Chargers 23, Seahawks 30: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4 · Lumen FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
LAC	3	3	7	10	23
SEA	7	13	10	0	30

Home · 5-4SeattleSeahawks30

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

The Seattle Seahawks beat the Los Angeles Chargers 30-23 on Sun, Oct 4 at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA (Week 4, 2026 season). Records after the game: Chargers 0-8, Seahawks 5-4. K.Mitchell (LAC) led all players with +3.7 EPA on 6 targets.

Who won Chargers vs Seahawks?

The Seattle Seahawks won 30-23. By quarter: LAC 3-3-7-10, SEA 7-13-10-0.

Who was the best player in Chargers vs Seahawks?

By expected points added: K.Mitchell (LAC, +3.7 EPA on 6 targets), J.Smith-Njigba (SEA, +3.5 EPA on 6 targets) and O.Hampton (LAC, +3.4 EPA on 9 carries).

What was the turning point of Chargers vs Seahawks?

The biggest swing in win probability (10 points toward the Seahawks) came in Q1 at 10:13: M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-C.Stoll. D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Chargers 23, Seahawks 30: Week 4 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-04-lac-at-sea (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 4 issue →

Week 4Coin flipGame file →

Chargers40% success · −0.06 EPA/play

2330

Seahawks39% success · −0.13 EPA/play

LAC 63% deserveddeserved 38% SEA

Seahawks won as the underdog of the snaps: 38%, with Chargers better by 1.7.

Deserved marginLAC by 1.7

Real marginSEA by 7

Luck pts LAC−3.3

Luck pts SEA+3.1

The swingQ1 10:13 · SEA · +16 pts of win probability. 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.

Flags that moved this game

1Unnecessary RoughnessLAC → helped SEA · Wk 4 Q4 1:03 · (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -9 yards (7-U.Nwosu). FUMBLES (7-U.Nwosu) [7-U.Nwosu], RECOVERED by…+7.0 WP
2Intentional GroundingSEA → helped LAC · Wk 4 Q1 10:23 · (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left [45-T.Tuipulotu]. PENALTY on SEA-14-S.Darnold, Intentional Grounding, 10…+5.5 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1SEA · 4th & 3Mike Macdonald chose Punt at own 44, Wk 4 Q2 2:00, up 10. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.58 EP
2LAC · 4th & 3Jim Harbaugh chose Punt at own 38, Wk 4 Q1 8:20, down 4. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.42 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA153 plays, one strand1 lead change · 13 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewScott Novak30 accepted flags in this game · 18.2 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: SEA by 7 · Snaps: LAC by 1.7A push against the line; the snaps say Chargers should have

23@30

Week 4

If the Chargers had recovered that fumble

Chargers after the play6%what really happened

Q3 4:48 23-E.Wilson up the middle to SEA 33 for 2 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu). FUMBLES (45-T.Tuipulotu), and recovers at SEA 35.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

SEA ▲LAC ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+10%Q1 10:13 · for SEAM.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-C.Stoll. D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.
+8%Q1 14:46 · for LACS.Darnold pass short left intended for E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (E.Wilson).
+6%Q1 14:53 · for SEAJ.Herbert pass short middle intended for O.Gadsden INTERCEPTED by D.Thomas at LAC 45. D.Thomas to LAC 45 for no gain (O.Gadsden).
+5%Q2 8:55 · for SEA(Shotgun) S.Darnold pass deep right to J.Smith-Njigba to LAC 43 for 28 yards (G.Smith) [T.Tart].
+5%Q2 1:29 · for SEA(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Herbert pass short right intended for L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by E.Jones at LAC 40. E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (K.Vidal; J.Herbert).

Every drive, on the field

SEA attacks →← LAC attacks

Q1 15:00INT1p · 0y · 0:14
Q1 14:46INT1p · 0y · 0:08
Q1 14:38FG8p · 30y · 2:44
Q1 11:54PUNT3p · -3y · 1:51
Q1 10:03TD1p · 23y · 0:08
Q1 9:55PUNT3p · 7y · 1:41
Q1 8:14PUNT5p · 19y · 3:12
Q1 5:02PUNT5p · 22y · 2:30
Q1 2:32PUNT3p · 5y · 1:27
Q1 1:05PUNT3p · -1y · 1:54
Q2 14:11PUNT5p · 24y · 2:27
Q2 11:44PUNT3p · 6y · 1:21
Q2 10:23TD7p · 65y · 4:11
Q2 6:12PUNT3p · -9y · 2:46
Q2 3:26PUNT3p · 7y · 1:36
Q2 1:50INT2p · 2y · 0:30
Q2 1:20TD2p · 20y · 0:37
Q2 0:43FG5p · 45y · 0:43
Q3 15:00TD8p · 68y · 4:37
Q3 10:23TD11p · 81y · 5:30
Q3 4:53FG9p · 52y · 3:34
Q3 1:19TD16p · 85y · 8:31
Q4 7:48PUNT5p · 18y · 3:47
Q4 4:01FG8p · 74y · 1:47
Q4 2:14PUNT5p · 5y · 0:32
Q4 1:42FUM3p · 9y · 0:48
Q4 0:54END2p · -2y · 0:54

