Week 4 · 2026Cardinals 24 · 36 Giants
151 plays, one strand. Giants won after 3 lead changes; Cardinals peaked at 76% to win, Giants at 88%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line3 lead changes; Cardinals peaked at 76% to win, Giants at 88%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for NYG on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: ARI on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.4 expected points for Giants.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 10:26 · NYG · Completion+4.4 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers to ARI 40 for 39 yards (28-A.Wingard). NYG-1-M.Nabers was injured during the play.
- 2Q2 4:36 · NYG · Touchdown+2.8 EP
19-J.Winston pass short right to 88-M.Fields for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 3Q2 3:15 · ARI · Interception−4.7 EP
7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 52-A.Reese (93-S.Harris) at ARI 34. 52-A.Reese to ARI 26 for 8 yards (
- 4Q2 2:28 · NYG · Touchdown+3.6 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep middle to 1-M.Nabers for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-D.Stills].
- 5Q3 5:47 · NYG · Completion+4.3 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep left to 88-M.Fields pushed ob at ARI 18 for 40 yards (31-W.Williams).
- 6Q4 12:42 · NYG · Completion+3.1 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep right to 9-I.Likely to ARI 44 for 34 yards (3-B.Baker; 31-W.Williams).
- 7Q4 11:14 · NYG · Fumble lost−4.5 EP
23-N.Harris left guard to ARI 41 for 2 yards (1-Ma.Wilson; 55-D.Stills). FUMBLES (1-Ma.Wilson), RECOVERED by ARI-25-Z.Collins at ARI 42.
- 8Q4 0:11 · ARI · Interception−9.6 EP
7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 2-D.Banks at NYG 2. 2-D.Banks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 39-yard kick had missed
Q1 6:40 34-D.Zvada 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.