Titans 18, Ravens 24: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4 · M&T Bank StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
TEN	7	0	3	8	18
BAL	7	17	0	0	24

Home · 4-5BaltimoreRavens24

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:41 PM ET

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Tennessee Titans 24-18 on Sun, Oct 4 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD (Week 4, 2026 season). Records after the game: Titans 1-7, Ravens 4-5. L.Jackson (BAL) led all players with +12.0 EPA on 23 dropbacks.

Who won Titans vs Ravens?

The Baltimore Ravens won 24-18. By quarter: TEN 7-0-3-8, BAL 7-17-0-0.

Who was the best player in Titans vs Ravens?

By expected points added: L.Jackson (BAL, +12.0 EPA on 23 dropbacks), C.Tate (TEN, +6.7 EPA on 12 targets) and Z.Flowers (BAL, +4.3 EPA on 10 targets).

What was the turning point of Titans vs Ravens?

The biggest swing in win probability (7 points toward the Ravens) came in Q1 at 14:18: C.Ward pass short middle intended for T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by T.Simpson [M.Green] at BLT 39. T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (A.Schlottmann).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Titans 18, Ravens 24: Week 4 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-04-ten-at-bal (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 4 issue →

Week 4EarnedGame file →

Titans37% success · −0.21 EPA/play

1824

Ravens44% success · +0.17 EPA/play

TEN 0% deserveddeserved 100% BAL

Ravens earned it: the snaps said Ravens by 18.2, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginBAL by 18.2

Real marginBAL by 6

Luck pts TEN+0.6

Luck pts BAL0.0

The swingQ1 14:18 · TEN · −18 pts of win probability. 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).

Flags that moved this game

1Unnecessary RoughnessBAL → helped TEN · Wk 4 Q2 10:48 · (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-14-K.Hamilton, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 35 - No Play.+6.3 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceBAL → helped TEN · Wk 4 Q3 10:16 · (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 5-E.Ayomanor (3-C.Awuzie). PENALTY on BAL-3-C.Awuzie, Defensive Pass…+2.6 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA144 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 11 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewShawn Hochuli18 accepted flags in this game · 14.4 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: BAL by 11.5 · Snaps: BAL by 18.2Titans covered; the snaps say Ravens should have

18@24

Week 4Changes the winner

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Titans after the play30%what really happened

Q1 14:18 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).

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Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

BAL ▲TEN ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+7%Q1 14:18 · for BALC.Ward pass short middle intended for T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by T.Simpson [M.Green] at BLT 39. T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (A.Schlottmann).
+4%Q1 12:09 · for BAL(Shotgun) D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.
+3%Q2 10:48 · for TEN(Shotgun) PENALTY on BLT-K.Hamilton, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BLT 35 - No Play.
+3%Q2 9:01 · for BAL(Shotgun) T.Pollard left guard to BLT 2 for 1 yard (C.Awuzie).
+3%Q2 4:44 · for BAL(Shotgun) L.Jackson pass deep right to Z.Flowers to TEN 5 for 52 yards (C.Barton).

Every drive, on the field

BAL attacks →← TEN attacks

Q1 15:00INT2p · 15y · 0:52
Q1 14:08TD5p · 37y · 1:59
Q1 12:09TD10p · 70y · 6:13
Q1 5:56PUNT5p · 10y · 3:31
Q1 2:25PUNT4p · 10y · 2:18
Q1 0:07TD6p · 81y · 2:51
Q2 12:16DOWNS10p · 73y · 4:00
Q2 8:16TD8p · 98y · 4:44
Q2 3:32PUNT5p · 33y · 1:59
Q2 1:33PUNT4p · 7y · 0:40
Q2 0:53FUM2p · 33y · 0:18
Q2 0:35FG6p · 19y · 0:35
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 7y · 2:18
Q3 12:42FG10p · 76y · 5:50
Q3 6:52PUNT5p · 17y · 3:18
Q3 3:34PUNT3p · 0y · 1:35
Q3 1:59PUNT3p · -1y · 1:55
Q3 0:04PUNT3p · 7y · 1:03
Q4 14:01PUNT5p · 22y · 3:45
Q4 10:16PUNT3p · -3y · 0:37
Q4 9:39MISS11p · 53y · 6:20
Q4 3:19TD7p · 70y · 2:07
Q4 1:12END2p · -2y · 1:12

