Rams 24, Eagles 20: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4 · Lincoln Financial FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
LAR	3	7	0	14	24
PHI	3	17	0	0	20

Home · 2-7PhiladelphiaEagles20

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 2:14 PM ET

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Philadelphia Eagles 24-20 on Sun, Oct 4 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA (Week 4, 2026 season). Records after the game: Rams 5-4, Eagles 2-7. T.Higbee (LA) led all players with +5.1 EPA on 6 targets.

Who won Rams vs Eagles?

The Los Angeles Rams won 24-20. By quarter: LAR 3-7-0-14, PHI 3-17-0-0.

Who was the best player in Rams vs Eagles?

By expected points added: T.Higbee (LA, +5.1 EPA on 6 targets), P.Nacua (LA, +3.7 EPA on 12 targets) and K.Williams (LA, +3.6 EPA on 16 carries).

What was the turning point of Rams vs Eagles?

The biggest swing in win probability (27 points toward the Rams) came in Q4 at 1:10: K.Williams left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Rams 24, Eagles 20: Week 4 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-04-lar-at-phi (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 4 issue →

Week 4EarnedGame file →

Rams50% success · +0.06 EPA/play

2420

Eagles33% success · −0.38 EPA/play

LAR 100% deserveddeserved 0% PHI

Rams earned it: the snaps said Rams by 19.6, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginLAR by 19.6

Real marginLAR by 4

Luck pts LAR−3.2

Luck pts PHI+3.8

The swingQ4 1:17 · LA · +16 pts of win probability. 23-K.Williams left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Flags that moved this game

1Unnecessary RoughnessPHI → helped LA · Wk 4 Q4 5:20 · (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 23-K.Williams pushed ob at PHI 26 for 9 yards (33-C.DeJean). PENALTY on…+7.6 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceLA → helped PHI · Wk 4 Q2 0:14 · (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep left to 13-D.Wicks (22-T.McDuffie). PENALTY on LA-22-T.McDuffie, Defensive Pass…+5.7 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1LA · 4th & 8Sean McVay chose Go for it at opp 36, Wk 4 Q4 14:16, down 10. Model: Field goal (clear call). Result: stopped.−0.83 EP
2LA · 4th & 2Sean McVay chose Punt at own 35, Wk 4 Q2 8:49, down 3. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.72 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA161 plays, one strand1 lead change · 6 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewCraig Wrolstad18 accepted flags in this game · 17.3 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: LAR by 3.5 · Snaps: LAR by 19.6Rams covered; the snaps agree

24@20

Week 4

If the 40-yard kick had missed

Eagles after the play55%what really happened

Q1 2:12 92-H.Mevis 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

PHI ▲LAR ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+27%Q4 1:10 · for LARK.Williams left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.
+21%Q4 1:32 · for LAR(Shotgun) M.Stafford scrambles right end pushed ob at PHI 11 for 8 yards (J.Campbell).
+11%Q2 0:03 · for PHI(Shotgun) J.Hurts pass short middle to D.Cooper for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on LA-T.McDuffie, Illegal Contact, declined. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
+11%Q1 12:03 · for PHIM.Stafford pass deep right intended for K.Mumpfield INTERCEPTED by A.Mukuba at LA 49. A.Mukuba pushed ob at LA 28 for 21 yards (A.Jackson).
+11%Q3 0:33 · for PHI(Shotgun) K.Williams left end pushed ob at PHI 23 for 7 yards (J.Jones).PENALTY on LA-P.Nacua, Illegal Blindside Block, 15 yards, enforced at PHI 30 - No Play.

Every drive, on the field

PHI attacks →← LAR attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 4y · 1:43
Q1 13:17INT3p · 15y · 1:29
Q1 11:48FG6p · 17y · 3:10
Q1 8:38FG13p · 58y · 6:30
Q1 2:08FG12p · 29y · 6:12
Q2 10:56PUNT3p · 8y · 2:20
Q2 8:36PUNT4p · 18y · 1:39
Q2 6:57PUNT3p · 0y · 0:31
Q2 6:26TD2p · 17y · 0:42
Q2 5:44TD9p · 67y · 3:49
Q2 1:55PUNT3p · -5y · 0:55
Q2 1:00INT2p · 7y · 0:42
Q2 0:18TD2p · 35y · 0:15
Q2 0:03HALF0p · 0y · 0:03
Q3 15:00PUNT5p · 19y · 1:47
Q3 13:13PUNT3p · 5y · 1:25
Q3 11:48MISS10p · 31y · 4:33
Q3 7:15PUNT3p · 5y · 0:56
Q3 6:19PUNT6p · 9y · 3:12
Q3 3:07DOWNS4p · 9y · 2:08
Q3 0:59DOWNS4p · 2y · 1:48
Q4 14:11DOWNS11p · 62y · 6:45
Q4 7:26TD10p · 98y · 3:27
Q4 3:59PUNT3p · 1y · 1:04
Q4 2:55TD10p · 79y · 1:45
Q4 1:10DOWNS4p · -15y · 1:06
Q4 0:04END1p · -1y · 0:04

