Steelers 24, Browns 27: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 4 · Thu, Oct 1 · Huntington Bank FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
PIT	7	3	0	14	24
CLE	0	21	0	6	27

Home · 5-4ClevelandBrowns27

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

The Cleveland Browns beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24 on Thu, Oct 1 at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH (Week 4, 2026 season). Records after the game: Steelers 6-2, Browns 5-4. D.Watson (CLE) led all players with +11.2 EPA on 37 dropbacks.

Who won Steelers vs Browns?

The Cleveland Browns won 27-24. By quarter: PIT 7-3-0-14, CLE 0-21-0-6.

Who was the best player in Steelers vs Browns?

By expected points added: D.Watson (CLE, +11.2 EPA on 37 dropbacks), D.Metcalf (PIT, +5.6 EPA on 9 targets) and R.Wilson (PIT, +5.5 EPA on 6 targets).

What was the turning point of Steelers vs Browns?

The biggest swing in win probability (49 points toward the Browns) came in Q4 at 0:10: A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Steelers 24, Browns 27: Week 4 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-01-pit-at-cle (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 4 issue →

Week 4EarnedGame file →

Steelers47% success · +0.07 EPA/play

2427

Browns48% success · +0.12 EPA/play

PIT 32% deserveddeserved 68% CLE

Browns earned it: the snaps said Browns by 2.6, a deserved win probability of 68%.

Deserved marginCLE by 2.6

Real marginCLE by 3

Luck pts PIT−1.5

Luck pts CLE+2.0

The swingQ4 0:15 · CLE · +22 pts of win probability. 25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Flags that moved this game

1Roughing the PasserCLE → helped PIT · Wk 4 Q1 5:49 · (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 11-M.Pittman to CLE 35 for 9 yards (21-D.Ward). PENALTY on CLE-96-M.Collins, Roughing…+12.3 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceCLE → helped PIT · Wk 4 Q4 1:51 · (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 80-D.Washington (28-E.McNeil-Warren). PENALTY on CLE-28-E.McNeil-Warren,…+10.7 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1CLE · 4th & 1Todd Monken chose Punt at own 25, Wk 4 Q1 12:59, tied. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.18 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA155 plays, one strand1 lead change · 12 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewClete Blakeman22 accepted flags in this game · 15.8 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: PIT by 2.5 · Snaps: CLE by 2.6Browns covered; the snaps agree

24@27

Week 4Changes the winner

If the 56-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime

Steelers after the play9%what really happened

Q4 0:15 25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

CLE ▲PIT ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+49%Q4 0:10 · for CLEA.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
+20%Q4 1:00 · for CLE(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin pushed ob at 50 for 12 yards (J.Brisker).
+19%Q4 1:42 · for PITC.Boswell kicks 65 yards from PIT 35 to CLV 0. R.Sanders to CLV 26 for 26 yards (L.Nichols).
+16%Q4 1:51 · for PIT(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to D.Washington (E.McNeil-Warren).PENALTY on CLV-E.McNeil-Warren, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, enforced at CLV 11 - No Play.
+16%Q4 0:38 · for PIT(Shotgun) D.Watson sacked at PIT 38 for -4 yards (P.Wilson).

Every drive, on the field

CLE attacks →← PIT attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 9y · 2:13
Q1 12:47TD17p · 78y · 9:48
Q1 2:59PUNT4p · 22y · 1:38
Q1 1:21INT4p · 28y · 2:10
Q2 14:11TD4p · 56y · 1:57
Q2 12:14PUNT3p · 5y · 1:36
Q2 10:38TD4p · 74y · 2:10
Q2 8:28MISS7p · 35y · 3:07
Q2 5:21TD11p · 62y · 3:59
Q2 1:22FG6p · 59y · 1:14
Q2 0:08HALF1p · -1y · 0:08
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 0y · 1:38
Q3 13:22PUNT5p · 8y · 3:12
Q3 10:10PUNT3p · 2y · 1:32
Q3 8:38FUM8p · 34y · 4:25
Q3 4:13PUNT5p · 5y · 3:00
Q3 1:13INT4p · 15y · 2:02
Q4 14:11TD6p · 77y · 4:01
Q4 10:10FG7p · 40y · 3:33
Q4 6:37PUNT3p · 5y · 1:06
Q4 5:31PUNT5p · 18y · 1:59
Q4 3:32TD8p · 80y · 1:50
Q4 1:42FG7p · 36y · 1:32
Q4 0:10INT1p · 0y · 0:09
Q4 0:01END1p · -1y · 0:01