Titans11 drives3scoring drives (2 TD)27%drives ending in pointsOWN 22avg starting field position3three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Ravens11 drives4scoring drives (3 TD)36%drives ending in pointsOWN 30avg starting field position2three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
12:09Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.0–7
Q1
5:56TouchdownT.Pollard right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.7–7
Q2
12:16Touchdown(Shotgun) L.Jackson pass short middle to Z.Flowers for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.7–14
Q2
3:32TouchdownL.Jackson pass short middle to M.Andrews for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.7–21
Q2
0:00Field goalT.Loop 64 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.7–24
Q3
6:52Field goalJ.Slye 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.10–24
Q4
1:12Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to W.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. C.Ward pass to G.Helm is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.18–24

Team stats

TENvsBAL

297Total yards384

212Passing yards272

85Rushing yards112

5.1Yards per play6.3

21First downs19

2-10 · 20%Third down2-10 · 20%

1-2Fourth down1-1

2-4Red zone TDs3-3

20/31Comp / att23/29

3.3Yards per carry3.7

2Turnovers0

1 (−10 yds)Sacks allowed2 (−13 yds)

5 for 32Penalties13 for 131

26:52Possession33:08

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.137+0.166

Dropback EPA-0.112+0.389

Rush EPA-0.179-0.117

Success rate37%44%

Explosive plays58

Plays5959

Who moved the needle

L.JacksonDropbacks: 23+12.0

C.TateTargets: 12+6.7

Z.FlowersTargets: 10+4.3

M.AndrewsTargets: 6+1.8

T.HuntleyDropbacks: 10+0.8

J.HillTargets: 3+0.4

Cost their side the most

T.PollardTargets: 4-8.4

C.WardDropbacks: 37-4.2

D.HenryCarries: 23-3.3

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Cam WardQB	20/31	222	7.2	1	1	1-10	45.7	83.0

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tony PollardRB	16	48	3.0	1	7
Cam WardQB	4	27	6.8	0	22
Tyjae SpearsRB	2	7	3.5	0	8
Nicholas SingletonRB	3	2	0.7	0	2
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR	1	1	1.0	0	1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Carnell TateWR	9	12	145	16.1	0	33
Elic AyomanorWR	1	1	22	22.0	0	22
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR	3	5	19	6.3	1	12
Chimere DikeWR	1	1	15	15.0	0	15
Calvin RidleyWR	1	2	13	13.0	0	13
Gunnar HelmTE	1	1	5	5.0	0	5
Daniel BellingerTE	1	1	2	2.0	0	2
Tony PollardRB	2	4	2	1.0	0	2
Tyjae SpearsRB	1	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Cody BartonLB	8	4	0	0	0	0
Anthony Hill Jr.LB	8	3	0	0	0	0
Kevin Winston Jr.S	7	4	0	0	0	0
Amani HookerS	6	6	0	0	0	0
Alontae TaylorCB	6	4	0	1	0	0
Cedric GrayLB	5	3	0	1	0	0
Jermaine Johnson IIDE	4	2	1	2	0	1
John Franklin-MyersDE	4	2	0	1	0	0
Jeffery SimmonsDT	4	2	0	0	1	0
Marcus HarrisCB	4	1	0.5	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Joey SlyePK	1/1	100.0	33	1/1	4

Baltimore Ravens

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Lamar JacksonQB	15/20	222	11.1	2	0	2-13	74.0	144.2
Tyler HuntleyQB	8/9	63	7.0	0	0	0-0	74.5	95.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Derrick HenryRB	23	73	3.2	1	14
Lamar JacksonQB	2	20	10.0	0	17
Tyler HuntleyQB	4	16	4.0	0	9
Justice HillRB	1	3	3.0	0	3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Zay FlowersWR	8	10	118	14.8	1	52
Rashod BatemanWR	2	2	46	23.0	0	28
Matt HibnerTE	2	2	34	17.0	0	25
Mark AndrewsTE	5	6	27	5.4	1	7
Justice HillRB	2	3	22	11.0	0	15
Devontez WalkerWR	1	2	19	19.0	0	19
Elijah SarrattWR	1	2	13	13.0	0	13
Derrick HenryRB	2	2	6	3.0	0	9

