brissett · QB · 1g without+0.17Chargers logoChargers6 splitsCharlie Kolar · TE · 2g without-0.23Chiefs logoChiefs3 splitsJaylon Moore · OT · 1g without+0.26Colts logoColts5 splitsSauce Gardner · CB · 1g without-0.17Commanders logoCommanders6 splitsRachaad White · RB · 1g without+0.25Cowboys logoCowboys2 splitsCobie Durant · CB · 4g without+0.07Dolphins logoDolphins2 splitsChop Robinson · EDGE · 1g without+0.38Eagles logoEagles7 splitsNolan Smith Jr. · EDGE · 1g without+0.27Falcons logoFalcons2 splitsMichael Penix Jr. · QB · 2g without+0.43Giants logoGiants6 splitsJameis Winston · QB · 1g without-0.47Jaguars logoJaguars2 splitsAntonio Johnson · S · 1g without-0.41Jets logoJets5 splitsGarrett Wilson · WR · 1g without+0.35Lions logoLions3 splitsJack Campbell · LB · 1g without-0.32Packers logoPackers3 splitsMarShawn Lloyd · RB · 1g without-0.30Panthers logoPanthers6 splitsJalen Coker · WR · 1g without-0.29Patriots logoPatriots3 splitsEfton Chism III · WR · 1g without+0.19Raiders logoRaiders1 splitJalen Nailor · WR · 1g without-0.01Rams logoRams6 splitsAlaric Jackson · OT · 1g without+0.22Ravens logoRavens5 splitsRonnie Stanley · OT · 1g without-0.17Saints logoSaints4 splitsCarl Granderson · EDGE · 1g without+0.42Seahawks logoSeahawks5 splitsSam Darnold · QB · 2g without-0.21Steelers logoSteelers1 splitRoman Wilson · WR · 3g without-0.05Texans logoTexans2 splitsNico Collins · WR · 2g without+0.33Titans logoTitans4 splitsCarnell Tate · WR · 1g without-0.29Vikings logoVikings5 splitsKyler Murray · QB · 1g without-0.04

How it is counted

Each split compares whole games. A game counts as "with" when the player took at least 25% of his unit's snaps and "without" when he took none (injured, inactive or not yet in the lineup) and did not play for another club that week. Games where he left early or played a reduced role are left out of both. Key players are each team's snap leaders by position (quarterback, lead back, top three receivers, tight end, two tackles, two edge rushers, an interior lineman, a linebacker, two corners and a safety) who average a starter's share of the snaps. A split appears only with at least two games with him and one without. EPA per play and success rate count pass and run plays from the nflverse play-by-play; points come from the final score. Offense players are measured on the offense, defenders on what the defense allowed, so a positive number always means the team's results were better in the games with him.

Sample size. Every card prints the games and plays in each group. It carries a "small sample" badge when either group has fewer than 3 games or fewer than 100 plays: read those as a signal, not a verdict. More on sample size.

Context. Each card lists the opponents in both groups with their average current team rating (points above or below an average team on a neutral field, the same rating behind the playoff odds), the other key starters who were out in those same games, and the team's EPA per play in up to 4 games before the player's first absence against up to 4 games from it on, to show whether the team was already trending before he went out.

What it is not. These are observed differences between two groups of games, not the player's causal effect: opponents, other absences, weather, game script and form all change between the two groups.