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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 4 · 2026Broncos 14 · 24 49ers

147 plays, one strand. 49ers won after 1 lead change; Broncos peaked at 63% to win, 49ers at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SF, down for DEN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Broncos peaked at 63% to win, 49ers at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that 49ers win, play by play. High = SF in control, low = DEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for SF on offense, down for DEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
49ers ↑Broncos ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDSF ↑ HOMEDEN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DEN on the left, SF on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DENSF
65Plays62
298Yards360
2Explosive plays6
1Offensive TDs3
0Turnovers0
63%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DENPunt2ySFPunt30yDENFG70ySF–31yDENPunt8ySFPunt9yDENPunt32ySFFG74yDENPunt13ySFFG ✕46ySFPunt1yDENPunt22ySFPunt3ySFTD28yDENFG63ySFTD69yDENTD70ySFTD69yDENFG ✕18y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.7 expected points for Broncos.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 7:46 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie ran ob at DEN 43 for 25 yards (36-M.Sigle).

    +2.7 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 4:23 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass short left to 19-M.Mims to SF 33 for 10 yards (36-M.Sigle; 92-O.Odighizuwa).

    +2.1 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 14:30 · SF · Run

    13-B.Purdy up the middle to DEN 34 for no gain (49-A.Singleton).

    −3.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 9:52 · SF · Punt

    15-C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-M.Mims to DEN 29 for 1 yard (33-S.Neal). FUMBLES (33-S.Neal), RECOVERED by SF-3

    +6.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 2:48 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass deep right to 13-P.Bryant to DEN 49 for 30 yards (27-J.Brown; 2-D.Lenoir). DEN-13-P.Bryant was injured during the play.

    +3.3 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 4:10 · DEN · Touchdown

    10-B.Nix pass short left to 17-J.Waddle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.1 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:25 · SF · Touchdown

    13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.5 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:52 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass short left to 1-E.Engram to SF 45 for 6 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).

    +2.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
14@24Week 4Changes the winner

If the Broncos had stopped that fourth-and-1

Broncos after the play32%what really happened
49ersBroncosthe rest never happened

Q3 7:24 26-K.Black up the middle to DEN 17 for 2 yards (22-B.Jones).

Week 4

The rest of the week

Every week →
Steelers at Browns, Game DNA24@27Colts at Commanders, Game DNA30@13Cardinals at Giants, Game DNA24@36Cowboys at Texans, Game DNA34@30Packers at Buccaneers, Game DNA17@14Jaguars at Bengals, Game DNA22@17Rams at Eagles, Game DNA24@20Patriots at Bills, Game DNA29@26Jets at Bears, Game DNA12@23Titans at Ravens, Game DNA18@24Dolphins at Vikings, Game DNA10@15Chiefs at Raiders, Game DNA30@27Chargers at Seahawks, Game DNA23@30Lions at Panthers, Game DNA26@32Falcons at Saints, Game DNA45@24