Steelers12 drives4scoring drives (3 TD)33%drives ending in pointsOWN 29avg starting field position4three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Browns11 drives5scoring drives (3 TD)45%drives ending in pointsOWN 24avg starting field position1three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
2:59Touchdown(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short middle to R.Wilson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.7–0
Q2
12:14Touchdown(Shotgun) J.McLaughlin right end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.7–7
Q2
8:28TouchdownZ.Zinter reported in as eligible. Q.Judkins right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.7–14
Q2
1:22Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to H.Fannin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on PIT-T.Watt, Defensive Offside, declined. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.7–21
Q2
0:08Field goalC.Boswell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.10–21
Q4
10:10Touchdown(Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass deep middle to D.Washington for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. A.Rodgers pass to J.Warren is complete. ATTEMPT FAILS. ** Injury Update: CLV-G.Delpit has returned to the game.16–21
Q4
6:37Field goal A.Szmyt 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.16–24
Q4
1:42TouchdownA.Rodgers pass short right to P.Freiermuth for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. A.Rodgers rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.24–24
Q4
0:10Field goalA.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.24–27

Team stats

PITvsCLE

361Total yards372

269Passing yards260

92Rushing yards112

5.6Yards per play6.0

24First downs22

4-13 · 31%Third down4-10 · 40%

0-0Fourth down0-0

2-3Red zone TDs2-2

22/40Comp / att24/33

4.8Yards per carry4.1

2Turnovers2

5 (−30 yds)Sacks allowed2 (−8 yds)

8 for 50Penalties14 for 88

31:11Possession28:49

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.071+0.099

Dropback EPA+0.053+0.303

Rush EPA+0.112-0.228

Success rate47%48%

Explosive plays75

Plays6660

Who moved the needle

D.WatsonDropbacks: 37+11.2

D.MetcalfTargets: 9+5.6

R.WilsonTargets: 6+5.5

H.FanninTargets: 5+3.3

Q.JudkinsTargets: 7+2.8

K.ConcepcionTargets: 8+2.5

Cost their side the most

D.WatsonCarries: 5-5.8

Q.JudkinsCarries: 17-2.1

M.PittmanTargets: 4-0.3

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Aaron RodgersQB	22/40	299	7.5	3	2	5-30	50.5	83.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jaylen WarrenRB	17	93	5.5	0	24
Travis HomerRB	2	-1	-0.5	0	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
DK MetcalfWR	5	9	115	23.0	0	43
Roman WilsonWR	3	6	74	24.7	1	49
Jaylen WarrenRB	3	6	33	11.0	0	13
Darnell WashingtonTE	3	5	27	9.0	1	21
Pat FreiermuthTE	3	5	17	5.7	1	9
Michael Pittman Jr.WR	2	4	15	7.5	0	9
Germie BernardWR	2	2	11	5.5	0	6
Ben SkowronekWR	1	2	7	7.0	0	7

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Payton WilsonLB	9	7	1	1	0	1
Robert Spears-JenningsS	7	6	0	0	2	0
Jaquan BriskerS	7	4	0	0	0	0
Cameron HeywardDT	7	3	0	0	0	1
Patrick QueenLB	5	3	0	0	0	0
Yahya BlackDE	5	2	0	0	0	0
T.J. WattLB	4	4	1	2	1	2
Daylen EveretteCB	3	3	0	0	1	0
Asante Samuel Jr.CB	3	2	0	0	1	0
Keeanu BentonDT	3	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Chris BoswellPK	1/2	50.0	31	1/1	4

Cleveland Browns

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Deshaun WatsonQB	24/33	268	8.1	1	1	2-8	61.1	94.0

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Quinshon JudkinsRB	17	53	3.1	1	9
Jaleel McLaughlinRB	1	28	28.0	1	28
Deshaun WatsonQB	7	22	3.1	0	21
Raheim SandersRB	2	9	4.5	0	6

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Denzel BostonWR	4	7	89	22.3	0	60
KC ConcepcionWR	5	8	64	12.8	0	25
Quinshon JudkinsRB	6	7	43	7.2	0	12
Jerry JeudyWR	3	3	36	12.0	0	17
Harold Fannin Jr.TE	3	5	27	9.0	1	13
Raheim SandersRB	2	2	7	3.5	0	5
Isaiah BondWR	1	1	2	2.0	0	2