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Trenton SimpsonLB	9	2	0	1	0
Kyle HamiltonS	7	6	1	1	0
Malaki StarksS	6	6	0	0	0
Chidobe AwuzieCB	6	4	0	1	0
Roquan SmithLB	6	1	0	0	0
Chandler RiversCB	5	5	1	0	0
Nnamdi MadubuikeDT	4	3	0	0	2
Jaylinn HawkinsS	4	2	0	0	0
John JenkinsDT	2	1	0	0	0
Marlon HumphreyCB	2	1	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Tyler LoopPK	1/2	50.0	64	3/3	6

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 3 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Ravens dropback offense vs Titans pass defense
The Ravens' dropback offense ranks 2nd in EPA per dropback (+0.34, 88 dropbacks) against a Titans pass defense ranked 22nd (+0.13 allowed, 94 dropbacks faced).
2ndBAL offense20 spots apart22ndTEN defense
2Titans run game vs Ravens run defense
The Titans' run game ranks 8th in EPA per rush (-0.01, 58 rushes) against a Ravens run defense ranked 28th (+0.02 allowed, 70 rushes faced).
8thTEN offense20 spots apart28thBAL defense
3Titans pass protection vs Ravens pass rush
The Titans' pass protection ranks 11th in sack rate (5.1% sacked, 99 dropbacks) against a Ravens pass rush ranked 23rd (5.0% of dropbacks, 119 dropbacks faced).
11thTEN offense12 spots apart23rdBAL defense

When the Titans have the ballEdge TEN · +20 ranks

TEN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBAL pass defense

26th-0.1099 dropbacks

BAL +11

+0.02 allowed119 dropbacks faced15th

TEN run gameEPA per rushBAL run defense

8th-0.0158 rushes

TEN +20

+0.02 allowed70 rushes faced28th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Ravens have the ballEdge BAL · +20 ranks

BAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackTEN pass defense

2nd+0.3488 dropbacks

BAL +20

+0.13 allowed94 dropbacks faced22nd

BAL run gameEPA per rushTEN run defense

5th+0.0485 rushes

BAL +11

-0.06 allowed95 rushes faced16th

Third downNo big edge

TEN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBAL third-down defense

18th39.5%38 third downs

42.1% allowed38 third downs faced18th

BAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateTEN third-down defense

19th38.5%26 third downs

40.5% allowed42 third downs faced15th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge BAL · +8 ranks

TEN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBAL red-zone defense

22nd50%8 trips

BAL +8

58% allowed12 trips faced14th

BAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateTEN red-zone defense

9th67%12 trips

44% allowed9 trips faced9th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge BAL · +9 ranks

TEN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBAL defense against big plays

24th7.6%157 plays

9.5% allowed189 plays faced18th

BAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateTEN defense against big plays

2nd14.5%173 plays

BAL +9

8.5% allowed189 plays faced11th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge TEN · +12 ranks

TEN pass protectionsack rateBAL pass rush

11th5.1% sacked99 dropbacks

TEN +12

5.0% of dropbacks119 dropbacks faced23rd

BAL pass protectionsack rateTEN pass rush

15th5.7% sacked88 dropbacks

6.4% of dropbacks94 dropbacks faced16th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge BAL · +15 ranks

TEN ball securityturnovers per gameBAL takeaway defense

1st0.3 giveaways a game3 games

TEN +13

1.0 takeaways a game3 games14th

BAL ball securityturnovers per gameTEN takeaway defense

7th0.7 giveaways a game3 games

BAL +15

0.7 takeaways a game3 games22nd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: TEN 3 games, 157 offensive and 189 defensive plays · BAL 3 games, 173 offensive and 189 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Solomon ThomasRDT→ Jeffery Simmons

Joshua WilliamsLCB→ Alontae Taylor

Tony AdamsSS→ Amani Hooker

Jacoby BrissettQB→ Lamar Jackson

Ja'Kobi LaneWR→ Devontez Walker

Cam JurgensC→ Emery Jones Jr.

Trey HendricksonSLB→ Tavius Robinson

Marlon HumphreyRCB→ Chidobe Awuzie

AwayTitans4 questionable · 3 changes