Rams12 drives4scoring drives (3 TD)33%drives ending in pointsOWN 24avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Eagles13 drives4scoring drives (2 TD)31%drives ending in pointsOWN 40avg starting field position5three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
8:38Field goalJ.Elliott 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.0–3
Q1
2:08Field goalH.Mevis 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.3–3
Q2
10:56Field goalJ.Elliott 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.3–6
Q2
5:44Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Hurts pass deep right to D.Cooper for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.3–13
Q2
1:55TouchdownP.Nacua left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.10–13
Q2
0:03Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Hurts pass short middle to D.Cooper for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on LA-T.McDuffie, Illegal Contact, declined. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.10–20
Q4
3:59TouchdownK.Williams left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.17–20
Q4
1:10TouchdownK.Williams left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.24–20

Team stats

LARvsPHI

415Total yards172

309Passing yards68

106Rushing yards104

5.4Yards per play3.0

26First downs12

7-16 · 44%Third down0-12 · 0%

1-2Fourth down1-4

3-5Red zone TDs2-4

32/51Comp / att12/27

4.2Yards per carry3.9

2Turnovers0

1 (−8 yds)Sacks allowed4 (−25 yds)

8 for 100Penalties10 for 57

32:00Possession28:00

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.059-0.287

Dropback EPA+0.026-0.210

Rush EPA+0.139-0.382

Success rate50%33%

Explosive plays42

Plays7658

Who moved the needle

T.HigbeeTargets: 6+5.1

P.NacuaTargets: 12+3.7

K.WilliamsCarries: 16+3.6

K.WilliamsTargets: 13+3.2

M.LemonTargets: 6+1.6

M.StaffordDropbacks: 54+1.4

Cost their side the most

J.HurtsDropbacks: 32-6.7

K.MumpfieldTargets: 3-6.3

J.HurtsCarries: 4-6.1

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Matthew StaffordQB	32/51	317	6.2	0	2	1-8	56.2	63.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Kyren WilliamsRB	16	80	5.0	2	23
Blake CorumRB	5	14	2.8	0	6
Matthew StaffordQB	3	10	3.3	0	8
Puka NacuaWR	1	2	2.0	1	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Puka NacuaWR	9	12	125	13.9	32
Tyler HigbeeTE	5	6	67	13.4	20
Kyren WilliamsRB	10	13	67	6.7	16
Davante AdamsWR	4	9	32	8.0	12
Tutu AtwellWR	1	1	8	8.0	8
Blake CorumRB	1	2	7	7.0	7
Konata MumpfieldWR	1	3	7	7.0	7
Jordan WhittingtonWR	1	2	4	4.0	4
Davis AllenTE	0	2	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Nate LandmanLB	10	4	0	0	0	0
Byron YoungLB	6	4	2.5	2	0	3
Kamren KinchensS	6	3	0.5	0	1	1
Quentin LakeS	6	2	0	0	0	0
Omar SpeightsLB	5	5	1	0	0	1
Kam CurlS	4	3	0	0	1	0
Josh WallaceCB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Tyler DavisDE	3	1	0	1	0	0
Poona FordDT	2	2	0	1	0	1
Trent McDuffieCB	2	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Harrison Mevis	1/2	50.0	40	3/3	6

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jalen HurtsQB	12/27	93	3.4	2	0	4-25	36.0	78.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Tank BigsbyRB	14	55	3.9	19
Will ShipleyRB	6	23	3.8	9
Jalen HurtsQB	5	18	3.6	14
Saquon BarkleyRB	2	8	4.0	6

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Darius CooperWR	3	7	33	11.0	2	18
Makai LemonWR	3	6	27	9.0	0	13
Dontayvion WicksWR	3	5	18	6.0	0	7
Zach ErtzTE	2	4	13	6.5	0	8
Saquon BarkleyRB	1	1	2	2.0	0	2
Tank BigsbyRB	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Will ShipleyRB	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.LB	15	10	1
Jihaad CampbellLB	9	9	0
Riq WoolenCB	7	6	1
Cooper DeJeanCB	5	3	2
Jordan DavisDT	4	4	0
Quinyon MitchellCB	4	4	0
Smael Mondon Jr.LB	4	2	0
Andrew MukubaS	4	1	1
Michael Carter IICB	4	0	3
Jonathan JonesCB	3	2	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jake ElliottPK	2/2	100.0	56	2/2	8

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 3 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Rams pass defense vs Eagles dropback offense
The Rams' pass defense ranks 4th in EPA per dropback (-0.10 allowed, 107 dropbacks faced) and faces a Eagles dropback offense ranked 23rd (-0.06, 106 dropbacks).
23rdPHI offense19 spots apart4thLAR defense
2Rams pass protection vs Eagles pass rush
The Rams' pass protection ranks 7th in sack rate (4.2% sacked, 119 dropbacks) against a Eagles pass rush ranked 28th (3.1% of dropbacks, 98 dropbacks faced).
7thLAR offense21 spots apart28thPHI defense
3Rams defense against big plays vs Eagles big-play offense
The Rams' defense against big plays ranks 3rd in explosive-play rate (6.1% allowed, 181 plays faced) and faces a Eagles big-play offense ranked 20th (8.8%, 170 plays).
20thPHI offense17 spots apart3rdLAR defense