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Carson SchwesingerLB	9	3	0	0	0	0
Tyson CampbellCB	7	6	0	0	1	0
Grant DelpitS	6	4	0	0	1	0
Ronnie HickmanS	5	1	0	0	1	0
Denzel WardCB	4	3	0	0	1	1
Maliek CollinsDT	4	2	1	2	0	1
Adin HuntingtonDE	4	1	1	1	0	3
Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS	4	1	0	0	2	0
Quincy WilliamsLB	4	0	0	0	1	0
Isaiah McGuireDE	3	2	1	1	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Andre SzmytPK	2/2	100.0	56	3/3	9

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 3 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Steelers pass rush vs Browns pass protection
The Steelers' pass rush ranks 4th in sack rate (8.6% of dropbacks, 93 dropbacks faced) and faces a Browns pass protection ranked 30th (8.7% sacked, 104 dropbacks).
30thCLE offense26 spots apart4thPIT defense
2Steelers third-down defense vs Browns third-down offense
The Steelers' third-down defense ranks 8th in third-down conversion rate (36.1% allowed, 36 third downs faced) and faces a Browns third-down offense ranked 31st (30.6%, 36 third downs).
31stCLE offense23 spots apart8thPIT defense
3Browns pass defense vs Steelers dropback offense
The Browns' pass defense ranks 17th in EPA per dropback (+0.03 allowed, 114 dropbacks faced) and faces a Steelers dropback offense ranked 30th (-0.22, 125 dropbacks).
30thPIT offense13 spots apart17thCLE defense

When the Steelers have the ballEdge CLE · +13 ranks

PIT dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCLE pass defense

30th-0.22125 dropbacks

CLE +13

+0.03 allowed114 dropbacks faced17th

PIT run gameEPA per rushCLE run defense

15th-0.0659 rushes

-0.06 allowed75 rushes faced17th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Browns have the ballEdge PIT · +9 ranks

CLE dropback offenseEPA per dropbackPIT pass defense

16th+0.09104 dropbacks

-0.04 allowed93 dropbacks faced9th

CLE run gameEPA per rushPIT run defense

31st-0.3260 rushes

PIT +9

-0.03 allowed71 rushes faced22nd

Third downEdge PIT · +23 ranks

PIT third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCLE third-down defense

29th33.3%36 third downs

CLE +16

40.0% allowed40 third downs faced13th

CLE third-down offensethird-down conversion ratePIT third-down defense

31st30.6%36 third downs

PIT +23

36.1% allowed36 third downs faced8th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge PIT · +24 ranks

PIT red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCLE red-zone defense

29th33%6 trips

CLE +19

50% allowed8 trips faced10th

CLE red-zone offensered-zone touchdown ratePIT red-zone defense

28th38%8 trips

PIT +24

33% allowed3 trips faced4th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge PIT · +9 ranks

PIT big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCLE defense against big plays

21st8.7%184 plays

PIT +9

12.2% allowed189 plays faced30th

CLE big-play offenseexplosive-play ratePIT defense against big plays

27th7.3%164 plays

12.2% allowed164 plays faced31st

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge PIT · +26 ranks

PIT pass protectionsack rateCLE pass rush

19th6.4% sacked125 dropbacks

6.1% of dropbacks114 dropbacks faced18th

CLE pass protectionsack ratePIT pass rush

30th8.7% sacked104 dropbacks

PIT +26

8.6% of dropbacks93 dropbacks faced4th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

PIT ball securityturnovers per gameCLE takeaway defense

19th1.3 giveaways a game3 games

0.7 takeaways a game3 games22nd

CLE ball securityturnovers per gamePIT takeaway defense

7th0.7 giveaways a game3 games

1.7 takeaways a game3 games6th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: PIT 3 games, 184 offensive and 164 defensive plays · CLE 3 games, 164 offensive and 189 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Riley NowakowskiFB→ Travis Homer

Ben SkowronekWR→ Michael Pittman Jr.

Jamel DeanRCB→ Daylen Everette

Michael BurtonFB→ Raheim Sanders

Elgton JenkinsC→ Luke Wypler

Mason GrahamLDT→ Adin Huntington

Easton Mascarenas-ArnoldWLB→ Derek Barnett

AwaySteelers1 next man up · 1 questionable · 3 changes