The New York Giants beat the Arizona Cardinals 36-24 on Sun, Oct 4 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (Week 4, 2026 season). Records after the game: Cardinals 3-6, Giants 5-2-1. M.Nabers (NYG) led all players with +10.9 EPA on 7 targets.
Who won Cardinals vs Giants?
The New York Giants won 36-24. By quarter: ARI 14-3-7-0, NYG 3-16-8-9.
Who was the best player in Cardinals vs Giants?
By expected points added: M.Nabers (NYG, +10.9 EPA on 7 targets), M.Fields (NYG, +4.7 EPA on 3 targets) and J.Winston (NYG, +3.9 EPA on 34 dropbacks).
What was the turning point of Cardinals vs Giants?
The biggest swing in win probability (45 points toward the Giants) came in Q4 at 0:00: (Shotgun) J.Brissett pass short left intended for Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by D.Banks at NYG 2. D.Banks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Giants earned it: the snaps said Giants by 10.5, a deserved win probability of 97%.
Deserved marginNYG by 10.5
Real marginNYG by 12
Luck pts ARI+0.2
Luck pts NYGβ3.6
The swingQ2 3:15 Β· ARI Β· β22 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 52-A.Reese (93-S.Harris) at ARI 34. 52-A.Reese to ARI 26 for 8 yards (74-I.Adams).
Flags that moved this game
1Defensive HoldingARI β helped NYG Β· Wk 4 Q3 2:34 Β· 34-D.Zvada 34 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. PENALTY on ARI-55-D.Stills,β¦+11.1 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceNYG β helped ARI Β· Wk 4 Q4 0:27 Β· (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep left to 18-M.Harrison. PENALTY on NYG-2-D.Banks, Defensive Passβ¦+10.4 WP
Fourth downs our model disagreed with
1NYG Β· 4th & 3John Harbaugh chose Punt at own 32, Wk 4 Q2 10:07, down 8. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.β0.31 EP
Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge
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NYG β²ARI βΌ
Q1Q2Q3Q4
The five biggest swings
+45%Q4 0:00 Β· for NYG (Shotgun) J.Brissett pass short left intended for Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by D.Banks at NYG 2. D.Banks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+38%Q4 0:27 Β· for ARI(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Brissett pass incomplete deep left to M.Harrison.PENALTY on NYG-D.Banks, Defensive Pass Interference, 18 yards, enforced at NYG 22 - No Play.
+16%Q4 0:14 Β· for NYG (Shotgun) J.Brissett pass incomplete short left to T.McBride (D.Banks).
+14%Q3 5:47 Β· for NYG(Shotgun) J.Winston pass deep left to M.Fields pushed ob at ARZ 18 for 40 yards (W.Williams).
+13%Q4 11:14 Β· for ARIN.Harris left guard to ARZ 41 for 2 yards (Ma.Wilson; D.Stills). FUMBLES (Ma.Wilson), RECOVERED by ARZ-Z.Collins at ARZ 42.
Every drive, on the field
NYG attacks ββ ARI attacks
NYGARI102030405040302010
Q1 15:00TD8p Β· 58y Β· 3:52
Q1 11:08FG10p Β· 56y Β· 4:32
Q1 6:36TD6p Β· 74y Β· 3:31
Q1 3:05FG6p Β· 13y Β· 3:10
Q2 14:55INT2p Β· -3y Β· 0:59
Q2 13:56PUNT3p Β· 5y Β· 0:56
Q2 13:00PUNT3p Β· 4y Β· 1:37
Q2 11:23PUNT3p Β· 7y Β· 1:24
Q2 9:59PUNT3p Β· 2y Β· 1:32
Q2 8:27TD7p Β· 56y Β· 3:57
Q2 4:30INT3p Β· 8y Β· 1:21
Q2 3:09TD2p Β· 26y Β· 0:45
Q2 2:24PUNT3p Β· -16y Β· 1:21
Q2 1:03INT4p Β· 14y Β· 0:39
Q2 0:24FG4p Β· 33y Β· 0:24
Q3 15:00INT3p Β· -3y Β· 2:31
Q3 12:29TD10p Β· 37y Β· 5:09
Q3 7:20TD9p Β· 76y Β· 5:36
Q3 1:44PUNT4p Β· 9y Β· 2:49
Q4 13:55FUM5p Β· 42y Β· 2:47
Q4 11:08PUNT3p Β· 3y Β· 1:48
Q4 9:20PUNT5p Β· 17y Β· 3:20
Q4 6:00PUNT3p Β· 3y Β· 1:13
Q4 4:47FG7p Β· 16y Β· 2:36
Q4 2:11INT12p Β· 63y Β· 2:11
Cardinals13 drives5scoring drives (4 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 31avg starting field position5three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs
Giants12 drives6scoring drives (3 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 37avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs
Scoring summary
Q1 11:08TouchdownJ.Brissett pass short left to M.Harrison for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.7β0
Q1 6:36Field goalD.Zvada 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.7β3
Q1 3:05TouchdownT.Allgeier left tackle for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.14β3
Q2 14:55Field goalD.Zvada 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.14β6
Q2 4:30Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Winston pass short right to M.Fields for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. J.Winston pass to C.Manhertz is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.14β12
Q2 2:24Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Winston pass deep middle to M.Nabers for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN [D.Stills]. D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.14β19
Q2 0:00Field goalC.Ryland 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.17β19
Q3 7:20TouchdownJ.Brissett pass short middle to E.Higgins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.24β19
Q3 1:44Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Winston pass short middle to T.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. N.Harris rushes left end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.24β27
Q4 2:11Field goalD.Zvada 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.24β30
Q4 0:00Touchdown (Shotgun) J.Brissett pass short left intended for Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by D.Banks at NYG 2. D.Banks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.24β36
A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.
Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.
Pressure & sacksEdge ARI Β· +25 ranks
ARI pass protectionsack rateNYG pass rush
6th4.1% sacked123 dropbacks
ARI +25
1.0% of dropbacks104 dropbacks faced31st
NYG pass protectionsack rateARI pass rush
23rd7.5% sacked93 dropbacks
4.4% of dropbacks90 dropbacks faced24th
Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.
TurnoversEdge ARI Β· +9 ranks
ARI ball securityturnovers per gameNYG takeaway defense
1st0.3 giveaways a game3 games
ARI +9
1.3 takeaways a game3 games10th
NYG ball securityturnovers per gameARI takeaway defense
7th0.7 giveaways a game3 games
1.0 takeaways a game3 games14th
Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.
Sample: ARI 3 games, 196 offensive and 167 defensive plays Β· NYG 3 games, 177 offensive and 165 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.
Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.
Expected, did not startCarson BeckQBβ Jacoby BrissettReggie VirgilWRβ Michael WilsonSimi FehokoWRβ Marvin Harrison Jr.Devin DuvernayWRβ Kendrick BourneJayden WilliamsLTβ Paris Johnson Jr.Kalen KingLCBβ Garrett WilliamsAndrew WingardFSβ Wydett Williams Jr.J.J. McCarthyQBβ Jameis WinstonDevin SingletaryRBβ Cam SkatteboAaron StinnieRGβ Francis MauigoaMicah McFaddenRILBβ Tremaine EdmundsAr'Darius WashingtonSSβ Tyler Nubin