The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 4 · 2026Lions 26 · 32 Panthers

163 plays, one strand. Panthers won after 1 lead change; Lions peaked at 53% to win, Panthers at 99%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CAR, down for DET, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom line1 lead change; Lions peaked at 53% to win, Panthers at 99%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Panthers win, play by play. High = CAR in control, low = DET in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for CAR on offense, down for DET; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Panthers ↑

Lions ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: DET on the left, CAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

DETCAR

68Plays70

452Yards449

5Explosive plays8

2Offensive TDs4

0Turnovers0

53%Peak win prob.99%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

DETFG34yCARPunt14yDETPunt9yCARTD72yDETFG33yCARTD75yDETTD63yCARFG41yDETFG49yCARTD64yDETFG72yCARTD85yDETPunt37yCARFG72yDET–74yCARPunt3yDETTD72yCARPunt23yDET–9y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.9 expected points against Panthers.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 8:32 · CAR · Sack
9-B.Young sacked at CAR 45 for -10 yards (54-A.McNeill).
−2.9 EP
2
Q1 1:06 · DET · Completion
16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 36 for 11 yards (55-D.Lloyd). PENALTY on CAR-52-T.Gipson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, e
+2.6 EP
3
Q2 8:52 · CAR · Completion
9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10 yards (36-C.Clark).
+3.0 EP
4
Q2 8:14 · CAR · Touchdown
9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-D.Wonnum].
+3.8 EP
5
Q3 7:53 · DET · Completion
16-J.Goff pass deep left to 18-I.TeSlaa to CAR 12 for 57 yards (29-A.Evans).
+4.0 EP
6
Q4 11:14 · CAR · Completion
9-B.Young pass short right to 88-D.Waller to DET 28 for 9 yards (27-J.Mills).
+3.3 EP
7
Q4 4:05 · DET · Completion
16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to CAR 3 for 7 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 20-Z.Wheatley).
+3.1 EP
8
Q4 1:29 · DET · Completion
16-J.Goff pass short middle to 18-I.TeSlaa to DET 22 for 12 yards (22-L.Ransom; 24-W.Lee).
−2.5 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

26@32

Week 4Changes the winner

If the Lions had stopped that fourth-and-4

Lions after the play26%what really happened

Q2 8:52 9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10 yards (36-C.Clark).

Week 4

The rest of the week

18@24

10@15

14@24

30@27

23@30

45@24