Pigskin Nightly
More
GamedayScores & liveEvery game, live field, drive chartVideoHighlights for every gameStartersProjected, last game, confirmedInjury reportWho is out this weekTravel & restMiles, time zones, short weeks
AnalyticsThe VerdictWho deserved to win, graded weeklyEPA mapEvery offense and defenseWith / WithoutTeam splits when a starter sitsMilestone WatchCareer marks within reachCompare playersSide by side, every numberDFS researchDefense vs position, usage, totalsFree widgetsLive scores and stats for your siteGlossaryWhat every number means
The LabAll Lab toolsOriginal tools, built from every snapDeserved StandingsThe table the snaps would have builtSliding DoorsThe play that could have flipped itClock IQEvery staff against the clockRef Crew ReportEvery officiating crew, in numbersMarket vs SnapsWhere the line and the tape disagreeScheme DNAEvery playbook's fingerprintGame DNAEvery game drawn as one strandPaid vs PlayedEvery contract against the fieldLoudest StadiumsCrowd noise, measured since 1999Turf vs GrassInjuries by playing surfaceWeather LedgerReal weather, every game since 2000Line MovementOpening vs closing, every game since 2023
ClubsStandingsDivisions and playoff seedsPlayoff odds10,000 simulated seasonsStrength of scheduleThe road left for all 32All 32 teamsHubs, depth charts, snapsRostersEvery player, every teamNewsroomThe 32 club desksHow we writeOur editorial standards
Week 10
Latest
InjuryTommy Townsend: Questionable → Active14 min agoInjuryJustin Walley: Questionable → Active14 min agoInjuryPatrick Mahomes: Questionable → Active14 min agoInjuryT.J. Hockenson: Active → Questionable14 min agoInjuryJC Latham: Questionable → Active14 min agoInjuryMarcus Harris: Questionable → Active14 min agoInjuryJared Goff: Active → Questionable14 min agoInjuryAmon-Ra St. Brown: Active → Questionable14 min agoMinnesota VikingsInitial Vikings at Packers Injury Report for Week 10 of 2026Minnesota VikingsVikings Sign RB Damon Bankston & LB Josh Ross to Practice SquadSaints DeskSaints offense sits 22nd in EPA per play heading into Panthers game29 min agoGreen Bay PackersPackers QB Jordan Love goes back-to-back as FedEx Air and Ground Player of WeekKansas City ChiefsWeek 10 Injury Report | Chiefs vs. FalconsDolphins DeskDolphins offense found its footing in Week 7 and lost it by Week 938 min agoBroncos DeskBroncos defense is giving back ground just as the offense finds its footing39 min agoGreen Bay PackersPackers-Vikings Injury Report | Nov. 11, 2026Tennessee TitansQuick Hits on the Titans From Wednesday of Jaguars WeekArizona CardinalsMichael Wilson Prognosis Good For 2027 ReturnDallas CowboysQuinnen Williams is all business in eyeing the 49ersPro Football RumorsLongtime Steelers RB, Coach Dick Hoak Dies At 86ESPNWill McDonald to get more playing time with the JetsPittsburgh SteelersKeeping the nose to the grindstone
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Jets DeskBy the Numbers

The Jets defense ranks 22nd in EPA allowed, and the offense keeps resetting

New York's defense has allowed positive EPA in four straight weeks, and the offense dropped from 0.250 to -0.302 per play in Week 9.

DefenseBy the Numbers-0.30Offense EPA/play · Week 9
By Jets Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 11, 1:10 PM ET2 min read

0.039: the defense is giving points back on every snap

The Jets have allowed 0.039 expected points added (EPA, the average change in a team's expected scoring on each play) per snap this season. That ranks 22nd in the league. Opponents have been successful on 47% of their plays.

The two units tell different stories. The run defense ranks ninth, and the pass defense ranks 26th, a 17-spot gap. The pass side is where the points leak.

Four straight weeks of positive EPA allowed

The defense's best game was Week 5, at -0.297 EPA allowed per play. It has not come close since. From Week 6 through Week 9 the numbers were 0.012, 0.283, 0.212 and 0.166, and every one of them favored the opposing offense.

The scoreboard matches. New York has scored 182 points and allowed 223, a differential of -41, and it carries a four-game losing streak into Week 10. A defense that allows positive EPA four weeks running is not carrying anyone.

-0.302: the offense gave back everything from Weeks 7 and 8

The offense put up 0.272 EPA per play in Week 7 and 0.250 in Week 8, with success rates of 53% and 51%. In Week 9 it fell to -0.302 with a 39% success rate. That is a drop of 0.552 per play in one game.

The season line sits in the middle: 0.003 EPA per play, 14th in the league, and a 45% success rate. The offense has also posted 39% or worse twice in the last five weeks, in Weeks 5 and 9.

Over the last three weeks, Geno Smith has produced 0.13 EPA per play on 107 plays with a 47% success rate. Braelon Allen has run at 0.01 on 46 plays, and Breece Hall at -0.13 on 15 plays. The drives die when the ground game cannot supply the early-down gains the passing game needs.

89%: the receiver snaps have been reshuffled

Adonai Mitchell went from 44% of the snaps in Week 7 to 89% in Week 9. Isaiah Williams went from 15% in Week 6 to 60% in Week 9. Tim Patrick dropped from 69% in Week 6 to 12% in Week 7, and Allen fell from 87% to 59% over the same stretch as Week 6 to Week 9.

The production has shifted with the snaps. Omar Cooper Jr. has 0.7 EPA per play on 16 targets over the last three weeks, an 18% target share. Garrett Wilson sits at 0.39 EPA per play for the season on a 25% share, but that has slipped to 0.08 and 16% over the last three weeks.

What to watch next

Buffalo arrives Sunday, Nov 15, at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. The Bills are 7-1 and lead the division, while the Jets are 2-7 and in third place. New York is 1-3 at home, and its 26th-ranked pass defense will be the unit under the most pressure.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.