Chargers13 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 25avg starting field position4three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Seahawks13 drives5scoring drives (4 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 40avg starting field position3three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
11:54Field goalC.Dicker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.3–0
Q1
9:55Touchdown(Shotgun) S.Darnold pass short right to E.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.3–7
Q2
6:12TouchdownR.Shaheed left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.3–13
Q2
0:43Touchdown(Shotgun) E.Wilson left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.3–20
Q2
0:00Field goalC.Dicker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.6–20
Q3
10:23TouchdownJ.Jones reported in as eligible. S.Darnold pass short right to T.Horton for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.6–27
Q3
4:53Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Herbert pass short middle to K.Vidal for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The touchdown was assisted by replay. C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.13–27
Q3
1:19Field goalJ.Myers 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.13–30
Q4
7:48TouchdownO.Hampton left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.20–30
Q4
2:14Field goalC.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.23–30

Team stats

LACvsSEA

301Total yards286

154Passing yards148

147Rushing yards138

4.4Yards per play4.9

20First downs19

5-15 · 33%Third down3-12 · 25%

2-2Fourth down0-0

2-3Red zone TDs2-4

19/32Comp / att13/22

4.6Yards per carry4.2

4Turnovers1

4 (−35 yds)Sacks allowed3 (−20 yds)

16 for 130Penalties14 for 150

30:59Possession29:01

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.085-0.088

Dropback EPA-0.198-0.164

Rush EPA+0.086-0.023

Success rate40%39%

Explosive plays77

Plays6856

Who moved the needle

K.MitchellTargets: 6+3.7

J.Smith-NjigbaTargets: 6+3.5

O.HamptonCarries: 9+3.4

T.HarrisTargets: 5+2.4

K.VidalTargets: 3+1.3

K.VidalCarries: 5+1.0

Cost their side the most

J.HerbertDropbacks: 40-7.6

O.GadsdenTargets: 8-4.9

S.DarnoldDropbacks: 26-4.3

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Justin HerbertQB	19/31	189	6.1	1	2	4-35	37.9	62.4
Tre' HarrisWR	0/1	0	0.0	0	0	0-0	24.2	39.6

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Omarion HamptonRB	9	45	5.0	1	15
Justin HerbertQB	6	40	6.7	0	26
Keaton MitchellRB	10	39	3.9	0	20
Kimani VidalRB	5	25	5.0	0	9
Oronde GadsdenTE	1	2	2.0	0	2
Quentin JohnstonWR	1	-4	-4.0	0	-4

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tre' HarrisWR	3	5	60	20.0	0	26
Quentin JohnstonWR	1	2	44	44.0	0	44
Oronde GadsdenTE	5	8	36	7.2	0	9
Keaton MitchellRB	5	6	24	4.8	0	14
Kimani VidalRB	2	3	11	5.5	1	9
Omarion HamptonRB	2	2	8	4.0	0	5
Derius DavisWR	1	1	6	6.0	0	6
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Justin HerbertQB	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Ladd McConkeyWR	0	2	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Khalil MackLB	6	4	1	2	0	1
Tuli TuipulotuLB	6	3	0.5	1	1	2
Akheem MesidorLB	6	2	0	0	0	0
Daiyan HenleyLB	5	3	0	1	0	1
Elijah MoldenCB	5	3	0	1	0	0
Teair TartDT	5	3	0	0	0	2
Del'Shawn PhillipsLB	5	2	0	0	0	0
Troy DyeLB	3	2	1	1	0	1
Tony JeffersonS	3	2	0	1	0	0
Cam HartCB	3	1	0	0	1	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Cameron DickerPK	3/3	100.0	40	2/2	11

Seattle Seahawks

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Sam DarnoldQB	13/22	168	7.6	2	1	3-20	23.3	94.5

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Emanuel WilsonRB	21	81	3.9	1	15
Rashid ShaheedWR	2	33	16.5	1	28
George HolaniRB	7	18	2.6	0	9
Sam DarnoldQB	3	6	2.0	0	8

