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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 4 · 2026Cowboys 34 · 30 Texans

148 plays, one strand. Cowboys won after 3 lead changes; Cowboys peaked at 86% to win, Texans at 82%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for HOU, down for DAL, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line3 lead changes; Cowboys peaked at 86% to win, Texans at 82%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Texans win, play by play. High = HOU in control, low = DAL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for HOU on offense, down for DAL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Texans ↑Cowboys ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDTDHOU ↑ HOMEDAL ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DAL on the left, HOU on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DALHOU
73Plays50
399Yards397
5Explosive plays8
4Offensive TDs3
0Turnovers0
86%Peak win prob.82%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
HOUTD85yDALFG44yHOUFG69yDALFG26yHOUPunt10yDALPunt4yHOUPunt3yDALFG ✕20yHOUFG28yDALFG ✕27yHOUFG9yDALTD49yHOUTD38yDALTD55yHOUPunt22yDALTD96yHOUPunt17yDALPunt4yHOUTD97yDALTD74yHOU–19y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.9 expected points for Texans.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 14:55 · HOU · Completion

    7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 12-N.Collins to DAL 40 for 45 yards (24-M.Hooker).

    +2.9 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 7:23 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass short right to 19-R.Flournoy to HOU 26 for 19 yards (6-R.Blankenship).

    +2.7 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 4:21 · HOU · Completion

    7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 13-J.Noel pushed ob at DAL 31 for 52 yards (26-D.Bland).

    +3.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 9:34 · DAL · Run

    33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 27 for 8 yards (96-L.Hall; 35-J.Hansen). PENALTY on HOU-96-L.Hall, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced a

    +2.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 5:02 · DAL · Missed field goal

    17-B.Aubrey 62 yard field goal is BLOCKED (51-W.Anderson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    −2.9 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 10:43 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 3-G.Pickens to HOU 11 for 53 yards (3-K.Lassiter).

    +3.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:34 · HOU · Completion

    7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to DAL 25 for 2 yards. Lateral to 32-D.Montgomery pushed ob at DAL 6 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters;

    +2.9 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:43 · DAL · Touchdown

    4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
34@30Week 4

If the Texans had stopped that fourth-and-4

Texans after the play69%what really happened
TexansCowboysthe rest never happened

Q4 1:34 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 39 for 7 yards (2-C.Bullock).

Week 4

The rest of the week

Every week →
Steelers at Browns, Game DNA24@27Colts at Commanders, Game DNA30@13Cardinals at Giants, Game DNA24@36Packers at Buccaneers, Game DNA17@14Jaguars at Bengals, Game DNA22@17Rams at Eagles, Game DNA24@20Patriots at Bills, Game DNA29@26Jets at Bears, Game DNA12@23Titans at Ravens, Game DNA18@24Dolphins at Vikings, Game DNA10@15Broncos at 49ers, Game DNA14@24Chiefs at Raiders, Game DNA30@27Chargers at Seahawks, Game DNA23@30Lions at Panthers, Game DNA26@32Falcons at Saints, Game DNA45@24