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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 4 · 2026Chargers 23 · 30 Seahawks

153 plays, one strand. Seahawks won after 1 lead change; Chargers peaked at 55% to win, Seahawks at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SEA, down for LAC, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Chargers peaked at 55% to win, Seahawks at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Seahawks win, play by play. High = SEA in control, low = LAC in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for SEA on offense, down for LAC; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Seahawks ↑Chargers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTINTTDTDINTTDTDTDTDFUMSEA ↑ HOMELAC ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LAC on the left, SEA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LACSEA
68Plays56
301Yards288
6Explosive plays7
2Offensive TDs4
3Turnovers1
55%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
LACINT0ySEAINT0yLACFG25ySEAPunt17ySEATD23yLACPunt7ySEAPunt24yLACPunt22ySEAPunt5yLACPunt-1ySEAPunt24yLACPunt6ySEATD65yLACPunt-4ySEAPunt12yLACINT2ySEATD20yLACFG35ySEATD63yLACTD56ySEAFG22yLACTD70ySEAPunt23yLACFG74ySEAPunt-10yLACFUM9y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.5 expected points against Chargers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 14:53 · LAC · Interception

    10-J.Herbert pass short middle intended for 86-O.Gadsden INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Thomas at LAC 45. 32-D.Thomas to LAC 45 for no gain (86-O.Gadsd

    −4.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 14:46 · SEA · Interception

    14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 23-E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 45-T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. 45-T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (23-E.Wi

    −5.7 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 10:13 · SEA · Punt

    4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.

    +5.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 8:55 · SEA · Completion

    14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to LAC 43 for 28 yards (22-G.Smith) [93-T.Tart].

    +3.1 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 6:19 · SEA · Touchdown

    22-R.Shaheed left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.2 EP
  6. 6
    Q2 1:29 · LAC · Interception

    10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones at LAC 40. 13-E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (28-K.Vidal;

    −4.8 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 3:28 · LAC · Completion

    10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston to SEA 46 for 44 yards (24-R.Thomas).

    +4.3 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:03 · LAC · Fumble lost

    10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -9 yards (7-U.Nwosu). FUMBLES (7-U.Nwosu) [7-U.Nwosu], RECOVERED by SEA-58-D.Hall at LAC 20. PENALTY on LA

    −4.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
23@30Week 4

If the Chargers had recovered that fumble

Chargers after the play6%what really happened
SeahawksChargersthe rest never happened

Q3 4:48 23-E.Wilson up the middle to SEA 33 for 2 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu). FUMBLES (45-T.Tuipulotu), and recovers at SEA 35.

Week 4

The rest of the week

Every week →
Steelers at Browns, Game DNA24@27Colts at Commanders, Game DNA30@13Cardinals at Giants, Game DNA24@36Cowboys at Texans, Game DNA34@30Packers at Buccaneers, Game DNA17@14Jaguars at Bengals, Game DNA22@17Rams at Eagles, Game DNA24@20Patriots at Bills, Game DNA29@26Jets at Bears, Game DNA12@23Titans at Ravens, Game DNA18@24Dolphins at Vikings, Game DNA10@15Broncos at 49ers, Game DNA14@24Chiefs at Raiders, Game DNA30@27Lions at Panthers, Game DNA26@32Falcons at Saints, Game DNA45@24