The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Chiefs 3 · 20 Seahawks

135 plays, one strand. Seahawks won without the lead ever changing hands; Chiefs peaked at 49% to win, Seahawks at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SEA, down for KC, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Chiefs peaked at 49% to win, Seahawks at 100%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Seahawks win, play by play. High = SEA in control, low = KC in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for SEA on offense, down for KC; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Seahawks ↑

Chiefs ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: KC on the left, SEA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

KCSEA

50Plays69

213Yards410

0Explosive plays5

0Offensive TDs2

1Turnovers1

49%Peak win prob.100%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

KCPunt27ySEAPunt28yKCPunt48ySEAFG96yKCINT12ySEATD66yKCPunt5ySEAINT61yKCFG ✕4ySEAFG62yKCFG44ySEAPunt10yKCFG ✕70ySEATD65yKC–3ySEA–22y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.3 expected points for Seahawks.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q2 11:19 · SEA · Completion
14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to KC 20 for 33 yards (20-N.Williams; 17-A.Gilman).
+3.3 EP
2
Q2 6:09 · KC · Interception
15-P.Mahomes pass short left intended for 11-J.Royals INTERCEPTED by 39-T.Okada [3-N.Emmanwori] at SEA 34. 39-T.Okada to SEA 34 for no gain
−3.8 EP
3
Q2 1:49 · SEA · Touchdown
14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at KC 1 for 27 yards (5-M.Delane). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was ou
+4.6 EP
4
Q2 0:35 · SEA · Completion
14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba ran ob at KC 2 for 28 yards.
+2.9 EP
5
Q2 0:23 · SEA · Interception
14-S.Darnold pass short middle intended for 22-R.Shaheed INTERCEPTED by 20-N.Williams [56-G.Karlaftis] at KC -9. 20-N.Williams to SEA 44 for
−5.6 EP
6
Q4 13:11 · KC · Completion
15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to KC 36 for 19 yards (13-E.Jones).
+2.4 EP
7
Q4 8:38 · KC · Missed field goal
7-H.Butker 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
−3.3 EP
8
Q4 3:52 · SEA · Touchdown
23-E.Wilson left tackle for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.7 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

3@20

Week 7Changes the winner

If the 25-yard kick had missed

Chiefs after the play34%what really happened

Q2 8:24 5-J.Myers 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

Week 7

The rest of the week

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24@30

38@21