The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 4 · 2026Falcons 45 · 24 Saints

145 plays, one strand. Falcons won without the lead ever changing hands; Falcons peaked at 100% to win, Saints at 56%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NO, down for ATL, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Falcons peaked at 100% to win, Saints at 56%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Saints win, play by play. High = NO in control, low = ATL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for NO on offense, down for ATL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Saints ↑

Falcons ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: ATL on the left, NO on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

ATLNO

54Plays69

422Yards320

6Explosive plays3

6Offensive TDs3

0Turnovers1

100%Peak win prob.56%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

ATLTD80yNOPunt2yATLPunt15yNOFG ✕53yATLPunt-4yNOFUM2yATLTD13yNOTD54yATLTD65yNOPunt4yATLFG75yNOPunt32yATL–11yNOFG47yATLTD74yNOTD58yATLTD72yNO–0yATLTD21yNOTD68y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.7 expected points for Falcons.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 13:43 · ATL · Touchdown
7-Bi.Robinson left end for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+4.7 EP
2
Q1 9:19 · NO · Completion
6-T.Shough pass deep right to 83-J.Johnson pushed ob at NO 34 for 23 yards (26-C.Henderson) [96-Z.Harrison].
+2.5 EP
3
Q1 5:08 · NO · Missed field goal
10-D.Carlson 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Adomitis, Holder-17-R.Wright.
−3.4 EP
4
Q1 2:52 · NO · Fumble lost
5-K.Miller left guard to NO 23 for 3 yards (94-L.London). Atlanta challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSE
−5.9 EP
5
Q3 1:33 · NO · Completion
6-T.Shough pass deep left to 14-D.Vele to ATL 25 for 18 yards (31-X.Watts).
+4.4 EP
6
Q4 9:57 · ATL · Touchdown
9-M.Penix pass deep middle to 4-J.Dotson for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.0 EP
7
Q4 8:33 · NO · Sack
6-T.Shough sacked at NO 21 for -9 yards (52-S.Ebukam).
−3.6 EP
8
Q4 3:02 · NO · Completion
6-T.Shough pass deep left to 12-C.Olave to ATL 27 for 23 yards (33-B.Bowman) [52-S.Ebukam].
+4.0 EP

Week 4

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