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR	5	6	76	15.2	0	28
Emanuel WilsonRB	3	4	39	13.0	1	23
Rashid ShaheedWR	1	3	20	20.0	0	20
Cooper KuppWR	1	2	13	13.0	0	13
AJ BarnerTE	1	3	12	12.0	0	12
Tory HortonWR	1	1	6	6.0	1	6
George HolaniRB	1	1	2	2.0	0	2

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Ernest Jones IVLB	12	6	1	1	1	1
Nick EmmanworiS	9	8	1	2	1	2
Devon WitherspoonCB	9	8	0	1	0	0
Rodney Thomas IIS	6	6	0	0	0	0
Drake ThomasLB	5	4	0	1	1	1
Julian LoveS	5	3	0	0	1	0
DeMarcus LawrenceLB	3	3	0	2	0	0
Uchenna NwosuLB	3	2	1	1	0	3
Josh JobeCB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Mike MorrisDE	2	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jason MyersPK	1/1	100.0	35	3/4	6

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 3 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Seahawks run defense vs Chargers run game
The Seahawks' run defense ranks 1st in EPA per rush (-0.35 allowed, 69 rushes faced) and faces a Chargers run game ranked 29th (-0.27, 73 rushes).
29thLAC offense28 spots apart1stSEA defense
2Seahawks third-down defense vs Chargers third-down offense
The Seahawks' third-down defense ranks 3rd in third-down conversion rate (29.3% allowed, 41 third downs faced) and faces a Chargers third-down offense ranked 26th (35.1%, 37 third downs).
26thLAC offense23 spots apart3rdSEA defense
3Seahawks dropback offense vs Chargers pass defense
The Seahawks' dropback offense ranks 5th in EPA per dropback (+0.29, 101 dropbacks) against a Chargers pass defense ranked 24th (+0.14 allowed, 102 dropbacks faced).
5thSEA offense19 spots apart24thLAC defense

When the Chargers have the ballEdge SEA · +28 ranks

LAC dropback offenseEPA per dropbackSEA pass defense

28th-0.13104 dropbacks

SEA +18

-0.03 allowed108 dropbacks faced10th

LAC run gameEPA per rushSEA run defense

29th-0.2773 rushes

SEA +28

-0.35 allowed69 rushes faced1st

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Seahawks have the ballEdge SEA · +19 ranks

SEA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAC pass defense

5th+0.29101 dropbacks

SEA +19

+0.14 allowed102 dropbacks faced24th

SEA run gameEPA per rushLAC run defense

28th-0.2677 rushes

LAC +16

-0.12 allowed86 rushes faced12th

Third downEdge SEA · +23 ranks

LAC third-down offensethird-down conversion rateSEA third-down defense

26th35.1%37 third downs

SEA +23

29.3% allowed41 third downs faced3rd

SEA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAC third-down defense

24th36.4%33 third downs

42.1% allowed38 third downs faced18th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge

LAC red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateSEA red-zone defense

17th56%9 trips

67% allowed6 trips faced19th

SEA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAC red-zone defense

15th58%12 trips

58% allowed12 trips faced14th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge SEA · +13 ranks

LAC big-play offenseexplosive-play rateSEA defense against big plays

15th9.0%177 plays

SEA +13

4.0% allowed177 plays faced2nd

SEA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAC defense against big plays

13th9.6%178 plays

9.0% allowed188 plays faced14th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge SEA · +10 ranks

LAC pass protectionsack rateSEA pass rush

25th7.7% sacked104 dropbacks

SEA +10

6.5% of dropbacks108 dropbacks faced15th

SEA pass protectionsack rateLAC pass rush

4th3.0% sacked101 dropbacks

6.9% of dropbacks102 dropbacks faced11th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge LAC · +17 ranks

LAC ball securityturnovers per gameSEA takeaway defense

26th2.0 giveaways a game3 games

SEA +16

1.3 takeaways a game3 games10th

SEA ball securityturnovers per gameLAC takeaway defense

19th1.3 giveaways a game3 games

LAC +17

2.0 takeaways a game3 games2nd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: LAC 3 games, 177 offensive and 188 defensive plays · SEA 3 games, 178 offensive and 177 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Scott MatlockFB→ Keaton Mitchell

Charlie KolarTE→ Oronde Gadsden

Joe AltLT→ Rashawn Slater

Kayode AwosikaLG→ Trevor Penning

Marlowe WaxLILB→ Daiyan Henley

Donte JacksonRCB→ Genesis Smith

Drew LockQB→ Sam Darnold

Zach CharbonnetRB→ Emanuel Wilson

Brady RussellFB→ George Holani

Josh JonesLT→ Charles Cross

Anthony BradfordRG→ Christian Haynes