When the Rams have the ballNo big edge

LAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackPHI pass defense

17th+0.07119 dropbacks

+0.13 allowed98 dropbacks faced23rd

LAR run gameEPA per rushPHI run defense

20th-0.0873 rushes

+0.01 allowed88 rushes faced27th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Eagles have the ballEdge LAR · +19 ranks

PHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAR pass defense

23rd-0.06106 dropbacks

LAR +19

-0.10 allowed107 dropbacks faced4th

PHI run gameEPA per rushLAR run defense

9th-0.0264 rushes

PHI +14

-0.02 allowed74 rushes faced23rd

Third downEdge PHI · +13 ranks

LAR third-down offensethird-down conversion ratePHI third-down defense

11th44.1%34 third downs

39.0% allowed41 third downs faced12th

PHI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAR third-down defense

8th46.3%41 third downs

PHI +13

43.6% allowed39 third downs faced21st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge PHI · +8 ranks

LAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown ratePHI red-zone defense

26th45%11 trips

PHI +8

64% allowed11 trips faced18th

PHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAR red-zone defense

17th56%9 trips

63% allowed8 trips faced16th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge LAR · +17 ranks

LAR big-play offenseexplosive-play ratePHI defense against big plays

4th12.0%192 plays

LAR +8

8.6% allowed186 plays faced12th

PHI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAR defense against big plays

20th8.8%170 plays

LAR +17

6.1% allowed181 plays faced3rd

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge LAR · +21 ranks

LAR pass protectionsack ratePHI pass rush

7th4.2% sacked119 dropbacks

LAR +21

3.1% of dropbacks98 dropbacks faced28th

PHI pass protectionsack rateLAR pass rush

24th7.5% sacked106 dropbacks

2.8% of dropbacks107 dropbacks faced29th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge LAR · +10 ranks

LAR ball securityturnovers per gamePHI takeaway defense

26th2.0 giveaways a game3 games

0.0 takeaways a game3 games32nd

PHI ball securityturnovers per gameLAR takeaway defense

24th1.7 giveaways a game3 games

LAR +10

1.0 takeaways a game3 games14th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: LAR 3 games, 192 offensive and 181 defensive plays · PHI 3 games, 170 offensive and 186 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Tutu AtwellWR→ Davante Adams

Konata MumpfieldWR→ Puka Nacua

Ty HamiltonNT→ Poona Ford

Aaron DonaldRDE→ Kobie Turner

Omar SpeightsRILB→ Josaiah Stewart

Myles GarrettSLB→ Wesley Bailey

Joe MiltonQB→ Jalen Hurts

Saquon BarkleyRB→ Tank Bigsby

Hollywood BrownWR→ Dontayvion Wicks

Dallas GoedertTE→ Johnny Mundt

Landon DickersonLG→ Cam Jurgens

Byron YoungLDE→ Jordan Davis

Zack BaunLILB→ Jihaad Campbell

Jonathan GreenardSLB→ Jalyx Hunt

Quinyon MitchellRCB→ Michael Carter II

Marcus EppsSS→ Jonathan Jones

AwayRams1 next man up · 3 questionable · 6 changes

Official NFL and team channels · plays on click

The game on video

0:07

Quick hit37 d ago

Jalen Hurts getting everyone in order 😅

NFL

4:38

Interview35 d ago

"That's How We Do It!" | Kevin Dotson Mic'd Up For the Rams' Week 4 Win Over the Eagles

Los Angeles Rams

Context

Rest & travel, all 32 →

SpreadLAR −3.5LAR covered by 0.5

TotalO/U 42.5Over by 1.5 (44 scored)

Weather62°FRain, Humidity: 87%, Wind: NE 9 mph

VenueLincoln Financial FieldPhiladelphia, PA · Natural grass · Open air

Head coachesSean McVayvsNick SirianniConference game

BroadcastFox1 PM ET · Sun, Oct 4

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board

AwayRams

7days since last game

2,396miles to get here

3time zones

Last: Sun wk 3 at DEN (L 26-30) · Denver · 27,408 mi flown this season

Long tripBody clock 10:00 a.m.3 time zones

Rest edge+1LAR dayTravel gap 2,396 mi

HomeEagles

6days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Mon wk 3 at CHI (L 7-27) · Chicago · 10,006 mi flown this season

Normal week

Teams with more rest than their opponent are 34-12 in 2026 (46 games). After trips over 1,500 miles: 15-18 (33 games). Early body-clock kickoffs: 8-10 (18 games). All travel splits →