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Titans DeskBy the NumbersTitans offense ranks 27th in EPA per play and the defense gives it back
Tennessee is 1-7 with a minus-55 point differential, and the efficiency numbers show why the Titans cannot climb back from deficits.
OffenseBy the Numbers+0.16Offense EPA/play · Week 8By Titans Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 11, 1:30 PM ET2 min read-0.088: the offense loses ground on every snap
The Titans average -0.088 expected points added per play, 27th in the league. EPA measures how much each play raises or lowers the offense's chance to score, compared with what a typical team would do from the same spot. A negative number means drives fade out before they reach the end zone.
The defense does not make up the gap. It allows 0.069 EPA per play, 25th, and the pass defense ranks 29th. Tennessee has scored 144 points and allowed 199, a difference of 55, and it is 0-4 at home. A team that cannot hold the ball and cannot stop the pass has no way to recover once it trails.
63%: the early-down pass rate swings from week to week
In Week 8 the Titans threw on 63 percent of early downs. The two weeks before that, they threw on 44 percent in Week 6 and 43 percent in Week 7. The season high was 73 percent in Week 1.
The heavier pass weeks have not been the better ones. In Week 5 the rate was 67 percent and the offense posted -0.388 EPA per play, the worst of the season. Tennessee ranks 17th in rushing offense and 25th in passing offense, so the ground game is the sturdier unit.
Tony Pollard has 133 rushing plays for 595 yards at -0.06 EPA per play. Over the last three weeks he has 246 yards on 46 plays, a 43 percent success rate and -0.04 EPA. That is not a strong back, but it is better than Tyjae Spears, who has 66 yards on 18 plays at -0.35.
0.157: Week 8 was the first clean offensive game since Week 2
The offense put up 0.157 EPA per play and a 50 percent success rate in Week 8. Before that, every game from Week 3 through Week 7 was negative. The only other positive game was Week 2, at 0.075.
Cam Ward has gone from -0.1 EPA per play for the season to 0.1 over the last three weeks, with 465 yards on 80 plays. Gunnar Helm, at 0.45 EPA per target over that stretch, and Elic Ayomanor, at 0.39, have carried the passing game. Carnell Tate leads the season at 0.2 EPA per target and a 22 percent target share.
82%: the lineup keeps changing around the edges
Chimere Dike went from 17 percent of the snaps in Week 6 to 82 percent in Week 8. At tackle, JC Latham dropped from 100 percent to 55 percent while James Hudson rose from zero to 45 percent.
In the secondary, Marcus Harris fell from 80 percent to 11 percent and Tony Adams from 93 percent to 31 percent. That secondary is the unit ranked 29th against the pass.
What to watch next
Tennessee hosts the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, Nov 15 at 1:00 PM ET on Fox. Jacksonville is 6-2 and leads the division, while the Titans sit last at 1-7 and have not won at home this season.