Week 4 · 2026Titans 18 · 24 Ravens
144 plays, one strand. Ravens won without the lead ever changing hands; Titans peaked at 48% to win, Ravens at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for BAL, down for TEN, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Titans peaked at 48% to win, Ravens at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Ravens win, play by play. High = BAL in control, low = TEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for BAL on offense, down for TEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: TEN on the left, BAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 6.7 expected points against Titans.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 14:18 · TEN · Interception−6.7 EP
1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 fo
- 2Q1 12:13 · BAL · Touchdown+2.9 EP
22-D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 3Q1 6:01 · TEN · Touchdown+2.3 EP
20-T.Pollard right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 4Q2 8:20 · TEN · Run−3.1 EP
Direct snap to 20-T.Pollard. 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 2 for no gain (92-N.Madubuike).
- 5Q2 4:44 · BAL · Completion+3.6 EP
8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 5 for 52 yards (50-C.Barton).
- 6Q3 4:24 · BAL · Completion−2.4 EP
5-T.Huntley pass short right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 48 for -6 yards (11-J.Johnson).
- 7Q4 3:24 · BAL · Missed field goal−3.6 EP
33-T.Loop 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.
- 8Q4 1:51 · TEN · Completion+4.7 EP
1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 3 for 33 yards (24-M.Starks) [15-M.Green].
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If that interception had fallen incomplete
Q1 14:18 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).