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Green Bay PackersMike's Mid-Week Chat | Nov. 11, 2026InjuryDenzel Boston: Active → Questionablejust nowEagles DeskEagles run defense ranks 31st while the offense stalls at a 24% success rate3 min agoCommanders DeskCommanders pass on 66% of early downs in Week 9 and the offense slides to -0.177 EPA a play4 min agoCarolina PanthersPanthers open practice windows for three, among other movesBaltimore RavensMailbag: Will Jacoby Brissett Turn the Ravens' Season Around?Buccaneers DeskBuccaneers defense leads the league in EPA allowed while the passing game ranks 30th13 min agoBears DeskBears pass on early downs 64% in Week 9 and the offense stalls14 min agoSan Francisco 49ersWays to Watch and Listen: 49ers vs. Cowboys | Week 10Pro Football RumorsColts Designate DE Arden Key For ReturnNew York GiantsArvell Reese named NFC Defensive Player of the WeekBrowns DeskBrowns rank 30th against the run, and the offense fell to 33% success in Week 923 min agoHouston TexansHouston Texans QB C.J. Stroud Named AFC Offensive Player Of The WeekLos Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals: How to watch, listen to and live stream Week 10New York GiantsGame Preview: Nothing worthwhile comes easy for first-place GiantsGreen Bay PackersPackers QB Jordan Love named NFC Offensive Player of the WeekBuffalo BillsBills roster moves Nov. 11InjuryAdetomiwa Adebawore: Active → Cleared33 min agoJacksonville JaguarsWhere to Watch: Jaguars vs. Titans, Week 10 of 2026 NFL SeasonJacksonville JaguarsRoster Moves: Jaguars Open B.J. Green II's 21-Day Practice WindowPittsburgh SteelersStatement from Rooney on HoakRaiders DeskRaiders defense has allowed positive EPA in five straight games and ranks 31st1 h ago
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Commanders DeskBy the Numbers

Commanders pass on 66% of early downs in Week 9 and the offense slides to -0.177 EPA a play

Washington leaned on early-down passing against a 41% season success rate, while Jayden Daniels' efficiency has cooled over the last three games.

Jayden DanielsBy the Numbers-0.18Offense EPA/play · Week 9QBJayden Daniels
By Commanders Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 11, 12:20 PM ET2 min read

66%: the early-down pass rate jumped 16 points in a week

Washington threw on 66% of its early-down snaps in Week 9, up from 50% in Week 8. The Week 6 figure of 72% is still the season high. The result in Week 9 was an offense that produced -0.177 EPA per play, with a 39% success rate.

EPA, or expected points added, measures how much each play moves the scoring outlook. A negative number means the drive got worse on average. The season mark is -0.029 per play, 20th in the league, with a 41% success rate.

The Commanders' best early-down weeks came when the rate sat near the middle. Week 5 produced 0.111 EPA per play at a 57% rate, and Week 2 produced 0.069 at 60%. Passing more often has not been the same as passing better.

0.07 to -0.07: Jayden Daniels has cooled

Over 219 plays this season, Jayden Daniels sits at 0.07 EPA per play with a 46% success rate and 1,155 yards. His completion percentage over expected is 4.9, which means he has completed more throws than the difficulty of those throws would predict.

The last three weeks look different. On 74 plays, Daniels is at -0.07 EPA per play, 45% success, 457 yards and a completion percentage over expected of 0.8. The success rate has barely moved, but the plays that fail now cost more.

0.50: Terry McLaurin is the most efficient target and the least used

Terry McLaurin leads all four regular targets at 0.50 EPA per play with a 54% success rate, on 28 plays and 230 yards. His target share is 11%.

Stefon Diggs carries the largest share at 20%, with 0.21 EPA per play on 49 plays and 303 yards. Antonio Williams matches that 0.21 mark on 39 plays, though over the last three weeks he has fallen to -0.09 with a 31% success rate on 13 plays.

Van Jefferson is the other name to track. His snap share rose from 12% in Week 8 to 58% in Week 9, and over the last three weeks he has 0.37 EPA per play on eight plays.

28%: the run game gives the passing game little help

Rachaad White has a 28% success rate over his last 18 plays, with 83 yards and 0.01 EPA per play. Austin Ekeler is at -0.21 EPA per play and 29% success on 17 plays. His snap share climbed from 10% in Week 6 to 45% in Week 9.

The rushing offense ranks 23rd. On the line, Lucas Patrick went from 100% of snaps in Week 6 to 44% in Week 9.

What to watch Thursday

Washington is 2-5-1, third in the NFC East, and 0-3 on the road. The New York Giants, 5-2-1, lead the division. The Week 10 game is a Thursday night road game on Nov 12, and the number to check is the early-down pass rate against that 66% mark.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.